Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Billings, MT
Issued by NWS Billings, MT
538
FXUS65 KBYZ 120149
AFDBYZ
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Billings MT
749 PM MDT Fri Jul 11 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Warmer (80s and 90s) and dry this weekend.
- Much cooler temperatures with a good chance of precipitation
Monday night into Wednesday next week. Stay tuned.
&&
.UPDATE...
With the exception of some high clouds over the west, skies have
cleared behind a shortwave which has exited to the east. Look for
a mostly clear night and seasonably chilly temps...with lows in
the mid 40s to mid 50s. Late day satellite imagery shows smoke
clipping northeast MT (from numerous fires in northern
Saskatchewan), but it appears that the prevailing winds aloft will
take the brunt of that smoke into the Dakotas. Baker may see some
hazy skies at times. Otherwise, forecast is in good shape. JKL
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Through Sunday night...
Look for mostly clear skies and temps tonight in the upper 40s to
mid 50s.
Low amplitude ridging aloft will prevail over the weekend leading
to warmer temps and mostly dry conditions. Highs will be in the
upper 80s to mid 90s. There is a slight chance of showers late
Sunday...limited mainly to the higher terrain as a weak
disturbance moves through in the westerly flow.
Wildfire Smoke...smoke models are indicating a significant plume
of wildfire smoke out of Saskatchewan late today into the evening
clipping far eastern Montana. This may bring some impacts to
Fallon and perhaps northern Carter Counties briefly this evening.
People sensitive to smoke should plan accordingly. Otherwise, we
may see a little smoke in our area this weekend from a few fires
in Idaho and Washington, but it should not be near-surface and
probably only result in somewhat hazy conditions for now. BT
Monday through Friday...
The next weather system enters Monday, driving a cold front across
the region sometime late Monday. The exact timing is still
uncertain, but models are trending towards Monday evening for the
frontal passage. This system will bring cooler temperatures and an
increased chance of precipitation through Wednesday. Currently,
there is a 50-70% chance (highest over the mountains) of at least
0.25" of precip through Wednesday. As temperatures cool, there is
potential some light snow over the highest peaks, with a 20%
chance of at least 1" of snow through Wednesday.
For the end of the week, ridging is expected to build in, leading
to warmer temperatures and drier conditions.
High temperatures Monday will be dependent on when the cold front
moves through. Currently, highs are expected in the upper 80s to
low 90s. If the front moves through earlier, highs may only be in
the 80s. Either way, highs Tuesday and Wednesday will be much
cooler, generally in the 60s and 70s. On Tuesday, there is a
30-60% chance for most locations of highs remaining below 70.
Then, temperatures will warm into the end of the week, reaching
near normal (mid 80s to low 90s) by Friday. Archer
&&
.AVIATION...
No significant hazards to aviation are expected. VFR conditions
will prevail through the forecast period. Arends
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMP/POPS...
Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
-----------------------------------------------------------
BIL 054/092 060/094 063/090 057/071 055/067 051/078 057/090
00/U 00/U 11/U 65/T 53/T 21/U 11/U
LVM 048/089 054/093 056/090 052/073 049/069 046/080 052/089
00/U 00/U 12/T 55/T 43/T 22/T 21/U
HDN 050/092 056/096 061/091 057/073 055/069 050/079 054/091
00/U 00/U 10/U 65/T 53/T 21/U 11/U
MLS 052/092 060/094 065/091 059/073 054/068 051/076 058/090
00/U 00/U 00/U 54/T 53/T 21/U 11/U
4BQ 051/089 060/093 066/092 060/076 057/070 053/075 059/088
00/U 00/U 10/B 54/T 63/T 31/U 11/U
BHK 048/087 055/092 061/092 055/072 050/066 047/072 053/086
00/U 00/U 01/U 43/T 43/T 31/U 11/U
SHR 046/088 055/093 059/089 054/075 052/072 046/077 053/091
00/U 00/U 11/B 45/T 64/T 31/U 11/U
&&
.BYZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MT...None.
WY...None.
&&
$$
weather.gov/billings