Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Columbia, SC

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382
FNUS72 KCAE 160717
FWSCAE

Spot Forecast for Shaw AFB...DOd
National Weather Service Columbia SC
317 AM EDT Fri May 16 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on May 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Hot, humid and precip-free conditions are expected today.
Winds should generally be out of the west to southwest this afternoon
at less than 10 mph. By Saturday, wind speeds are expected be a bit
elevated around 10 to 15 mph with gusts of 20 to 25 mph ahead of a weak
front. This boundary could also spark a few showers or thunderstorms on
Saturday, but confidence is low regarding any significant rainfall.
Relative humidities should remain elevated above 40 percent during the day.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
Min humidity........44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 8 to 15 mph.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................13 early in the morning increasing to 83 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM
Sky (%).........59  59  49  40  52  45  39  46  49
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............78  82  85  87  90  91  93  93  93
RH..............82  72  65  59  54  50  46  44  44
Aparnt tmp (F)..78  87  91  93  96  97  98  97  97
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW
20 FT wind dir..260 270 270 270 250 260 260 250 240
20 FT wind spd..5   5   6   6   6   6   6   7   6
20 FT wind gust.9   9   10  10  12  12  12  13  12
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 1.8 2.3 3.1 3.5 4.1 4.6 5.0 4.4
Transp wind dir.W   W   NW  W   W   SW  SW  SW  W
Transp wind dir.250 280 300 280 250 240 240 240 250
Transp wind spd.8   9   10  9   8   8   10  13  15
LVORI...........4   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............13  21  31  38  38  42  59  76  83

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 75.
Max humidity........76 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light in the late evening and overnight.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 14 mph.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................65 early in the evening decreasing to 4 late in
                    the night.

TIME (EDT)      2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT
Sky (%).........41     23     32     46     65     73
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10     10     0      0      0      0
Temp............92     87     82     79     78     76
RH..............46     57     69     74     74     76
Aparnt tmp (F)..96     92     86     79     78     76
20 FT wind......SW 6   SW 3   SW 5   SW 5   SW 6   SW 6
20 FT wind gust.12     8      9      10     12     13
20 FT wind dir..240    230    230    220    230    230
Mix hgt (ft)....3700   800    400    400    400    500
Transp wind dir.240    230    230    230    230    240
Transport wind..SW 14  SW 8   SW 9   SW 10  SW 12  SW 13
LVORI...........1      3      3      3      3      4
ADI.............65     4      4      7      8      8

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6 to 14 mph with gusts to around 22 mph.
Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 13 to 21 mph shifting to the southwest 24
                    to 26 mph late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................8 early in the morning increasing to 105 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      2 AM      5 AM      8 AM      11 AM
Sky (%).........71        59        57        55
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         0         10
Temp............75        79        87        91
RH..............76        68        58        51
Aparnt tmp (F)..75        82        92        98
20 FT wind......W 6G13    W 9G17    W 10G20   W 14G23
20 FT wind dir..250       250       250       250
Mix hgt (ft)....600       1500      3400      4600
Transp wind dir.240       250       270       240
Transport wind..SW 13     W 17      W 17      SW 21
LVORI...........4         3         1         1
ADI.............8         32        74        81

$$
Forecaster...Carpenter
Requested by...Zach Brown
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2514125.0/CAE
.DELDT 05/16/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL zachary_brown@fws.gov