River Forecast
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
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329 FGUS51 KTAR 281619 RVFBUF RIVER FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...NORTON, MA 1119 AM EST Fri Feb 28 2025 : :THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER. :OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES. : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Attica, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 4.3 FT at Feb-28 1100 AM .ER ATTN6 20250228 E DC202502281119/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :0228: / 4.1 / 4.0 / 3.8 .E2 :0301: / 3.8 / 3.9 / 4.2 / 4.3 .E3 :0302: / 4.1 / 3.9 / 3.8 / 3.8 .E4 :0303: / 3.7 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.11/ 0.06/ 0.04/ 0.04/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ :Stage Reading is Affected by Ice. Forecast Represents :Natural Flow. :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY :Flood stage 9.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.5 FT at Feb-28 1100 AM .ER BTVN6 20250228 E DC202502281119/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :0228: / 3.6 / 3.7 / 3.8 .E2 :0301: / 3.7 / 3.7 / 3.7 / 3.6 .E3 :0302: / 3.5 / 3.3 / 3.2 / 3.1 .E4 :0303: / 2.9 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.10/ 0.05/ 0.04/ 0.04/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY :Flood stage 12.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 5.5 FT at Feb-28 1100 AM .ER RAPN6 20250228 E DC202502281119/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :0228: / 3.8 / 3.9 / 4.0 .E2 :0301: / 4.1 / 4.3 / 4.6 / 4.9 .E3 :0302: / 5.0 / 5.0 / 5.0 / 4.9 .E4 :0303: / 4.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.06/ 0.07/ 0.03/ 0.03/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ :Stage Reading is Affected by Ice. Forecast Represents :Natural Flow. :************************************************************ :Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 4.2 FT at Feb-28 1015 AM .ER GOWN6 20250228 E DC202502281119/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :0228: / 4.2 / 4.1 / 4.2 .E2 :0301: / 4.4 / 4.4 / 4.2 / 4.0 .E3 :0302: / 3.9 / 3.7 / 3.6 / 3.4 .E4 :0303: / 3.2 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.12/ 0.05/ 0.04/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY :Flood stage 7.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.0 FT at Feb-28 1015 AM .ER GDVN6 20250228 E DC202502281119/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :0228: / 2.7 / 2.3 / 2.5 .E2 :0301: / 2.7 / 2.6 / 2.4 / 2.2 .E3 :0302: / 2.0 / 1.8 / 1.7 / 1.6 .E4 :0303: / 1.6 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.10/ 0.05/ 0.04/ 0.03/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 5.2 FT at Feb-28 1030 AM .ER LCSN6 20250228 E DC202502281119/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :0228: / 4.6 / 4.6 / 5.0 .E2 :0301: / 5.0 / 4.9 / 4.8 / 4.7 .E3 :0302: / 4.6 / 4.5 / 4.4 / 4.4 .E4 :0303: / 4.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.08/ 0.05/ 0.04/ 0.03/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ :Stage Reading is Affected by Ice. Forecast Represents :Natural Flow. :************************************************************ :Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 4.6 FT at Feb-28 1100 AM .ER EBZN6 20250228 E DC202502281119/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :0228: / 4.6 / 4.5 / 4.5 .E2 :0301: / 4.7 / 4.7 / 4.6 / 4.4 .E3 :0302: / 4.2 / 4.0 / 3.8 / 3.6 .E4 :0303: / 3.4 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.09/ 0.06/ 0.04/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ :Stage Reading is Affected by Ice. Forecast Represents :Natural Flow. :************************************************************ :Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.6 FT at Feb-28 1015 AM .ER WILN6 20250228 E DC202502281119/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :0228: / 3.6 / 3.5 / 3.7 .E2 :0301: / 3.8 / 3.8 / 3.7 / 3.6 .E3 :0302: / 3.5 / 3.4 / 3.3 / 3.2 .E4 :0303: / 3.1 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.07/ 0.04/ 0.03/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Wellsville, NY :Flood stage 11.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 6.4 FT at Feb-28 1045 AM .ER WLLN6 20250228 E DC202502281119/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :0228: / 6.2 / 6.0 / 5.9 .E2 :0301: / 5.9 / 6.0 / 6.0 / 5.9 .E3 :0302: / 5.8 / 5.7 / 5.6 / 5.5 .E4 :0303: / 5.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.05/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ :Stage Reading is Affected by Ice. Forecast Represents :Natural Flow. :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Portageville, NY :Flood stage 19.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 12.5 FT at Feb-28 1100 AM .ER PRTN6 20250228 E DC202502281119/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :0228: / 11.8 / 11.6 / 11.4 .E2 :0301: / 11.4 / 11.4 / 11.5 / 11.5 .E3 :0302: / 11.4 / 11.2 / 11.1 / 10.9 .E4 :0303: / 10.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.08/ 0.04/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ :Stage Reading is Affected by Ice. Forecast Represents :Natural Flow. :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY :Flood stage 760.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 623.0 FT at Feb-28 1100 AM .ER MMDN6 20250228 E DC202502281119/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6 :POOL FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :0228: / 623.2 / 624.2 / 624.9 .E2 :0301: / 625.3 / 625.5 / 625.7 / 626.1 .E3 :0302: / 626.3 / 625.7 / 625.9 / 625.7 .E4 :0303: / 625.4 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.08/ 0.03/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Avon, NY :Flood stage 33.