River Forecast
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
Versions:
1
658 FGUS51 KTAR 171457 RVFBUF RIVER FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...NORTON, MA 1057 AM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025 : :THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER. :OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES. : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Attica, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.3 FT at Oct-17 1000 AM .ER ATTN6 20251017 E DC202510171057/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1017: / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 .E2 :1018: / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 .E3 :1019: / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.4 / 3.4 .E4 :1020: / 3.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.06/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.06/ 0.26/ 0.25/ 0.18/ : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY :Flood stage 9.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.4 FT at Oct-17 1000 AM .ER BTVN6 20251017 E DC202510171057/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1017: / 1.4 / 1.4 / 1.4 .E2 :1018: / 1.4 / 1.4 / 1.5 / 1.5 .E3 :1019: / 1.5 / 1.5 / 1.5 / 1.6 .E4 :1020: / 1.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.05/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.06/ 0.23/ 0.23/ 0.17/ : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY :Flood stage 12.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.1 FT at Oct-17 1000 AM .ER RAPN6 20251017 E DC202510171057/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1017: / 1.1 / 1.1 / 1.1 .E2 :1018: / 1.1 / 1.1 / 1.1 / 1.1 .E3 :1019: / 1.1 / 1.1 / 1.2 / 1.2 .E4 :1020: / 1.2 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.08/ 0.23/ 0.18/ 0.15/ : :************************************************************ :Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.0 FT at Oct-17 1015 AM .ER GOWN6 20251017 E DC202510171057/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1017: / 1.0 / 1.0 / 1.1 .E2 :1018: / 1.2 / 1.2 / 1.2 / 1.1 .E3 :1019: / 1.1 / 1.2 / 1.6 / 2.0 .E4 :1020: / 2.2 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.10/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.08/ 0.30/ 0.26/ 0.22/ : :************************************************************ :Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY :Flood stage 7.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 0.4 FT at Oct-17 1015 AM .ER GDVN6 20251017 E DC202510171057/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1017: / 0.4 / 0.4 / 0.5 .E2 :1018: / 0.5 / 0.5 / 0.4 / 0.4 .E3 :1019: / 0.5 / 0.6 / 0.8 / 0.8 .E4 :1020: / 0.9 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.07/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.08/ 0.27/ 0.23/ 0.18/ : :************************************************************ :Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.5 FT at Oct-17 1030 AM .ER LCSN6 20251017 E DC202510171057/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1017: / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.7 .E2 :1018: / 2.9 / 2.7 / 2.6 / 2.6 .E3 :1019: / 2.7 / 2.9 / 3.3 / 3.4 .E4 :1020: / 3.4 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.06/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.07/ 0.25/ 0.21/ 0.17/ : :************************************************************ :Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.1 FT at Oct-17 1000 AM .ER EBZN6 20251017 E DC202510171057/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1017: / 2.2 / 2.2 / 2.3 .E2 :1018: / 2.3 / 2.2 / 2.2 / 2.2 .E3 :1019: / 2.2 / 2.3 / 2.7 / 3.1 .E4 :1020: / 3.1 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.06/ 0.07/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.09/ 0.29/ 0.23/ 0.21/ : :************************************************************ :Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.8 FT at Oct-17 1015 AM .ER WILN6 20251017 E DC202510171057/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1017: / 1.8 / 1.8 / 1.8 .E2 :1018: / 1.8 / 1.8 / 1.8 / 1.8 .E3 :1019: / 1.8 / 1.8 / 1.8 / 1.9 .E4 :1020: / 2.0 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.05/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.08/ 0.25/ 0.18/ 0.16/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Wellsville, NY :Flood stage 11.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 4.2 FT at Oct-17 0945 AM .ER WLLN6 20251017 E DC202510171057/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1017: / 4.2 / 4.2 / 4.2 .E2 :1018: / 4.3 / 4.3 / 4.3 / 4.3 .E3 :1019: / 4.3 / 4.3 / 4.5 / 4.7 .E4 :1020: / 4.9 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.23/ 0.33/ 0.23/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Portageville, NY :Flood stage 19.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 9.1 FT at Oct-17 1000 AM .ER PRTN6 20251017 E DC202510171057/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1017: / 9.1 / 9.1 / 9.1 .E2 :1018: / 9.1 / 9.1 / 9.1 / 9.1 .E3 :1019: / 9.1 / 9.1 / 9.1 / 9.3 .E4 :1020: / 9.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.07/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.06/ 0.25/ 0.24/ 0.20/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY :Flood stage 760.