164
FNUS51 KBUF 122005
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
404 PM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Following a warm and quiet weather day, a coastal low slowly moving
northward will cause additional clouds and rain to spread to areas
mainly east of the Genesee Valley tonight into Monday. High pressure
will then allow clearing conditions to expand across the area from
the west later Monday and Monday night. A cold front Tuesday night
will then bring a sharp cooldown through midweek, though remaining
mostly dry. Warmer but unsettled weather then expected by the
weekend.

NYZ201-130800-
Lake Ontario Plains-
404 PM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025

                              Tonight          Mon    Mon Night          Tue
Cloud Cover                     Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type                   Showers      Showers      Showers         None
Chance Precip (%)                  50           40           30            0
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0            0            0
Min/Max Temp                       44           63           44           68
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           55          100           50
AM Wind (mph)                                 E  6                   Lgt/Var
PM Wind (mph)                    E  6        NE  7      Lgt/Var        NW  5
Precip Amount                    0.02         0.07         0.02         0.00
Precip Duration                     1            2            2
Precip Begin                     1 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing         2 AM
Mixing Height (ft-agl)                        3230                      3730
Transport Wind (kts)             E 10         E 13        NE  9        NW  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        41990            0        33570
Dispersion Index                    0           42            0           34
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-130800-
Southern Tier-
404 PM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025

                              Tonight          Mon    Mon Night          Tue
Cloud Cover                     Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type                   Showers      Showers         None         None
Chance Precip (%)                  40           30            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0            0            0
Min/Max Temp                       43           62           42           66
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           54          100           44
AM Wind (mph)                                NE  5                   Lgt/Var
PM Wind (mph)                    E  6        NE  8        NE  5         N  6
Precip Amount                    0.03         0.05         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                     2            3
Precip Begin                     2 AM   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing         3 PM
Mixing Height (ft-agl)                        3550                      3820
Transport Wind (kts)             E  9        NE 14        NE 10         N 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        49700            0        45840
Dispersion Index                    0           50            0           46
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
lower 50s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the upper
50s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid
60s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the mid 60s.

WIND TUESDAY NIGHT...Southwest around 5 mph.
WIND WEDNESDAY...North around 10 mph.
WIND THURSDAY...Northwest around 5 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...North around 5 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...Southeast around 5 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...Southeast around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$