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 27.2 FT at Feb-28 1015 AM .ER AVON6 20250228 E DC202502281119/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :0228: / 26.7 / 27.0 / 27.3 .E2 :0301: / 27.5 / 27.6 / 27.4 / 27.2 .E3 :0302: / 27.0 / 26.9 / 26.8 / 26.7 .E4 :0303: / 26.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.04/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION :************************************************************ :Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY :Flood stage 6.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 4.0 FT at Feb-28 1100 AM .ER GRBN6 20250228 E DC202502281119/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :0228: / 3.7 / 3.9 / 4.0 .E2 :0301: / 4.1 / 4.1 / 4.0 / 4.0 .E3 :0302: / 4.0 / 4.1 / 4.1 / 4.0 .E4 :0303: / 4.0 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.08/ 0.03/ 0.03/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ :Stage Reading is Affected by Ice. Forecast Represents :Natural Flow. :************************************************************ :Black Creek - Churchville, NY :Flood stage 6.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.2 FT at Feb-28 1100 AM .ER CHRN6 20250228 E DC202502281119/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :0228: / 2.5 / 2.6 / 2.6 .E2 :0301: / 2.7 / 2.8 / 2.8 / 2.8 .E3 :0302: / 2.8 / 2.7 / 2.7 / 2.7 .E4 :0303: / 2.6 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.07/ 0.06/ 0.03/ 0.03/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ :Stage Reading is Affected by Ice. Forecast Represents :Natural Flow. :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Rochester, NY :Flood stage 15.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 9.8 FT at Feb-28 0700 AM .ER RHRN6 20250228 E DC202502281119/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :0228: / 8.9 / 9.1 / 9.2 .E2 :0301: / 9.4 / 9.5 / 9.4 / 9.3 .E3 :0302: / 9.2 / 9.1 / 9.1 / 9.0 .E4 :0303: / 8.9 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.06/ 0.03/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION :************************************************************ :Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY :Flood stage 6.5 ft :Latest Observed Value - 4.8 FT at Feb-28 1030 AM .ER HNYN6 20250228 E DC202502281119/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :0228: / 4.5 / 4.6 / 4.5 .E2 :0301: / 4.4 / 4.2 / 4.1 / 4.0 .E3 :0302: / 4.0 / 4.0 / 4.0 / 3.9 .E4 :0303: / 3.9 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.03/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ :Stage Reading is Affected by Ice. Forecast Represents :Natural Flow. :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION :************************************************************ :Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua, NY :Flood stage 690.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 687.4 FT at Feb-28 1115 AM .ER CNDN6 20250228 E DC202502281119/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6 :POOL FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :0228: / 687.4 / 687.4 / 687.4 .E2 :0301: / 687.5 / 687.5 / 687.5 / 687.5 .E3 :0302: / 687.5 / 687.5 / 687.6 / 687.6 .E4 :0303: / 687.6 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.03/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Canandaigua Outlet - Chapin, NY :Flood stage 7.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.7 FT at Feb-28 1030 AM .ER CPNN6 20250228 E DC202502281119/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :0228: / 3.7 / 3.7 / 3.7 .E2 :0301: / 3.7 / 3.7 / 3.7 / 3.7 .E3 :0302: / 3.7 / 3.7 / 3.7 / 3.7 .E4 :0303: / 3.7 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : : :************************************************************ :Black River - Boonville, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 6.0 FT at Feb-28 1100 AM .ER BOON6 20250228 E DC202502281119/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :0228: / 4.5 / 4.5 / 4.5 .E2 :0301: / 4.5 / 4.5 / 4.5 / 4.4 .E3 :0302: / 4.4 / 4.4 / 4.4 / 4.4 .E4 :0303: / 4.4 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.24/ 0.11/ 0.07/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ :Stage Reading is Affected by Ice. Forecast Represents :Natural Flow. :************************************************************ :Moose River - McKeever, NY :Flood stage 12.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 4.4 FT at Feb-28 1030 AM .ER MCKN6 20250228 E DC202502281119/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :0228: / 2.2 / 2.2 / 2.3 .E2 :0301: / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.2 .E3 :0302: / 2.2 / 2.2 / 2.2 / 2.2 .E4 :0303: / 2.2 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.17/ 0.09/ 0.07/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ :Stage Reading is Affected by Ice. Forecast Represents :Natural Flow. :************************************************************ :Black River - Watertown, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.8 FT at Feb-28 1030 AM .ER ARTN6 20250228 E DC202502281119/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :0228: / 3.8 / 4.0 / 4.0 .E2 :0301: / 4.0 / 4.0 / 4.0 / 4.0 .E3 :0302: / 4.0 / 3.9 / 3.9 / 3.9 .E4 :0303: / 3.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.19/ 0.11/ 0.07/ 0.06/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :******************************************************************* : : $$ :NERFC :...END of MESSAGE...