River Forecast
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
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657 FGUS51 KTAR 161457 RVFBUF RIVER FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...NORTON, MA 1056 AM EDT Fri May 16 2025 : :THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER. :OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES. : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Attica, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.8 FT at May-16 1000 AM .ER ATTN6 20250516 E DC202505161056/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0516: / 3.7 / 3.6 / 3.6 .E2 :0517: / 3.6 / 4.0 / 4.2 / 4.1 .E3 :0518: / 3.9 / 3.7 / 3.7 / 3.6 .E4 :0519: / 3.6 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.24/ 0.13/ 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY :Flood stage 9.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.2 FT at May-16 1000 AM .ER BTVN6 20250516 E DC202505161056/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0516: / 2.2 / 2.2 / 2.2 .E2 :0517: / 2.2 / 2.2 / 2.2 / 2.2 .E3 :0518: / 2.2 / 2.2 / 2.1 / 2.1 .E4 :0519: / 2.1 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.06/ 0.21/ 0.12/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY :Flood stage 12.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.1 FT at May-16 1000 AM .ER RAPN6 20250516 E DC202505161056/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0516: / 2.1 / 2.1 / 2.1 .E2 :0517: / 2.1 / 2.1 / 2.1 / 2.1 .E3 :0518: / 2.1 / 2.1 / 2.1 / 2.1 .E4 :0519: / 2.1 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.10/ 0.10/ 0.09/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.6 FT at May-16 1015 AM .ER GOWN6 20250516 E DC202505161056/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0516: / 3.3 / 2.7 / 2.5 .E2 :0517: / 2.5 / 2.6 / 3.2 / 3.5 .E3 :0518: / 2.9 / 2.7 / 2.6 / 2.5 .E4 :0519: / 2.4 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.18/ 0.15/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY :Flood stage 7.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.3 FT at May-16 1015 AM .ER GDVN6 20250516 E DC202505161056/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0516: / 1.1 / 1.0 / 0.9 .E2 :0517: / 1.0 / 1.8 / 1.9 / 1.7 .E3 :0518: / 1.5 / 1.3 / 1.2 / 1.1 .E4 :0519: / 1.0 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.07/ 0.23/ 0.10/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 4.6 FT at May-16 1030 AM .ER LCSN6 20250516 E DC202505161056/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0516: / 4.2 / 4.1 / 4.0 .E2 :0517: / 4.0 / 4.6 / 4.5 / 4.4 .E3 :0518: / 4.3 / 4.2 / 4.1 / 3.9 .E4 :0519: / 3.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.08/ 0.20/ 0.09/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.1 FT at May-16 1000 AM .ER EBZN6 20250516 E DC202505161056/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0516: / 3.2 / 3.5 / 3.4 .E2 :0517: / 3.4 / 3.3 / 3.6 / 4.0 .E3 :0518: / 4.1 / 4.0 / 3.9 / 3.7 .E4 :0519: / 3.6 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.07/ 0.24/ 0.10/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.3 FT at May-16 1015 AM .ER WILN6 20250516 E DC202505161056/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0516: / 2.2 / 2.2 / 2.2 .E2 :0517: / 2.3 / 2.5 / 2.7 / 2.6 .E3 :0518: / 2.6 / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.4 .E4 :0519: / 2.4 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.11/ 0.12/ 0.07/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Wellsville, NY :Flood stage 11.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 5.3 FT at May-16 0945 AM .ER WLLN6 20250516 E DC202505161056/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0516: / 5.5 / 5.7 / 5.6 .E2 :0517: / 5.5 / 5.4 / 5.4 / 5.5 .E3 :0518: / 5.6 / 5.5 / 5.4 / 5.3 .E4 :0519: / 5.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.08/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.04/ 0.15/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Portageville, NY :Flood stage 19.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 10.1 FT at May-16 1000 AM .ER PRTN6 20250516 E DC202505161056/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0516: / 10.1 / 10.1 / 10.2 .E2 :0517: / 10.3 / 10.3 / 10.2 / 10.3 .E3 :0518: / 10.3 / 10.3 / 10.3 / 10.3 .E4 :0519: / 10.2 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.09/ 0.17/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY :Flood stage 760.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 636.1 FT at May-16 1000 AM .ER MMDN6 20250516 E DC202505161056/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6 :POOL FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0516: / 635.0 / 633.4 / 631.7 .E2 :0517: / 630.0 / 628.3 / 626.4 / 624.5 .E3 :0518: / 622.4 / 620.3 / 618.1 / 616.2 .E4 :0519: / 613.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.12/ 0.16/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Avon, NY :Flood stage 33.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 27.7 FT at May-16 1015 AM .ER AVON6 20250516 E DC202505161056/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0516: / 27.6 / 27.5 / 27.5 .E2 :0517: / 27.3 / 27.2 / 27.0 / 26.9 .E3 :0518: / 26.8 / 26.7 / 26.5 / 26.2 .E4 :0519: / 25.