Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME

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934
FNUS51 KCAR 162101
FWFCAR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northern and Eastern Maine
National Weather Service Caribou ME
500 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Isolated/scattered thunderstorms this evening, then showers
persisting overnight. Thunderstorms could produce locally heavy
rain. Unsettled conditions through the weekend with showers and
thunderstorms with a wetting rain expected. Cooler weekend
temperatures.


MEZ101-170800-
Quebec-Maine Borderlands-
500 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     60           80           100          100
Chance of Thunder (%) 30           30           20           20
Temp (24h trend)      51 (-1)      65 (-15)     49           58
RH % (24h trend)      96 (-2)      67 (+16)     100          75
20ftWnd-val/AM(mph)                SE  6                     Lgt/Var
20ftWnd-rdg/PM(mph)   Lgt/Var      SE  7 G17    SE  7 G17    Lgt/Var
Precip amount         0.42         0.30         0.33         0.39
Precip duration       5            6            12           12
Precip begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL/MSL)             1930                      1840
Transport wnd (kts)                S 17                      NW  9
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  38740                     33920
Dispersion                         Fair                      Marginal
CWR                   100          100          100          100
KBDI                  201-300      <200         <200         N/A

Remarks...None.

$$

MEZ102-170800-
North Woods and St. John Valley-
500 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     60           80           100          100
Chance of Thunder (%) 30           30           20           20
Temp (24h trend)      48 (-6)      63 (-14)     49           59
RH % (24h trend)      97 (-3)      71 (+15)     100          77
20ftWnd-val/AM(mph)                SE  6                     Lgt/Var
20ftWnd-rdg/PM(mph)   SE  5        SE  7 G17    SE  6 G17    Lgt/Var
Precip amount         0.23         0.23         0.29         0.33
Precip duration       5            6            12           12
Precip begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL/MSL)             1780                      1900
Transport wnd (kts)                S 16                      NW  8
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  35670                     35560
Dispersion                         Fair                      Fair
CWR                   70           100          90           90
KBDI                  <200         <200         <200         N/A

Remarks...None.

$$

MEZ103-170800-
Eastern Aroostook-
500 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     50           70           100          90
Chance of Thunder (%) 30           30           20           20
Temp (24h trend)      48 (-8)      61 (-11)     50           59
RH % (24h trend)      96 (-2)      71 (+6)      99           77
20ftWnd-val/AM(mph)                SE  6 G18                 Lgt/Var
20ftWnd-rdg/PM(mph)   SE  6        SE  8 G20    SE  7 G18    Lgt/Var
Precip amount         0.11         0.19         0.24         0.29
Precip duration       5            6            12           12
Precip begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL/MSL)             1650                      1740
Transport wnd (kts)                S 15                      S  6
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  31650                     16210
Dispersion                         Marginal                  Poor
CWR                   20           100          80           90
KBDI                  <200         <200         <200         N/A

Remarks...None.

$$

MEZ105-170800-
Central Highlands-
500 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     70           80           100          80
Chance of Thunder (%) 30           30           20           20
Temp (24h trend)      52 (-5)      61 (-16)     48           61
RH % (24h trend)      97 (-2)      77 (+19)     100          75
20ftWnd-val/AM(mph)                SE  6                     Lgt/Var
20ftWnd-rdg/PM(mph)   SE  5        SE  8 G18    SE  6 G17    Lgt/Var
Precip amount         0.38         0.34         0.31         0.35
Precip duration       6            7            12           12
Precip begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL/MSL)             1660                      2390
Transport wnd (kts)                SE 15                     NW 11
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  35630                     43620
Dispersion                         Fair                      Fair
CWR                   100          100          80           100
KBDI                  <200         <200         <200         N/A

Remarks...None.

