697
FNUS71 KBUF 181058
FWSBUF

Spot Forecast for Aman North...USFS
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
658 AM EDT Fri Apr 18 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on April 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will drift off the east coast today, with a warm
front moving northeast across the area. Clouds will thicken, with
a slight chance of a few passing showers mid afternoon through
this evening. Relative humidity will not be as low as yesterday
as moisture gradually increases with the passage of the warm
front. Winds will be stronger than yesterday and increase from
the south through the day. A cold front will cross the region
Saturday with a wetting rainfall likely.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 67.
Min humidity........38 percent.
Eye level winds.....South winds 11 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 32 mph
                    increasing to 35 mph late in the afternoon.
20 foot wind........South winds 17 to 24 mph. Gusts up to 32 mph
                    increasing to 35 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......Max 2800 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 14 to 21 mph increasing to 24 to 31 mph
                    late in the morning.
Dispersion index....Max 76 (good).
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.

TIME (EDT)          8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).............42  46  52  62  69  77  76  74  75  74
Weather cov.........
Weather type........
Tstm cov............
Chc of pcpn (%).....0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp................42  48  52  57  59  61  64  65  66  67
RH..................60  51  48  43  42  42  38  40  42  42
20 ft wind dir......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 ft wind spd......17  18  21  22  23  24  24  24  23  22
20 ft wind gust.....20  22  24  25  25  26  28  28  26  26
Eye lvl wnd dir.....S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.....11  11  12  13  13  13  14  13  13  13
Eye lvl wnd gst.....15  17  18  19  19  19  21  21  20  20
Mix hgt (kft).......0.2 0.6 0.9 1.3 1.9 2.5 2.8 2.6 2.2 1.7
Transp wind dir.....S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.....14  17  21  24  28  30  31  30  28  25
Dispersion idx......2   9   16  27  46  65  76  68  53  37

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60 percent) then becoming partly
                    cloudy (50 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy
                    (65 percent). Slight chance of rain showers
                    after 3 am. Chance of rain showers early in the
                    morning.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 59.
Max humidity........69 percent.
Eye level winds.....Southwest winds 10 to 13 mph with gusts to
                    around 19 mph.
20 foot wind........South winds 16 to 21 mph with gusts to around
                    26 mph.
Mixing height.......Min 200 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 16 to 22 mph.
Dispersion index....Min 3 (poor).
Rainfall amount.....0.02 inches.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).............63  68  67  54  51  51  50  48  57  58  71  77
Weather cov.........                                    SCH SCH CHC
Weather type........                                    RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov............
Chc of pcpn (%).....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  20  20  30
Temp................67  65  60  62  62  62  60  61  61  59  61  61
RH..................42  46  60  58  58  60  64  62  65  69  65  65
20 ft wind dir......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 ft wind spd......21  21  20  18  18  17  17  16  16  16  16  16
20 ft wind gust.....26  25  24  24  23  22  21  20  20  20  20  20
Eye lvl wnd dir.....S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW
Eye lvl wnd spd.....13  13  12  11  11  11  11  10  10  10  10  10
Eye lvl wnd gst.....19  19  18  18  17  17  16  15  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft).......1.2 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.....S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.....22  20  17  17  18  20  18  17  16  16  16  17
Dispersion idx......23  12  5   3   5   7   6   8   8   8   7   8

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75 percent). Showers through the
                    day. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........66 percent.
Eye level winds.....West winds 10 to 11 mph becoming around 9 mph
                    late in the afternoon. Gusts up to 32 mph.
20 foot wind........Southwest winds 16 to 17 mph becoming west
                    around 15 mph late in the afternoon. Gusts up
                    to 32 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......Max 3400 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 18 to 26 mph becoming west 28 to 33
                    mph late in the morning.
Dispersion index....Max 99 (good).
Rainfall amount.....0.15 inches.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).............80  84  76  75  68  73  78  80  81  81  80  80
Weather cov.........CHC LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov............                                SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).....50  60  80  80  80  80  80  80  90  90  90  80
Temp................61  62  63  64  66  67  68  69  70  69  67  66
RH..................67  70  70  70  68  68  68  66  66  66  70  70
20 ft wind dir......SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W
20 ft wind spd......16  17  17  17  17  17  17  17  17  16  16  15
20 ft wind gust.....20  21  21  22  24  25  25  25  25  26  26  25
Eye lvl wnd dir.....SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W
Eye lvl wnd spd.....10  11  11  11  11  11  11  11  11  10  10  9
Eye lvl wnd gst.....15  16  16  17  18  19  19  19  19  19  19  19
Mix hgt (kft).......0.5 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.7 2.3 2.8 3.2 3.4 3.2 2.9 2.4
Transp wind dir.....SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.....18  20  21  23  26  29  31  33  33  32  30  28
Dispersion idx......8   9   13  22  39  58  76  93  99  90  75  58

$$

Forecaster...Hitchcock
Requested by...Wesley Confair
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2510742.3/BUF
.DELDT 04/18/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL wesley.confair@usda.gov,robert.a.goulding@usda.gov,gabriel.templeton@usda.gov