River Forecast
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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554
FGUS51 KTAR 051459
RVFBUF
RIVER FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...NORTON, MA
1059 AM EDT Sat Apr 05 2025
:
:THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER.
:OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES.
:
:************************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Attica, NY
:Flood stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 3.8 FT at Apr-05 1000 AM
.ER ATTN6 20250405 E DC202504051059/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM
.E1  :0405:          /   4.0 /   4.2 /   4.2
.E2  :0406:  /   4.2 /   4.1 /   4.0 /   3.9
.E3  :0407:  /   3.9 /   3.8 /   3.8 /   3.8
.E4  :0408:  /   3.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.14/ 0.15/ 0.08/ 0.07/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.03/ 0.05/
:
:************************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY
:Flood stage 9.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 2.8 FT at Apr-05 1000 AM
.ER BTVN6 20250405 E DC202504051059/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM
.E1  :0405:          /   2.7 /   2.7 /   2.9
.E2  :0406:  /   3.0 /   3.1 /   3.2 /   3.1
.E3  :0407:  /   3.0 /   3.0 /   2.9 /   2.8
.E4  :0408:  /   2.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.13/ 0.13/ 0.06/ 0.06/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.04/ 0.04/
:
:************************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY
:Flood stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 4.9 FT at Apr-05 1000 AM
.ER RAPN6 20250405 E DC202504051059/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM
.E1  :0405:          /   4.7 /   4.4 /   4.1
.E2  :0406:  /   3.9 /   3.7 /   3.5 /   3.4
.E3  :0407:  /   3.4 /   3.4 /   3.5 /   3.5
.E4  :0408:  /   3.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.11/ 0.13/ 0.04/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.07/ 0.04/ 0.03/
:
:************************************************************
:Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY
:Flood stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 2.9 FT at Apr-05 1015 AM
.ER GOWN6 20250405 E DC202504051059/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM
.E1  :0405:          /   3.3 /   3.6 /   3.9
.E2  :0406:  /   3.9 /   3.9 /   3.7 /   3.5
.E3  :0407:  /   3.3 /   3.2 /   3.1 /   3.1
.E4  :0408:  /   3.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.14/ 0.16/ 0.09/ 0.11/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.04/ 0.05/
:
:************************************************************
:Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY
:Flood stage 7.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 1.5 FT at Apr-05 1015 AM
.ER GDVN6 20250405 E DC202504051059/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM
.E1  :0405:          /   1.6 /   2.0 /   2.3
.E2  :0406:  /   2.3 /   2.2 /   2.0 /   1.8
.E3  :0407:  /   1.7 /   1.6 /   1.5 /   1.6
.E4  :0408:  /   1.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.13/ 0.15/ 0.07/ 0.06/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.06/ 0.03/ 0.06/
:
:************************************************************
:Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY
:Flood stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 4.2 FT at Apr-05 1030 AM
.ER LCSN6 20250405 E DC202504051059/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM
.E1  :0405:          /   4.3 /   4.7 /   4.9
.E2  :0406:  /   4.8 /   4.7 /   4.6 /   4.5
.E3  :0407:  /   4.4 /   4.3 /   4.3 /   4.4
.E4  :0408:  /   4.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.12/ 0.16/ 0.06/ 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.06/ 0.03/ 0.05/
:
:************************************************************
:Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY
:Flood stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 3.3 FT at Apr-05 1000 AM
.ER EBZN6 20250405 E DC202504051059/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM
.E1  :0405:          /   3.4 /   3.9 /   4.2
.E2  :0406:  /   4.3 /   4.3 /   4.2 /   4.0
.E3  :0407:  /   3.8 /   3.6 /   3.5 /   3.5
.E4  :0408:  /   3.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.13/ 0.16/ 0.07/ 0.06/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.06/ 0.04/ 0.06/
:
:************************************************************
:Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY
:Flood stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 3.0 FT at Apr-05 1015 AM
.ER WILN6 20250405 E DC202504051059/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM
.E1  :0405:          /   2.7 /   2.6 /   2.6
.E2  :0406:  /   2.7 /   2.7 /   2.8 /   2.9
.E3  :0407:  /   2.8 /   2.7 /   2.7 /   2.6
.E4  :0408:  /   2.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.11/ 0.15/ 0.05/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.07/ 0.04/ 0.04/
:
:************************************************************
:Genesee River - Wellsville, NY
:Flood stage 11.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 5.0 FT at Apr-05 0945 AM
.ER WLLN6 20250405 E DC202504051059/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM
.E1  :0405:          /   5.5 /   6.3 /   6.5
.E2  :0406:  /   6.7 /   6.7 /   6.5 /   6.4
.E3  :0407:  /   6.4 /   6.2 /   6.1 /   6.0
.E4  :0408:  /   5.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.37/ 0.20/ 0.15/ 0.15/ 0.01/ 0.03/ 0.07/ 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.03/ 0.01/
:
:************************************************************
:Genesee River - Portageville, NY
:Flood stage 19.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 10.2 FT at Apr-05 1000 AM
.ER PRTN6 20250405 E DC202504051059/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM
.E1  :0405:          /  10.4 /  10.8 /  11.2
.E2  :0406:  /  11.6 /  11.8 /  11.8 /  11.6
.E3  :0407:  /  11.5 /  11.3 /  11.2 /  11.1
.E4  :0408:  /  11.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.18/ 0.17/ 0.10/ 0.11/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.04/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.03/ 0.02/
:
:RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:************************************************************
:Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY
