Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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711
FNUS51 KBUF 060234
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1033 PM EDT Sat Oct 5 2024

.DISCUSSION...
Clear starlit skies will be in place tonight...as high pressure will
exit to our east. While an approaching cold front will promote late
summer warmth on Sunday...it will also generate some late day
showers and strong thunderstorms. Notably cooler weather will follow
for the bulk of the upcoming week...as daytime highs will only be in
the 50s and 60s. The very cool weather will support periodic early
season lake effect rain showers.

NYZ201-060800-
Lake Ontario Plains-
1033 PM EDT Sat Oct 5 2024

                              Tonight          Sun    Sun Night          Mon
Cloud cover                     Clear        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip chc (%)                      0           30           80           40
Precip type                      None        Tstms        Tstms      Showers
Min/Max Temp                       41           77           49           63
AM Wind (mph)                                SE  6                      W  7
PM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var         S 11         S  8         W 10
Precip amount                    0.00         0.06         0.27         0.02
Precip duration                                  3            7            2
Precip begin                                  3 PM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                              Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           38          100           47
Haines Index                        5            4            3            3
LAL                                 1            4            4            1
Mixing height (ft-AGL)                        3670                      7250
Transport wind (kt)             NE  7         S 23         S 16        NW 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        84410            0       145000
Dispersion Index                    0           84            0          145
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-060800-
Southern Tier-
1033 PM EDT Sat Oct 5 2024

                              Tonight          Sun    Sun Night          Mon
Cloud cover                     Clear        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip chc (%)                      0           70           90            0
Precip type                      None        Tstms        Tstms         None
Min/Max Temp                       40           76           45           60
AM Wind (mph)                                 S  8                     NW  8
PM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var         S 12        SW  8        NW 10
Precip amount                    0.00         0.12         0.34         0.00
Precip duration                                  2            7
Precip begin                                  4 PM   Continuing
Precip end                              Continuing         2 AM
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           34          100           50
Haines Index                        4            4            3            3
LAL                                 1            4            4            1
Mixing height (ft-AGL)                        4300                      7360
Transport wind (kt)             NE  7         S 21        SW 12        NW 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        90300            0       147200
Dispersion Index                    0           90            0          147
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 40s.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 50s.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the mid 50s.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Highs in the mid 50s.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
lower 60s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
upper 60s.

WIND MONDAY NIGHT...West around 5 mph.
WIND TUESDAY...West around 5 mph.
WIND WEDNESDAY...Southwest around 5 mph.
WIND THURSDAY...West around 5 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...Southwest around 5 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...Southwest 5 to 10 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$