


River Forecast
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
Versions:
1
554 FGUS51 KTAR 051459 RVFBUF RIVER FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...NORTON, MA 1059 AM EDT Sat Apr 05 2025 : :THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER. :OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES. : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Attica, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.8 FT at Apr-05 1000 AM .ER ATTN6 20250405 E DC202504051059/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0405: / 4.0 / 4.2 / 4.2 .E2 :0406: / 4.2 / 4.1 / 4.0 / 3.9 .E3 :0407: / 3.9 / 3.8 / 3.8 / 3.8 .E4 :0408: / 3.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.14/ 0.15/ 0.08/ 0.07/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.03/ 0.05/ : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY :Flood stage 9.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.8 FT at Apr-05 1000 AM .ER BTVN6 20250405 E DC202504051059/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0405: / 2.7 / 2.7 / 2.9 .E2 :0406: / 3.0 / 3.1 / 3.2 / 3.1 .E3 :0407: / 3.0 / 3.0 / 2.9 / 2.8 .E4 :0408: / 2.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.13/ 0.13/ 0.06/ 0.06/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.04/ 0.04/ : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY :Flood stage 12.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 4.9 FT at Apr-05 1000 AM .ER RAPN6 20250405 E DC202504051059/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0405: / 4.7 / 4.4 / 4.1 .E2 :0406: / 3.9 / 3.7 / 3.5 / 3.4 .E3 :0407: / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.5 / 3.5 .E4 :0408: / 3.4 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.11/ 0.13/ 0.04/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.07/ 0.04/ 0.03/ : :************************************************************ :Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.9 FT at Apr-05 1015 AM .ER GOWN6 20250405 E DC202504051059/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0405: / 3.3 / 3.6 / 3.9 .E2 :0406: / 3.9 / 3.9 / 3.7 / 3.5 .E3 :0407: / 3.3 / 3.2 / 3.1 / 3.1 .E4 :0408: / 3.0 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.14/ 0.16/ 0.09/ 0.11/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.04/ 0.05/ : :************************************************************ :Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY :Flood stage 7.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.5 FT at Apr-05 1015 AM .ER GDVN6 20250405 E DC202504051059/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0405: / 1.6 / 2.0 / 2.3 .E2 :0406: / 2.3 / 2.2 / 2.0 / 1.8 .E3 :0407: / 1.7 / 1.6 / 1.5 / 1.6 .E4 :0408: / 1.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.13/ 0.15/ 0.07/ 0.06/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.06/ 0.03/ 0.06/ : :************************************************************ :Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 4.2 FT at Apr-05 1030 AM .ER LCSN6 20250405 E DC202504051059/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0405: / 4.3 / 4.7 / 4.9 .E2 :0406: / 4.8 / 4.7 / 4.6 / 4.5 .E3 :0407: / 4.4 / 4.3 / 4.3 / 4.4 .E4 :0408: / 4.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.12/ 0.16/ 0.06/ 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.06/ 0.03/ 0.05/ : :************************************************************ :Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.3 FT at Apr-05 1000 AM .ER EBZN6 20250405 E DC202504051059/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0405: / 3.4 / 3.9 / 4.2 .E2 :0406: / 4.3 / 4.3 / 4.2 / 4.0 .E3 :0407: / 3.8 / 3.6 / 3.5 / 3.5 .E4 :0408: / 3.4 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.13/ 0.16/ 0.07/ 0.06/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.06/ 0.04/ 0.06/ : :************************************************************ :Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.0 FT at Apr-05 1015 AM .ER WILN6 20250405 E DC202504051059/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0405: / 2.7 / 2.6 / 2.6 .E2 :0406: / 2.7 / 2.7 / 2.8 / 2.9 .E3 :0407: / 2.8 / 2.7 / 2.7 / 2.6 .E4 :0408: / 2.6 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.11/ 0.15/ 0.05/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.07/ 0.04/ 0.04/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Wellsville, NY :Flood stage 11.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 5.0 FT at Apr-05 0945 AM .ER WLLN6 20250405 E DC202504051059/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0405: / 5.5 / 6.3 / 6.5 .E2 :0406: / 6.7 / 6.7 / 6.5 / 6.4 .E3 :0407: / 6.4 / 6.2 / 6.1 / 6.0 .E4 :0408: / 5.9 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.37/ 0.20/ 0.15/ 0.15/ 0.01/ 0.03/ 0.07/ 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.03/ 0.01/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Portageville, NY :Flood stage 19.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 10.2 FT at Apr-05 1000 AM .ER PRTN6 20250405 E DC202504051059/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0405: / 10.4 / 10.8 / 11.2 .E2 :0406: / 11.6 / 11.8 / 11.8 / 11.6 .E3 :0407: / 11.5 / 11.3 / 11.2 / 11.1 .E4 :0408: / 11.0 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.18/ 0.17/ 0.10/ 0.11/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.04/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.03/ 0.02/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY :Flood stage 760.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 600.4 FT at Apr-05 1000 AM .ER MMDN6 20250405 E DC202504051059/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6 :POOL FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0405: / 594.7 / 602.5 / 605.6 .E2 :0406: / 608.1 / 611.0 / 614.2 / 616.7 .E3 :0407: / 618.4 / 619.6 / 620.3 / 620.7 .E4 :0408: / 620.9 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.14/ 0.10/ 0.07/ 0.10/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.02/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Avon, NY :Flood stage 33.