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 587.0 FT at Oct-17 1000 AM .ER MMDN6 20251017 E DC202510171057/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6 :POOL FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1017: / 587.0 / 587.0 / 587.0 .E2 :1018: / 587.0 / 587.0 / 587.0 / 587.0 .E3 :1019: / 587.0 / 587.1 / 587.5 / 588.1 .E4 :1020: / 588.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.05/ 0.22/ 0.21/ 0.18/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Avon, NY :Flood stage 33.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 15.2 FT at Oct-17 1015 AM .ER AVON6 20251017 E DC202510171057/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1017: / 15.2 / 15.2 / 15.1 .E2 :1018: / 15.1 / 15.1 / 15.1 / 15.1 .E3 :1019: / 15.1 / 15.1 / 15.1 / 15.1 .E4 :1020: / 15.2 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.04/ 0.19/ 0.21/ 0.18/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION :************************************************************ :Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY :Flood stage 6.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.2 FT at Oct-17 1000 AM .ER GRBN6 20251017 E DC202510171057/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1017: / 2.2 / 2.2 / 2.2 .E2 :1018: / 2.2 / 2.2 / 2.2 / 2.2 .E3 :1019: / 2.2 / 2.2 / 2.2 / 2.2 .E4 :1020: / 2.2 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.05/ 0.22/ 0.23/ 0.17/ : :************************************************************ :Black Creek - Churchville, NY :Flood stage 6.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.2 FT at Oct-17 1000 AM .ER CHRN6 20251017 E DC202510171057/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1017: / 1.2 / 1.2 / 1.2 .E2 :1018: / 1.2 / 1.2 / 1.2 / 1.2 .E3 :1019: / 1.2 / 1.3 / 1.3 / 1.3 .E4 :1020: / 1.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.06/ 0.20/ 0.21/ 0.15/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Rochester, NY :Flood stage 15.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 4.1 FT at Oct-17 0800 AM .ER RHRN6 20251017 E DC202510171057/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1017: / 4.1 / 4.1 / 4.0 .E2 :1018: / 4.0 / 4.0 / 3.9 / 3.9 .E3 :1019: / 3.9 / 3.9 / 3.9 / 3.9 .E4 :1020: / 3.9 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.05/ 0.17/ 0.21/ 0.18/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION :************************************************************ :Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY :Flood stage 6.5 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.8 FT at Oct-17 1030 AM .ER HNYN6 20251017 E DC202510171057/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1017: / 1.8 / 1.8 / 1.8 .E2 :1018: / 1.8 / 1.8 / 1.8 / 1.8 .E3 :1019: / 1.8 / 1.8 / 1.9 / 2.1 .E4 :1020: / 2.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.15/ 0.21/ 0.21/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION :************************************************************ :Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua, NY :Flood stage 690.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 686.8 FT at Oct-17 1015 AM .ER CNDN6 20251017 E DC202510171057/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6 :POOL FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1017: / 686.8 / 686.8 / 686.8 .E2 :1018: / 686.8 / 686.8 / 686.8 / 686.8 .E3 :1019: / 686.8 / 686.8 / 686.8 / 686.8 .E4 :1020: / 686.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.12/ 0.20/ 0.22/ : :************************************************************ :Canandaigua Outlet - Chapin, NY :Flood stage 7.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.2 FT at Oct-17 1030 AM .ER CPNN6 20251017 E DC202510171057/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1017: / 3.2 / 3.2 / 3.2 .E2 :1018: / 3.2 / 3.2 / 3.2 / 3.2 .E3 :1019: / 3.2 / 3.2 / 3.2 / 3.3 .E4 :1020: / 3.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : : :************************************************************ :Black River - Boonville, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.9 FT at Oct-17 1000 AM .ER BOON6 20251017 E DC202510171057/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1017: / 3.9 / 3.9 / 3.9 .E2 :1018: / 3.9 / 3.9 / 3.9 / 3.9 .E3 :1019: / 3.9 / 3.9 / 3.9 / 3.9 .E4 :1020: / 4.1 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.06/ 0.24/ 0.58/ : :************************************************************ :Moose River - McKeever, NY :Flood stage 12.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.0 FT at Oct-17 1030 AM .ER MCKN6 20251017 E DC202510171057/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1017: / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0 .E2 :1018: / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0 .E3 :1019: / 2.0 / 2.0 / 1.9 / 2.0 .E4 :1020: / 2.2 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.19/ 0.61/ : :************************************************************ :Black River - Watertown, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.7 FT at Oct-17 1030 AM .ER ARTN6 20251017 E DC202510171057/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1017: / 2.6 / 2.6 / 2.6 .E2 :1018: / 2.6 / 2.6 / 2.6 / 2.6 .E3 :1019: / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.6 .E4 :1020: / 2.7 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.09/ 0.25/ 0.41/ : :******************************************************************* : : $$ :NERFC :...END of MESSAGE...