$$

MEZ106-170800-
Central Maine North of Bangor-
500 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     50           80           90           80
Chance of Thunder (%) 30           30           20           20
Temp (24h trend)      51 (-7)      62 (-14)     49           62
RH % (24h trend)      96 (-2)      75 (+17)     100          76
20ftWnd-val/AM(mph)                SE  5                     Lgt/Var
20ftWnd-rdg/PM(mph)   Lgt/Var      SE  8 G19    SE  6        Lgt/Var
Precip amount         0.07         0.22         0.23         0.19
Precip duration       5            6            12           11
Precip begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL/MSL)             1620                      2110
Transport wnd (kts)                S 14                      W  7
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  26370                     33600
Dispersion                         Marginal                  Marginal
CWR                   10           100          50           70
KBDI                  <200         <200         <200         N/A

Remarks...None.

$$

MEZ108-170800-
Interior Downeast-
500 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Showers      Showers      Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           70           90           70
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            20           20
Temp (24h trend)      49 (-6)      59 (-15)     47           61
RH % (24h trend)      96 (-4)      78 (+13)     100          77
20ftWnd-val/AM(mph)                SE  5                     Lgt/Var
20ftWnd-rdg/PM(mph)   Lgt/Var      SE  8 G17    SE  7 G17    Lgt/Var
Precip amount         0.03         0.21         0.31         0.08
Precip duration       1            5            11           9
Precip begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL/MSL)             1340                      1960
Transport wnd (kts)                SE 13                     SW  8
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  23520                     24460
Dispersion                         Marginal                  Marginal
CWR                   10           100          100          20
KBDI                  <200         <200         <200         N/A

Remarks...None.

$$

MEZ112-170800-
Coastal Downeast-
500 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Showers      Showers      Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           70           90           60
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            20           20
Temp (24h trend)      47 (-4)      57 (-9)      46           59
RH % (24h trend)      96 (-4)      78 (0)       100          76
20ftWnd-val/AM(mph)                Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
20ftWnd-rdg/PM(mph)   Lgt/Var      SE  7 G18    SE  7 G18    Lgt/Var
Precip amount         0.03         0.24         0.37         0.05
Precip duration       1            5            11           6
Precip begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL/MSL)             990                       1810
Transport wnd (kts)                SE 12                     SW  9
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  16130                     24080
Dispersion                         Poor                      Marginal
CWR                   10           100          100          10
KBDI                  <200         <200         <200         N/A

Remarks...None.

$$

MEZ113-170800-
Bangor Region-
500 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     50           80           90           70
Chance of Thunder (%) 30           30           20           20
Temp (24h trend)      53 (-4)      61 (-16)     49           63
RH % (24h trend)      96 (-3)      77 (+16)     100          75
20ftWnd-val/AM(mph)                SE  5                     Lgt/Var
20ftWnd-rdg/PM(mph)   Lgt/Var      SE  8 G18    SE  7 G18    Lgt/Var
Precip amount         0.06         0.30         0.28         0.17
Precip duration       5            8            11           9
Precip begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL/MSL)             1550                      2540
Transport wnd (kts)                S 13                      W 11
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  23220                     34750
Dispersion                         Marginal                  Marginal
CWR                   20           100          80           50
KBDI                  <200         <200         <200         N/A

Remarks...None.

$$

MEZ114-170800-
Eastern Penobscot Bay Coast-
500 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     30           80           90           60
Chance of Thunder (%) 30           20           20           20
Temp (24h trend)      48 (-4)      57 (-11)     46           62
RH % (24h trend)      97 (-3)      83 (+4)      100          73
20ftWnd-val/AM(mph)                SE  5 G17                 Lgt/Var
20ftWnd-rdg/PM(mph)   Lgt/Var      SE  8 G20    SE  7 G18    Lgt/Var
Precip amount         0.02         0.28         0.26         0.06
Precip duration       2            6            11           8
Precip begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL/MSL)             970                       2080
Transport wnd (kts)                SE 13                     W 11
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  16720                     26090
Dispersion                         Poor                      Marginal
CWR                   10           100          90           20
KBDI                  <200         <200         <200         N/A

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the lower
50s. North winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Lows
in the lower 40s. North winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Highs in
the lower 50s. North winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers.
Lows around 40. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 50s. Northeast winds
around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of rain showers. Highs in
the lower 50s. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers.
Lows around 40. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Highs in
the lower 50s. Northeast winds around 10 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$