185
FNUS51 KBUF 221805
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
104 PM EST Sat Nov 22 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Low pressure will pass north of the region tonight through Sunday,
producing a few rain and wet snow showers. No snow accumulation is
expected in most areas, with the exception of east of Lake Ontario
where a few inches is possible across the higher elevations of the
Tug Hill Plateau and western foothills of the Adirondacks. High
pressure will bring a return to dry weather Monday before the next
low pressure system brings a chance of showers Tuesday.

NYZ201-222100-
Lake Ontario Plains-
104 PM EST Sat Nov 22 2025

                                Today      Tonight          Sun
Cloud Cover                     Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type                      None         None      Showers
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0           60
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0            0
Max/Min Temp                       43           26           46
Min/Max Humidity (%)               52          100           63
AM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var                  S  6 G21
PM Wind (mph)                   NW  7      Lgt/Var    SW  9 G24
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.11
Precip Duration                                               7
Precip Begin                                               6 AM
Precip End                                           Continuing
Mixing Height (ft-agl)           4640                      3590
Transport Wind (kts)            NW 12        NW  6        SW 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               55680            0        57440
Dispersion Index                   56            0           57
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-222100-
Southern Tier-
104 PM EST Sat Nov 22 2025

                                Today      Tonight          Sun
Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type                      None         None      Showers
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0           40
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0            0
Max/Min Temp                       43           26           45
Min/Max Humidity (%)               49          100           58
AM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var                 SW  7 G21
PM Wind (mph)                   NW  6      Lgt/Var     W 12 G23
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.05
Precip Duration                                               3
Precip Begin                                               7 AM
Precip End                                           Continuing
Mixing Height (ft-agl)           4930                      3760
Transport Wind (kts)            NW 12        NW  4         W 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               59160            0        78960
Dispersion Index                   59            0           79
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Lows
in the lower 30s.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 40s.
.TUESDAY...Rain showers. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the upper
40s.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid
50s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow showers.
Colder. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the mid 30s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Lows in
the upper 20s. Highs in the mid 30s.

WIND SUNDAY NIGHT...West around 10 mph.
WIND MONDAY...West around 5 mph.
WIND TUESDAY...Southeast around 5 mph.
WIND WEDNESDAY...Southeast around 5 mph.
WIND THURSDAY...Southwest around 15 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...West 10 to 15 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$