Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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766
FXUS64 KCRP 180513
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
1213 AM CDT Sat Oct 18 2025

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1207 AM CDT Sat Oct 18 2025

 - Cold front brings briefly drier air Sunday.

 - Above normal temperatures continue.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1207 AM CDT Sat Oct 18 2025

Still seeing a few showers over the coastal waters late tonight -
the persistent shallow onshore flow and moisture convergence will
persist, thus could continue to see these showers and eventually
some more streamer like showers toward morning. A few will reach the
islands of immediate coastal areas north of Port Aransas, but the
activity will be minimal.

Expect another hot and humid day Saturday with above normal
temperatures continuing. Looks like we should see some relief in the
humidity on Sunday though as the front we`ve been talking about does
look like it should push through and drop dewpoints into the 40s and
50s. As we`ve been mentioning, the frontal passage will have little
other impact on our weather. Winds will shift to the northeast, but
temperatures remain at or above normal, and no rain chances are
expected due to moisture being very shallow and PWAT values being
below normal.  The one redeeming quality of the front - as a result
of the drier air - Sunday night should be a pretty pleasant night
with lows falling into the 60s for most everyone, and some mid to
upper 50s north. Winds shift around to the east and southeast
quickly though, and dewpoints may start to increase before sunrise
leading to temps beginning to increase along the immediate coast
earlier than they typically would.  Inland locations Monday will
keep a relatively low humidity, but coastal areas will have dpts
back in the upper 60s to around 70. Another cold front comes into
the picture by the middle of next week, but as with the Sunday
front, with these weaker fronts, it`s difficult to tell if it`ll
actually make it through or not. If it does make it through, the
result looks like it would be similar to what we see this weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1207 AM CDT Sat Oct 18 2025

Still seeing a few rogue showers tonight, mainly over the waters,
but these should not impact any TAF sites. VFR conditions will
continue through the overnight, with brief MVFR
visibility/ceilings in 10Z-14Z time frame for ALI and VCT.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1207 AM CDT Sat Oct 18 2025

Onshore flow continues through Saturday before a front looks to move
through the area on Sunday. Briefly Fresh to strong northeasterly
flow will be possible behind this front and small craft advisories
may be necessary. Onshore flow returns on Monday at gentle to
moderate levels.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1229 PM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025

Minimum RH values remain above 35% through Saturday with mainly
light winds. A weak front on Sunday will bring lower RH values
for inland areas, but winds will remain generally weak, precluding
any increased fire concern. Onshore flow returns Monday and will
bring a gradual increase in RH.  Rain chances are minimal through
the period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    91  72  90  65 /   0   0  10   0
Victoria          92  66  89  55 /  10   0   0   0
Laredo            97  71  94  65 /   0   0   0   0
Alice             96  69  93  62 /   0   0   0   0
Rockport          89  73  89  71 /   0   0  10   0
Cotulla           97  67  93  62 /   0   0   0   0
Kingsville        94  70  91  62 /   0   0  10   0
Navy Corpus       87  76  85  72 /   0   0  10   0

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$


DISCUSSION...PH/83
AVIATION...LS/77