Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
691 FXUS64 KCRP 011104 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 504 AM CST Mon Dec 1 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 458 AM CST Mon Dec 1 2025 - Light showers through this morning, lull in rain chances before returning Wednesday night through Friday - Below normal temperatures through Tuesday, another cold front Thursday - Near freezing wind chill values early Tuesday morning && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1210 AM CST Mon Dec 1 2025 A surface low over the northwest Gulf and mid-level PVA will allow for a medium to high chance for light showers or drizzle across South Texas this morning, before rain chances diminish this afternoon as the system moves east. The lull in rain chances will continue through Wednesday before ramping up again ahead of our next cold front expected Thursday. Low to medium rain chances will continue through Thursday night before dropping to low behind the front. This is the season of cold front one after the other, models are already in good agreement with a front early next week as well. Other than Tuesday behind the reinforcing surge of high pressure bringing in drier air, skies will remain mostly cloudy to completely overcast. Below normal temperatures are expected through Tuesday, highs today will be limited to the 50s with lows tonight dropping into the mid to upper 30s north and to the mid 40s along the coast. The reinforcing surge of high pressure late tonight into Tuesday morning will cause near freezing wind chills. Just a tad warmer highs on Tuesday with less cloud coverage and lows in the 40s Tuesday night. Brief return of onshore flow Wednesday to Wednesday night ahead of the next cold front will warm temperatures to near normal with highs from the mid 60s to lower 70s and lows from the mid 50s to mid 60s. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 458 AM CST Mon Dec 1 2025 A 1.5-2.0 kft CIGs have kept much of South Texas under MVFR conditions. This will continue through much of the TAF cycle but CIGS rising into VFR territory from north to south after 06Z. Rain chances are greatest from KALI and terminals to the east with a drier afternoon. Winds will be primarily out of the north at 5-10 kts through 06Z, then increasing to 10-15 kts thereafter. && .MARINE... Issued at 1210 AM CST Mon Dec 1 2025 Fresh to strong north to northeasterly flow will continue through this morning, before dropping below advisory criteria of 20 knots Monday afternoon and early evening. A reinforcing surge of high pressure will push through later tonight, leading to advisory level winds with a strong northerly breeze (BF 6) through midday Tuesday. Gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) onshore breeze returns Tuesday night through early Thursday morning before our next cold front during the day Thursday, leading to moderate to fresh northerly flow heading into the weekend. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 1210 AM CST Mon Dec 1 2025 Minimum relative humidity will remain above 30% through this week with below normal temperatures through Tuesday. Medium to high chances for showers this morning will diminish through the afternoon. A brief lull in rain chances following through Tuesday night after a reinforcing surge of high pressure pushes through late Monday night into Tuesday. Low to medium rain chances return Wednesday through Friday as another cold front pushes through Thursday. There are no elevated fire weather concerns at this time. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 53 42 58 47 / 60 10 0 0 Victoria 50 37 57 39 / 80 20 0 0 Laredo 59 45 62 50 / 10 10 0 0 Alice 53 41 59 44 / 50 10 0 0 Rockport 55 44 60 51 / 80 20 0 0 Cotulla 56 40 61 45 / 20 10 0 0 Kingsville 54 42 59 46 / 50 10 0 0 Navy Corpus 56 47 60 55 / 70 20 0 10 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory until noon CST today for GMZ250-255-270-275. && $$ DISCUSSION...EMF/94 AVIATION...AE/82