Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
162 FXUS64 KCRP 302321 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 621 PM CDT Mon Jun 30 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 617 PM CDT Mon Jun 30 2025 - Rain chances will decrease to low to medium (25-50%) tonight, then chances increase across the south and west to 40-70% Tuesday - Rain chances decrease to under a 20% chance Wednesday through next weekend - High heat returns this weekend && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1212 PM CDT Mon Jun 30 2025 The remnants of Tropical Storm Barry will continue to move to the north across Mexico, pushing precipitation into South Texas. Deep tropical moisture could lead to high rainfall rates in the heavier showers and thunderstorms. While flash flooding is not expected, ponding on roads is likely during these heavier storms. Tropical moisture will decrease beginning Tuesday, dropping from 2+ inches to 1.5-1.7." This will serve to decrease our rain chances to below 20% for the rest of the week. Temperatures will increase through the weekend, approaching 100 to 105 by Saturday. While moisture will be decreasing, humidity will still be high leading to heat index values of 105-109 across most of the area. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 617 PM CDT Mon Jun 30 2025 A mix of VFR and MVFR conditions are expected through this TAF cycle with a low chance for IFR conditions at ALI. Shower activity should begin to decrease across the eastern sites while hanging around a bit longer out west. Rain chances should diminish (but not completely go away) out west after around 06z. Rain chances will increase once again tomorrow across all sites after 13-15z. Due to high uncertainty on timing but medium to high rain chances, went with predominate -SHRA with tempos for TSRA during the most likely time frame. && .MARINE... Issued at 1212 PM CDT Mon Jun 30 2025 Gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) flow is expected to continue this week. Seas will be elevated today, with seas near 6 feet, then subside to 3-4 feet for the rest of the week. High (60-80%) rain chances are expected today decreasing to low to medium (25-50%) Monday night through Tuesday. Rain chances will drop to below 20% for the rest of the week. Gusty and erratic winds will be possible in and around any thunderstorm. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 75 88 75 90 / 30 50 20 20 Victoria 73 92 74 92 / 10 20 10 20 Laredo 74 88 74 90 / 30 60 30 20 Alice 71 88 73 92 / 30 60 20 20 Rockport 79 89 80 90 / 20 30 20 20 Cotulla 75 91 75 94 / 30 50 30 30 Kingsville 73 86 73 89 / 30 60 20 20 Navy Corpus 79 88 80 88 / 30 50 30 20 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...LS/77/FF AVIATION...JCP/84