Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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498
FNUS51 KBUF 062005
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
404 PM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure draped along the eastern seaboard will slowly drift
offshore today...while providing our region with one last day of dry
and unseasonably warm weather. A sharp cold front will then generate
some beneficial rainfall as it slowly crosses the region Tuesday and
Tuesday evening...with Canadian high pressure then building across
our region and ushering in dry and much cooler weather for Wednesday
and Thursday...when high temperatures appear likely to remain mostly
confined to the 50s. Continued dry weather and a gradual warming
trend will then follow for Friday and Saturday as the high slides
off the New England coast.

NYZ201-070800-
Lake Ontario Plains-
404 PM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025

                              Tonight          Tue    Tue Night          Wed
Cloud Cover                    Mclear        Mcldy        Mcldy       Mclear
Precip Type                      None        Tstms        Tstms      Showers
Chance Precip (%)                   0           80          100           40
Chance of Thunder (%)               0           50           50            0
Min/Max Temp                       57           73           44           60
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           58          100           41
AM Wind (mph)                                 S  7                     NW  8
PM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var        SW  8         W  6        NW  9
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.53         0.54         0.02
Precip Duration                                  9            9            0
Precip Begin                                  7 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                              Continuing   Continuing         8 AM
Mixing Height (ft-agl)                        2700                      6500
Transport Wind (kts)             S  7        SW 14        NW 12         N 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        37800            0       104000
Dispersion Index                    0           38            0          104
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-070800-
Southern Tier-
404 PM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025

                              Tonight          Tue    Tue Night          Wed
Cloud Cover                    Mclear        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type                      None        Tstms        Tstms      Showers
Chance Precip (%)                   0           80           90           40
Chance of Thunder (%)               0           50           50            0
Min/Max Temp                       57           73           43           59
Max/Min Humidity (%)               96           58          100           35
AM Wind (mph)                                SW  7                     NW  8
PM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var        SW  9         W  7         N 10
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.38         0.39         0.02
Precip Duration                                  9            9            0
Precip Begin                                  6 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                              Continuing   Continuing         8 AM
Mixing Height (ft-agl)                        3400                      6190
Transport Wind (kts)            SW  7        SW 17        NW 11         N 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        57800            0        99040
Dispersion Index                    0           58            0           99
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Areas of frost through the night. Lows in
the mid 30s. Highs in the lower 60s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid
60s.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid
60s.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid
60s.

WIND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Northwest around 5 mph.
WIND THURSDAY...North around 5 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...North around 5 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...East around 5 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...North around 5 mph.
WIND MONDAY...North around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$