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 23.1 FT at Apr-05 1015 AM .ER AVON6 20250405 E DC202504051059/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0405: / 22.8 / 22.4 / 22.0 .E2 :0406: / 22.3 / 23.6 / 24.5 / 24.9 .E3 :0407: / 25.0 / 25.0 / 24.9 / 24.9 .E4 :0408: / 24.9 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.14/ 0.11/ 0.07/ 0.08/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.01/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION :************************************************************ :Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY :Flood stage 6.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.6 FT at Apr-05 1000 AM .ER GRBN6 20250405 E DC202504051059/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0405: / 3.6 / 3.6 / 3.6 .E2 :0406: / 3.6 / 3.6 / 3.6 / 3.6 .E3 :0407: / 3.6 / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.5 .E4 :0408: / 3.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.13/ 0.11/ 0.06/ 0.06/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.03/ 0.02/ : :************************************************************ :Black Creek - Churchville, NY :Flood stage 6.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.6 FT at Apr-05 1000 AM .ER CHRN6 20250405 E DC202504051059/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0405: / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.4 .E2 :0406: / 3.2 / 3.1 / 3.0 / 3.0 .E3 :0407: / 3.0 / 2.9 / 2.9 / 2.8 .E4 :0408: / 2.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.11/ 0.11/ 0.04/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.04/ 0.02/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Rochester, NY :Flood stage 15.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 9.2 FT at Apr-05 0800 AM .ER RHRN6 20250405 E DC202504051059/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0405: / 9.1 / 8.9 / 8.8 .E2 :0406: / 8.7 / 8.9 / 9.2 / 9.5 .E3 :0407: / 9.6 / 9.5 / 9.4 / 9.4 .E4 :0408: / 9.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.15/ 0.13/ 0.04/ 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.01/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION :************************************************************ :Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY :Flood stage 6.5 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.5 FT at Apr-05 1030 AM .ER HNYN6 20250405 E DC202504051059/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0405: / 3.5 / 3.6 / 3.7 .E2 :0406: / 3.9 / 4.0 / 4.0 / 3.9 .E3 :0407: / 3.8 / 3.7 / 3.7 / 3.6 .E4 :0408: / 3.6 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.13/ 0.15/ 0.11/ 0.11/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.03/ 0.01/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION :************************************************************ :Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua, NY :Flood stage 690.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 687.7 FT at Apr-05 1015 AM .ER CNDN6 20250405 E DC202504051059/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6 :POOL FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0405: / 687.7 / 687.7 / 687.7 .E2 :0406: / 687.7 / 687.8 / 687.8 / 687.8 .E3 :0407: / 687.8 / 687.8 / 687.8 / 687.8 .E4 :0408: / 687.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.13/ 0.12/ 0.11/ 0.10/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.01/ : :************************************************************ :Canandaigua Outlet - Chapin, NY :Flood stage 7.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.6 FT at Apr-05 1030 AM .ER CPNN6 20250405 E DC202504051059/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0405: / 3.6 / 3.6 / 3.7 .E2 :0406: / 3.7 / 3.7 / 3.7 / 3.7 .E3 :0407: / 3.7 / 3.6 / 3.6 / 3.6 .E4 :0408: / 3.6 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : : :************************************************************ :Black River - Boonville, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 7.4 FT at Apr-05 1000 AM .ER BOON6 20250405 E DC202504051059/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0405: / 7.2 / 7.2 / 7.2 .E2 :0406: / 7.3 / 7.4 / 7.4 / 7.4 .E3 :0407: / 7.4 / 7.3 / 7.1 / 6.9 .E4 :0408: / 6.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.18/ 0.12/ 0.10/ 0.10/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.07/ : :************************************************************ :Moose River - McKeever, NY :Flood stage 12.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 6.8 FT at Apr-05 1030 AM .ER MCKN6 20250405 E DC202504051059/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0405: / 6.6 / 6.4 / 6.2 .E2 :0406: / 6.1 / 6.1 / 6.0 / 6.0 .E3 :0407: / 5.9 / 5.8 / 5.6 / 5.5 .E4 :0408: / 5.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.12/ 0.09/ 0.08/ 0.09/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.03/ 0.09/ : :************************************************************ :Black River - Watertown, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 7.8 FT at Apr-05 1030 AM .ER ARTN6 20250405 E DC202504051059/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0405: / 7.8 / 7.9 / 8.0 .E2 :0406: / 8.0 / 8.0 / 7.9 / 7.7 .E3 :0407: / 7.5 / 7.3 / 7.1 / 7.0 .E4 :0408: / 7.0 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.14/ 0.08/ 0.09/ 0.07/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.03/ 0.07/ : :******************************************************************* : : $$ :NERFC :...END of MESSAGE...