908
FXUS61 KCAR 052331 CCA
AFDCAR

Area Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Caribou ME
731 PM EDT Tue Aug 5 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure builds across the region through Wednesday night.
This high then slowly slides to the south and east Thursday
through Friday night. A weak trough of low pressure moves into
Maine on Saturday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
Update...
Mainly clear skies continue this evening along with light wind
as high pressure continues to build across. The current forecast
continues on track, thus no changes needed at this time.

See updated aviation section.

previous discussion
Surface high pressure builds across the region tonight through
Wednesday night. At the same time, upper level ridging also
builds across the region. Skies will remain mostly clear tonight
through Wednesday night. Patchy, mostly river valley, fog is
possible both later tonight and Wednesday night. Low
temperatures both tonight and Wednesday night will generally
range from around 40 to around 50 north, though locally colder
temperatures are possible in the normally coldest northwest
valley locations. High temperatures Wednesday will generally
range from the mid to upper 70s north, to the upper 70s to
around 80 Downeast.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
High pressure lingers in the area through the end of the week,
continuing a period of dry and mild conditions. Skies mostly
clear throughout the short term period. Could see a few clouds
move in Thursday afternoon, mainly in central and Downeast
Maine. Winds generally light and variable, before becoming
south/southwest on Friday. High temperatures in the low-80s on
Thursday. Very slight chance for some upper-level haze to move
in over central Maine, but confidence is low. Light winds, high
relative humidity, clear skies, and potential surface inversion
could cause some valley fog to develop Thursday night.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
High pressure continues to linger in Maine until Friday evening,
when it slides off into the Atlantic. The GFS and Euro come into
agreement about a shortwave moving over northern Maine, but the
GFS has a more developed system. There is a potential for some
rainfall Saturday night into Sunday. Highest chances of rain
continue to be in northern Maine. Potential for some instability
which could cause some rumbles of thunder based on elevated
CAPE and lapse rates, but too early for good confidence.
Increasing trend for high temperatures, rising into the 80s this
weekend. Looking at a potential for some temperatures reaching
into the upper 80s into 90s Sunday into Monday. Overnight lows
generally in the 50s, rising to be lows in the 60s by early next
week.

&&

.AVIATION /23Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM:

KFVE...VFR through Wednesday night, except moderate confidence in
tempo IFR in patchy fog 6z-10z. Light variable wind.

KCAR...VFR through Wednesday night. Light variable wind.

KPQI..VFR through Wednesday night, except moderate confidence
in tempo IFR in patchy fog 6z-10z tonight. Light variable wind.

KHUL...VFR through Wednesday night, except moderate confidence
in tempo IFR in patchy fog 6z-10z tonight. Light variable wind.

KBGR...VFR through Wednesday night, light variable wind.

KBHB...VFR through Wednesday night, light variable wind,
becoming S around 10 kt Wednesday afternoon.


SHORT TERM:
Wednesday night through Friday night...Mainly VFR conditions.
Potential for some overnight fog, predominantly at northern
terminals, that would burn off by daybreak. Variable winds 5-10
kts Thursday into Thursday night. South/southwest winds around
10 kts Friday into Friday night.

Saturday...MVFR/IFR conditions possible in northern terminals
due to rain showers and potential thunder. VFR at southern
terminals. Winds from the S/SW at 5-10 kts, with gusts up to 20
kt possible. VFR Sunday.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: Winds/seas below small craft advisory levels tonight
through Wednesday night.

SHORT TERM: Winds and seas remain below Small Craft Advisory
conditions up until this weekend. Seas generally 3 ft or below
over the outer waters, and 2 ft or below over the inner waters.
Light and variable winds Thursday through Thursday night, before
becoming S/SW by Friday.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$


Near Term...TWD/Norcross
Short Term...Brennan
Long Term...Brennan
Aviation...TWD/Norcross/Brennan
Marine...TWD/Norcross/Brennan