Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
046
FNUS51 KBUF 162003
FWFBUF
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
403 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025
.DISCUSSION...
A broad closed low over the Upper Midwest today will gradually cross
the Great Lakes through the weekend, resulting in several
opportunities for showers and thunderstorms through at least
Saturday night. Much cooler and generally drier weather behind this
system expected to last through the first half of next week before
becoming unsettled again by later Wednesday.
NYZ201-170800-
Lake Ontario Plains-
403 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 30 70 50 60
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 50 20 0
Min/Max Temp 58 73 48 59
Max/Min Humidity (%) 100 52 100 59
AM Wind (mph) S 7 G20 W 9 G22
PM Wind (mph) Lgt/Var SW 10 G27 SW 9 G25 W 11 G23
Precip Amount 0.05 0.32 0.08 0.08
Precip Duration 1 7 3 6
Precip Begin 2 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Height (ft-agl) 5900 70 4080
Transport Wind (kts) SW 8 W 26 W 21 NW 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 0 153400 1470 89760
Dispersion Index 0 153 1 90
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ200-170800-
Southern Tier-
403 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 40 70 30 40
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 50 20 0
Min/Max Temp 58 74 48 60
Max/Min Humidity (%) 100 43 100 58
AM Wind (mph) SW 9 G20 W 10 G22
PM Wind (mph) Lgt/Var W 12 G25 W 10 G24 W 12 G23
Precip Amount 0.04 0.17 0.04 0.02
Precip Duration 2 4 2 2
Precip Begin 7 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Height (ft-agl) 7050 90 4580
Transport Wind (kts) SW 6 SW 31 W 24 NW 23
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 0 218550 2160 105340
Dispersion Index 0 219 2 105
Remarks...None.
$$
.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 40s.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Highs in the mid 50s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the upper 50s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the mid 50s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the upper 50s.
WIND SUNDAY NIGHT...West around 10 mph.
WIND MONDAY...Northwest around 10 mph.
WIND TUESDAY...North around 5 mph.
WIND WEDNESDAY...Northeast around 5 mph.
WIND THURSDAY...North around 5 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...North 5 to 10 mph.
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$