Nearshore Marine Forecast
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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914
FZUS51 KBUF 160803
NSHBUF

Nearshore Marine Forecast
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
403 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

For waters within five nautical miles of shore

Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest
1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of
the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.

LEZ020-161500-
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-
403 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

.TODAY...North winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest. Sunny.
.TONIGHT...Northwest winds less than 10 knots. Mainly clear.
.FRIDAY...Light and variable winds. Partly to mostly sunny.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Light and variable winds. A chance of showers.
.SATURDAY...South winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of showers during
the day, then showers likely Saturday night.
.SUNDAY...South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west 15 to
20 knots. Showers.
.MONDAY...West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest 5 to
15 knots. Showers during the day, then a chance of showers Monday
night.

The water temperature off Buffalo is 64 degrees.

$$

LOZ030-161500-
Lower Niagara River-
403 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

.TODAY...North winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest. Sunny.
.TONIGHT...Northwest winds less than 10 knots. Mainly clear.
.FRIDAY...Light and variable winds. A chance of rain showers in
the afternoon.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Light and variable winds. Showers likely.
.SATURDAY...South winds 5 to 10 knots. Showers likely.
.SUNDAY...South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Showers.
.MONDAY...West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Showers
during the day, then a chance of showers Monday night.

$$

LEZ041-161500-
Dunkirk to Buffalo along Lake Erie-
403 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

.TODAY...Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots becoming north 5 to
15 knots. Sunny. Waves 1 to 3 feet subsiding to 1 foot or less.
.TONIGHT...North winds 10 knots or less becoming northeast.
Mainly clear. Waves 1 foot or less.
.FRIDAY...Light and variable winds. Mostly sunny in the morning,
then becoming partly sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Light and variable winds becoming south 5 to
10 knots. A chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely
overnight. Waves 1 foot or less.
.SATURDAY...South winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to 15 to
20 knots. Showers likely. Waves 1 foot or less building to 1 to
3 feet.
.SUNDAY...South winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west to 30 knots.
Showers. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 9 to 12 feet. Waves
occasionally around 15 feet.
.MONDAY...West winds to 30 knots becoming southwest 15 to
25 knots. Showers during the day, then a chance of showers Monday
night. Waves 9 to 12 feet subsiding to 3 to 5 feet. Waves
occasionally around 15 feet.

$$

LEZ040-161500-
Ripley to Dunkirk along Lake Erie-
403 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

.TODAY...Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots becoming north 5 to
15 knots. Sunny. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
.TONIGHT...North winds 10 knots or less becoming northeast.
Mainly clear. Waves 1 foot or less.
.FRIDAY...Light and variable winds. Mostly sunny in the morning,
then becoming partly sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Light and variable winds becoming south 5 to
10 knots. A chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely
overnight. Waves 1 foot or less.
.SATURDAY...South winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to
20 knots. Showers likely during the day, then showers likely with
a chance of thunderstorms Saturday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
.SUNDAY...South winds to 30 knots becoming west. Showers with a
chance of thunderstorms. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 9 to
13 feet. Waves occasionally around 16 feet.
.MONDAY...West winds to 30 knots becoming southwest and
diminishing to 15 to 20 knots. Showers during the day, then a
chance of showers Monday night. Waves 8 to 12 feet subsiding to
3 to 5 feet. Waves occasionally around 15 feet.

Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

$$

LOZ042-161500-
Niagara River to Hamlin Beach along Lake Ontario-
403 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

.TODAY...North winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west. Sunny. Waves
1 to 3 feet.
.TONIGHT...Northwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northeast.
Mainly clear. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
.FRIDAY...East winds less than 10 knots. Partly to mostly sunny.
Waves 1 foot or less.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming south.
A chance of showers. Waves 1 foot or less.
.SATURDAY...South winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to 15 to
20 knots. A chance of showers during the day, then showers likely
Saturday night. Waves 2 feet or less.
.SUNDAY...South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest and
increasing to 30 knots. Showers. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to
5 to 9 feet. Waves occasionally around 11 feet.
.MONDAY...West winds to 30 knots diminishing to 15 to 20 knots.
Showers during the day, then a chance of showers Monday night.
Waves 7 to 11 feet subsiding to 3 to 5 feet. Waves occasionally
around 14 feet.

$$

LOZ043-161500-
Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay along Lake Ontario
including Irondequoit Bay-
403 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...North winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northwest 10 to
15 knots. Sunny. Waves 2 to 4 feet.
.TONIGHT...North winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northeast. Mainly
clear. Waves 2 to 3 feet.
.FRIDAY...North winds 10 knots or less becoming northwest. Mostly
sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Light and variable winds becoming south 5 to
10 knots. A chance of showers. Waves 1 foot or less.
.SATURDAY...South winds 5 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to
20 knots. A chance of showers during the day, then showers likely
Saturday night. Waves 2 feet or less.
.SUNDAY...South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest and
increasing to 30 knots. Showers. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to
4 to 7 feet. Waves occasionally around 9 feet.
.MONDAY...West winds to 30 knots diminishing to 15 to 20 knots.
Showers. Waves 6 to 9 feet building to 7 to 11 feet, then
subsiding to 4 to 7 feet. Waves occasionally around 14 feet.

The water temperature off Rochester is 53 degrees.

$$

LOZ044-161500-
Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay along Lake Ontario-
403 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...North winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northwest 10 to
15 knots. Sunny. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 2 to 3 feet.
Waves occasionally around 6 feet.
.TONIGHT...North winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northeast. Mainly
clear. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
.FRIDAY...Northeast winds 10 knots or less becoming northwest.
Mostly sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Light and variable winds becoming south 5 to
10 knots. Mostly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
.SATURDAY...Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south and
increasing to 15 to 20 knots. A chance of showers. Waves 1 to
3 feet.
.SUNDAY...Southeast winds 15 to 25 knots becoming southwest to
30 knots. Showers. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 5 to 8 feet.
Waves occasionally around 10 feet.
.MONDAY...Southwest winds to 30 knots becoming west 15 to
25 knots. Showers. Waves 8 to 11 feet subsiding to 5 to 8 feet.
Waves occasionally around 14 feet.

$$

LOZ045-161500-
Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River along Lake Ontario-
403 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

.TODAY...North winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to
15 knots. Sunny. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
.TONIGHT...North winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northeast. Mainly
clear. Waves 1 to 3 feet subsiding to 1 foot or less.
.FRIDAY...Northeast winds 10 knots or less becoming northwest.
Mostly sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Light and variable winds becoming south 5 to
10 knots. Mostly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
.SATURDAY...South winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to
25 knots. A chance of showers. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to
4 feet.
.SUNDAY...Southeast winds 15 to 25 knots becoming southwest to
30 knots. Showers. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 6 to 10 feet.
Waves occasionally around 13 feet.
.MONDAY...Southwest winds to 30 knots becoming west 15 to
25 knots. Showers. Waves 7 to 11 feet subsiding to 4 to 7 feet.
Waves occasionally around 14 feet.

$$