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.06/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.13/ 0.16/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION :************************************************************ :Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY :Flood stage 6.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.0 FT at May-16 1000 AM .ER GRBN6 20250516 E DC202505161056/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0516: / 3.0 / 3.0 / 2.9 .E2 :0517: / 2.9 / 2.9 / 2.9 / 2.9 .E3 :0518: / 3.0 / 3.0 / 2.9 / 2.9 .E4 :0519: / 2.9 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.16/ 0.13/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Black Creek - Churchville, NY :Flood stage 6.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.1 FT at May-16 1000 AM .ER CHRN6 20250516 E DC202505161056/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0516: / 2.1 / 2.1 / 2.1 .E2 :0517: / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0 .E3 :0518: / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0 .E4 :0519: / 2.0 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.09/ 0.11/ 0.10/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Rochester, NY :Flood stage 15.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 10.1 FT at May-15 0800 AM .ER RHRN6 20250516 E DC202505161056/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0516: / 9.8 / 9.8 / 9.7 .E2 :0517: / 9.7 / 9.7 / 9.6 / 9.6 .E3 :0518: / 9.6 / 9.5 / 9.5 / 9.4 .E4 :0519: / 9.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.07/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.08/ 0.16/ 0.13/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION :************************************************************ :Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY :Flood stage 6.5 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.4 FT at May-16 1030 AM .ER HNYN6 20250516 E DC202505161056/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0516: / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.4 .E2 :0517: / 3.4 / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.4 .E3 :0518: / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.3 / 3.3 .E4 :0519: / 3.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.11/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.13/ 0.22/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION :************************************************************ :Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua, NY :Flood stage 690.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 688.7 FT at May-16 1015 AM .ER CNDN6 20250516 E DC202505161056/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6 :POOL FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0516: / 688.7 / 688.7 / 688.6 .E2 :0517: / 688.6 / 688.6 / 688.7 / 688.7 .E3 :0518: / 688.7 / 688.7 / 688.7 / 688.6 .E4 :0519: / 688.6 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.14/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.10/ 0.24/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Canandaigua Outlet - Chapin, NY :Flood stage 7.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 5.0 FT at May-16 1030 AM .ER CPNN6 20250516 E DC202505161056/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0516: / 4.8 / 4.5 / 4.4 .E2 :0517: / 4.4 / 4.4 / 4.5 / 4.5 .E3 :0518: / 4.5 / 4.5 / 4.5 / 4.4 .E4 :0519: / 4.4 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : : :************************************************************ :Black River - Boonville, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 5.1 FT at May-16 1000 AM .ER BOON6 20250516 E DC202505161056/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0516: / 5.1 / 5.1 / 5.1 .E2 :0517: / 5.0 / 5.1 / 5.3 / 5.6 .E3 :0518: / 6.1 / 6.5 / 6.7 / 6.6 .E4 :0519: / 6.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.04/ 0.22/ 0.03/ 0.05/ 0.41/ 0.36/ 0.04/ 0.05/ 0.08/ 0.04/ 0.01/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Moose River - McKeever, NY :Flood stage 12.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.5 FT at May-16 1030 AM .ER MCKN6 20250516 E DC202505161056/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0516: / 3.5 / 3.4 / 3.4 .E2 :0517: / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.6 / 3.8 .E3 :0518: / 4.1 / 4.3 / 4.4 / 4.4 .E4 :0519: / 4.4 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.01/ 0.18/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.44/ 0.38/ 0.04/ 0.04/ 0.08/ 0.06/ 0.01/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Black River - Watertown, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 4.8 FT at May-16 1030 AM .ER ARTN6 20250516 E DC202505161056/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0516: / 4.9 / 4.8 / 4.8 .E2 :0517: / 4.7 / 4.7 / 4.8 / 4.9 .E3 :0518: / 5.1 / 5.2 / 5.3 / 5.3 .E4 :0519: / 5.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.05/ 0.11/ 0.01/ 0.08/ 0.35/ 0.29/ 0.02/ 0.05/ 0.09/ 0.04/ 0.01/ 0.00/ : :******************************************************************* : : $$ :NERFC :...END of MESSAGE...