684
FXUS62 KCAE 150002
AFDCAE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Columbia SC
802 PM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure remains in place through Wednesday before a
reinforcing dry cold front moves through Wednesday night, with
temperatures several degrees cooler behind the boundary. Another
front may approach late in the weekend, bringing the next
chance for rainfall along with it.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
Key message(s):

- None

Satellite this evening shows a few passing clouds across the
southeastern Midlands with clear skies elsewhere. Areas of patchy fog
cannot be ruled out by daybreak but with drier air in place, it
should be limited to near bodies of water. The combination of
clear skies and light winds should promote radiational cooling
tonight allowing temperatures to fall into the mid to upper 50s
by daybreak.

&&

.SHORT TERM /7 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
Key message(s):

- Mostly sunny and warm on Wednesday.

- A dry cold front moves through late Wednesday into Wednesday
  night ushering in a cool, dry air mass.

- Thursday is about 10 degrees cooler with chilly conditions
  likely at night.

The main weather event during the short term will be the passage
of a dry cold front. Wednesday should be another mostly sunny
day with above normal temperatures. Highs should be similar to
today with values in the upper 70s to lower 80s and lows in the
mid to upper 50s. The cold front passes through at night
without producing any rain. High pressure then ushers in a
cool, dry air mass behind the boundary for Thursday. Daytime
temperatures will be around 5 degrees cooler than Wednesday
with highs in the lower to mid 70s. Clear skies and light winds
Thursday night could be ideal for radiational cooling, allowing
temperatures to fall into the mid-40s to around 50 degrees by
daybreak Friday.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Key message(s):

- Friday is the coolest day of the week with warming
  temperatures this weekend ahead of the next cold front.

- This cold front will bring the next chance of rain on Sunday.

- Dry conditions return for early next week.

High pressure will be centered near Pittsburgh at the start of
the extended, moving offshore Saturday night in response to an
approaching cold front. The anticyclone will extend down the
east coast, keeping the FA dry on Friday and Saturday with
warmer temperatures for Saturday after a cooler day on Friday.
Clouds move in on Sunday ahead of the next cold front with rain
possible by the afternoon. The deterministic GFS shows another
dry frontal passage while the deterministic Euro shows a line
of showers, and perhaps a few thunderstorms, late Sunday.
Regardless of which model solution is closer to reality, the
front should push through the area Sunday night with dry high
pressure expected to be building in to close out the extended.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
VFR conditions expected through the TAF period.

Clear skies in place as winds have become light and variable at
all the terminals. Favorable radiational cooling tonight with
some lingering low level moisture. While winds above the surface
will likely remain elevated enough to prevent widespread fog
development, there remains possibility visibility restrictions
at fog prone AGS. Some high resolution models are also hinting
at brief ceiling restrictions but confidence remains too low to
include in TAF. VFR conditions persist into tomorrow with winds
increasing out of the northeast between 5 to 10 knots.

EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...VFR conditions continue through
Friday. A dry frontal boundary passes during midweek is
expected to shift winds from N/NW to NE. Moisture should
increase this weekend, ramping up chances for restrictions and
convection ahead of another front.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...None.
GA...None.

&&

$$