Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
511 FXUS64 KCRP 160523 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 1223 AM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1115 PM CDT Mon Sep 15 2025 - Low (10-30%) shower and thunderstorm chances Tuesday and low to medium (25-45%) chances Wednesday through Saturday && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1115 PM CDT Mon Sep 15 2025 Not much chance in terms of the forecast once again. We are expected to see some shower activity through the remainder of the week. This is due to some expected shortwaves that will ride the eastern periphery of the aforementioned 700-850mb ridge that will slowly progress to the east. Moisture will continue returning into the area returning to normal levels to slightly above normal levels (1.8-2.0 inches). This will be coupled with the daily seabreeze instability that develops with daytime heating to allow for showers and thunderstorms each day. Chances increase during the mid-latter portions of the week (Wed. and Thurs.) as models continue to hint at a near surface low that will develop over eastern Mexico. This would further enhance lift allowing for a low to medium chances (25-55%) across the Southern Coastal Plains and Rio Grande Plains. PoPs will hang around 20-30% through the weekend before potentially increasing once again next week. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1115 PM CDT Mon Sep 15 2025 VFR conditions are expected throughout this TAF cycle with light and variable winds tonight and tomorrow night and moderate winds during the afternoon hours. && .MARINE... Issued at 1115 PM CDT Mon Sep 15 2025 Gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) east to southeasterly conditions expected to persist throughout the week. There will be a low to medium chance (35-65%) of showers and thunderstorms through the week into the weekend. Seas will generally range from 3 to 5 feet through midweek then from 2 to 3 feet. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 75 91 75 91 / 0 20 10 30 Victoria 68 94 69 94 / 0 10 0 10 Laredo 72 96 72 97 / 10 10 0 20 Alice 70 94 70 94 / 0 20 10 30 Rockport 77 91 77 90 / 10 20 20 20 Cotulla 72 95 71 96 / 0 0 0 10 Kingsville 72 92 72 92 / 0 20 10 40 Navy Corpus 80 88 80 88 / 10 30 30 30 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...NP/92 AVIATION...JCP/84