Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
996 FXUS64 KCRP 120532 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 1232 AM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1230 AM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025 - Low rain chances (20-30%) across the Coastal Plains this weekend. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1230 AM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025 Things are beginning to quiet down in our forecast. We`re still going to deal with some lingering moisture over the region this weekend into Monday, though PWAT values are only slightly above normal. While we may have some weak lobes of mid-level vorticity over the region, ridging is beginning to build in from the east. This would suggest a decrease in the already low coverage of convection. NBM continues to paint up to 40 PoPs for Saturday in the Victoria Crossroads, seemingly led mostly by the deterministic ECMWF. Feel that this is overdone considering nothing seems to suggest a more conducive environment than what we saw today, and we only had isolated convection today. Thus will cap at mainly 20 PoPs with the sea breeze and a slightly higher lean in the Crossroads (30%). Sunday is interesting as a fairly robust mid-level low moves across North Texas, but expect this shouldn`t have much impact on us, so will keep similar conditions to Saturday. Also similar into Monday before much drier air moves in Tuesday through much of next week. Expect another breezy day tomorrow with winds gusting up to 30 mph mainly in the southern Coastal Bend. Seasonal temperatures continue with persistent conditions each day. With the drier air moving in by mid-week we should be able to knock a degree or two off of overnight lows. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1230 AM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025 Tonight have MVFR CIGs for COT/LRD and MVFR VSBY for ALI. Return to VFR conditions by 15Z followed by gusty southeast winds to around 25- 30 knots generally through the end of the TAF period. There`s a low chance around 20-30% for showers and thunderstorms across the Victoria Crossroads in the afternoon which may result in MVFR VSBYs but have left out of TAFs due to low prob and isolated coverage. && .MARINE... Issued at 1230 AM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025 Moderate to fresh (BF 4-5) winds will continue over the waters through Sunday, when they will diminish to moderate to occasionally gentle (BF 3-4) through much of next week. A few showers and storms will be possible through Monday, then mainly dry conditions are expected. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 92 79 92 78 / 10 0 10 10 Victoria 92 77 93 76 / 30 10 30 10 Laredo 101 79 101 78 / 10 10 10 10 Alice 96 77 96 76 / 20 0 20 0 Rockport 90 82 91 81 / 20 10 20 10 Cotulla 101 79 101 78 / 10 10 20 10 Kingsville 93 77 93 77 / 10 0 10 0 Navy Corpus 89 82 89 81 / 10 10 10 10 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...PH/83 AVIATION...BF/80