Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
449 FXUS64 KCRP 011117 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 617 AM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 605 AM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025 - Medium to high (40-80%) chances for rain today across the Coastal Plains and Brush Country - Rain chances decrease to under a 10% Wednesday through the weekend - High heat returns this weekend && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1224 AM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025 One more wet is expected today as the remnants of Barry move northward across Mexico promoting medium to high (40-80%) chances for rain, mainly across the Brush Country and Coastal Plains. Deep tropical moisture could lead to high rainfall rates in the heavier showers and thunderstorms. While flash flooding is not expected, ponding on roads is likely during these heavier storms. Rain chances will gradually decrease Tuesday night and Wednesday before dropping under 10% Wednesday night through the weekend. Independence Day continues to look dry, with the only possible hazard being the heat as heat index values will peak between 100-107 degrees. Please use caution if outdoors and remember to remain hydrated and take frequent breaks. More heat safety information can be found at weather.gov/heat && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 605 AM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025 Overall thinking remains generally the same from previous forecast. Scattered showers are currently moving northwest across the western portions of S TX with a few showers across the east. Additional convection will continue to lead to brief periods of IFR/MVFR conditions at times throughout the afternoon and evening hours, mostly across the Rio Grande Plains, Brush Country and inland Coastal Plains where the best chance of convection is expected. Outside of the convection, VFR conditions will mostly prevail through much of the TAF period with CIGs generally above 3kft. The mention of TSRA`s are in PROB30 and TEMPOs where timing looks best for the stronger storms. Rain chances are expected to decrease this evening, especially across the east, but will remain at 20-30% for LRD and COT. && .MARINE... Issued at 1224 AM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025 Gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) flow is expected to continue this week. Medium (35-60%) rain chances are expected today gradually decreasing Tuesday night before dropping to under 10% by Wednesday night. Gusty winds will be possible in and around any thunderstorm. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 89 76 90 77 / 50 20 20 10 Victoria 92 73 92 74 / 20 10 20 10 Laredo 88 74 91 76 / 60 30 20 10 Alice 89 73 91 74 / 60 20 30 10 Rockport 89 80 90 81 / 40 10 20 10 Cotulla 90 75 92 76 / 60 30 40 20 Kingsville 88 74 90 76 / 60 20 20 10 Navy Corpus 88 80 88 81 / 50 20 20 10 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...JCP/84 AVIATION...TE/81