163
FNUS71 KCAR 151109
FWSCAR

Spot Forecast for Pennington Pond Fire...Maine Forest Service
National Weather Service Caribou ME
709 AM EDT Thu May 15 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 EDT on May 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact NWS Caribou at 207-492-0166 with any further questions.

.DISCUSSION...

Southwest winds will be 5-15 mph today, with gusts up to 20 mph possible.
Relative humidity values will drop to 30-35 percent early this afternoon,
before rising to 40-50 percent by sunset. A few showers and isolated thunderstorms
are possible late this afternoon. However, it is more likely that it will remain dry
versus seeing a thunderstorm this afternoon.

Weather Coverage Abbreviations... SCH=Slight Chance, ISO=Isolated,
CHC=Chance, SCT=Scattered, LKY=Likely, NUM=Numerous,
DEF=Definite, WID=Widespread, OCL=Occasional, PDS=Periods,
ARS=Areas, PTY=Patchy

Weather Type Abbreviations... DYT=Dry Thunderstorms, TSM=Thunderstorms,
SN=Snow, RN=Rain, SW=Snow Showers, RW=Rain Showers,
DZL=Drizzle, FZR=Freezing Rain, FZD=Freezing Drizzle, SLT=Sleet,
FZF=Freezing Fog, IFG=Ice Fog, HAZ=Haze, BSN=Blowing Snow,
SMK=Smoke, FST=Frost, FZS=Freezing Spray, RS=Rain/Snow,
DZF=Drizzle/Fog, SNF=Snow/Fog, RNF=Rain/Fog,
ZRS=Freezing Rain/Snow

Other Abbreviations... NA=Not Available, M=Missing

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Isolated showers
                    late in the afternoon. Isolated thunderstorms
                    late in the afternoon. Scattered showers late
                    in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 30 percent.
Chance of thunder...18 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........34 percent.
Eye level winds.....Southwest winds around 4 mph.
Wind shift..........
Mixing height.......5900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 12 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4800 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (71300 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................14 to 19 increasing to 31 to 38 late in the
                    morning, then increasing to 56 late in the
                    morning increasing to 72 to 77 early in the
                    afternoon decreasing to 47 to 56 decreasing to
                    40 late in the afternoon.
Pcpn amount.........0.02 inches.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 7 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........18  18  20  25  36  45  48  57  63  66  65
Weather cov.....                                ISO SCT SCT
Weather type....                                RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                ISO ISO ISO
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  20  30  30
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  20  20  20
Temp............65  67  70  74  77  77  79  80  80  79  79
RH..............60  56  49  43  37  37  35  34  34  36  38
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.11  11  12  12  11  12  12  13  12  12  11
Eye lvl wnd dir.W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Eye lvl wnd spd.4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Eye lvl wnd gst.8   8   9   9   8   9   9   10  9   9   8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.9 1.6 2.7 4.6 5.5 5.9 5.5 5.3 4.4 2.9
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.14  16  16  14  12  13  14  14  14  15  13
LVORI...........3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............14  19  31  38  56  72  77  56  50  47  40
Vrate kt-ft/1K..5   13  23  33  46  61  71  66  63  58  32
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  GD  GD  GD  GD  FR  PR

$$
Forecaster...CLARK
Requested by...Ranger Carney
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2514052.0/CAR
.DELDT 05/15/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL rcc.houlton@maine.gov