:Flood stage 760.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 600.4 FT at Apr-05 1000 AM
.ER MMDN6 20250405 E DC202504051059/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST   /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM
.E1  :0405:          / 594.7 / 602.5 / 605.6
.E2  :0406:  / 608.1 / 611.0 / 614.2 / 616.7
.E3  :0407:  / 618.4 / 619.6 / 620.3 / 620.7
.E4  :0408:  / 620.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.14/ 0.10/ 0.07/ 0.10/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.02/
:
:************************************************************
:Genesee River - Avon, NY
:Flood stage 33.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 23.1 FT at Apr-05 1015 AM
.ER AVON6 20250405 E DC202504051059/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM
.E1  :0405:          /  22.8 /  22.4 /  22.0
.E2  :0406:  /  22.3 /  23.6 /  24.5 /  24.9
.E3  :0407:  /  25.0 /  25.0 /  24.9 /  24.9
.E4  :0408:  /  24.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.14/ 0.11/ 0.07/ 0.08/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.01/
:
:RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:************************************************************
:Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY
:Flood stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 3.6 FT at Apr-05 1000 AM
.ER GRBN6 20250405 E DC202504051059/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM
.E1  :0405:          /   3.6 /   3.6 /   3.6
.E2  :0406:  /   3.6 /   3.6 /   3.6 /   3.6
.E3  :0407:  /   3.6 /   3.5 /   3.5 /   3.5
.E4  :0408:  /   3.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.13/ 0.11/ 0.06/ 0.06/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.03/ 0.02/
:
:************************************************************
:Black Creek - Churchville, NY
:Flood stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 3.6 FT at Apr-05 1000 AM
.ER CHRN6 20250405 E DC202504051059/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM
.E1  :0405:          /   3.4 /   3.4 /   3.4
.E2  :0406:  /   3.2 /   3.1 /   3.0 /   3.0
.E3  :0407:  /   3.0 /   2.9 /   2.9 /   2.8
.E4  :0408:  /   2.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.11/ 0.11/ 0.04/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.04/ 0.02/
:
:************************************************************
:Genesee River - Rochester, NY
:Flood stage 15.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 9.2 FT at Apr-05 0800 AM
.ER RHRN6 20250405 E DC202504051059/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM
.E1  :0405:          /   9.1 /   8.9 /   8.8
.E2  :0406:  /   8.7 /   8.9 /   9.2 /   9.5
.E3  :0407:  /   9.6 /   9.5 /   9.4 /   9.4
.E4  :0408:  /   9.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.15/ 0.13/ 0.04/ 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.01/
:
:RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:************************************************************
:Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY
:Flood stage 6.5 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 3.5 FT at Apr-05 1030 AM
.ER HNYN6 20250405 E DC202504051059/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM
.E1  :0405:          /   3.5 /   3.6 /   3.7
.E2  :0406:  /   3.9 /   4.0 /   4.0 /   3.9
.E3  :0407:  /   3.8 /   3.7 /   3.7 /   3.6
.E4  :0408:  /   3.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.13/ 0.15/ 0.11/ 0.11/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.03/ 0.01/
:
:RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:************************************************************
:Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua, NY
:Flood stage 690.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 687.7 FT at Apr-05 1015 AM
.ER CNDN6 20250405 E DC202504051059/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST   /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM
.E1  :0405:          / 687.7 / 687.7 / 687.7
.E2  :0406:  / 687.7 / 687.8 / 687.8 / 687.8
.E3  :0407:  / 687.8 / 687.8 / 687.8 / 687.8
.E4  :0408:  / 687.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.13/ 0.12/ 0.11/ 0.10/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.01/
:
:************************************************************
:Canandaigua Outlet - Chapin, NY
:Flood stage 7.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 3.6 FT at Apr-05 1030 AM
.ER CPNN6 20250405 E DC202504051059/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM
.E1  :0405:          /   3.6 /   3.6 /   3.7
.E2  :0406:  /   3.7 /   3.7 /   3.7 /   3.7
.E3  :0407:  /   3.7 /   3.6 /   3.6 /   3.6
.E4  :0408:  /   3.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
:
:
:************************************************************
:Black River - Boonville, NY
:Flood stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 7.4 FT at Apr-05 1000 AM
.ER BOON6 20250405 E DC202504051059/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM
.E1  :0405:          /   7.2 /   7.2 /   7.2
.E2  :0406:  /   7.3 /   7.4 /   7.4 /   7.4
.E3  :0407:  /   7.4 /   7.3 /   7.1 /   6.9
.E4  :0408:  /   6.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.18/ 0.12/ 0.10/ 0.10/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.07/
:
:************************************************************
:Moose River - McKeever, NY
:Flood stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 6.8 FT at Apr-05 1030 AM
.ER MCKN6 20250405 E DC202504051059/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM
.E1  :0405:          /   6.6 /   6.4 /   6.2
.E2  :0406:  /   6.1 /   6.1 /   6.0 /   6.0
.E3  :0407:  /   5.9 /   5.8 /   5.6 /   5.5
.E4  :0408:  /   5.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.12/ 0.09/ 0.08/ 0.09/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.03/ 0.09/
:
:************************************************************
:Black River - Watertown, NY
:Flood stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 7.8 FT at Apr-05 1030 AM
.ER ARTN6 20250405 E DC202504051059/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM
.E1  :0405:          /   7.8 /   7.9 /   8.0
.E2  :0406:  /   8.0 /   8.0 /   7.9 /   7.7
.E3  :0407:  /   7.5 /   7.3 /   7.1 /   7.0
.E4  :0408:  /   7.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.14/ 0.08/ 0.09/ 0.07/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.03/ 0.07/
:
:*******************************************************************
:
:
$$
:NERFC
:...END of MESSAGE...