431
FNUS51 KBUF 302105
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
404 PM EST Sun Nov 30 2025

.DISCUSSION...
A mix of rain and wet snow will continue this afternoon, with snow
favored across higher terrain and rain for lower elevations. It will
be very windy, especially northeast of Lake Erie. Colder air will
move back into the region tonight, with a brief period of lake
effect snow and minor accumulations east and southeast of Lake Erie
and Lake Ontario. Lake effect snow will end by Monday morning as
high pressure builds into the eastern Great Lakes. Another low
pressure system will then pass south of the area later Monday night
and Tuesday, with widespread light snow and minor accumulations
expected across most of the region. Below average temperatures and
daily snow chances will continue through the end of the week.

NYZ201-010900-
Lake Ontario Plains-
404 PM EST Sun Nov 30 2025

                              Tonight          Mon    Mon Night          Tue
Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type              Snow Showers         None         Snow         Snow
Chance Precip (%)                  60            0           70           80
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0            0            0
Min/Max Temp                       20           30           15           35
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           52          100           71
AM Wind (mph)                                NW  8                   Lgt/Var
PM Wind (mph)               SW 14 G34      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount                    0.09         0.00         0.08         0.15
Precip Duration                     7                         4            8
Precip Begin                     6 PM                      1 AM   Continuing
Precip End                       4 AM                Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Height (ft-agl)                        3730                      2830
Transport Wind (kts)            SW 21        NW 12         S  6        NE  8
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        44760            0        22640
Dispersion Index                    0           45            0           23
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-010900-
Southern Tier-
404 PM EST Sun Nov 30 2025

                              Tonight          Mon    Mon Night          Tue
Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type              Snow Showers         None         Snow         Snow
Chance Precip (%)                  40            0           90           90
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0            0            0
Min/Max Temp                       18           29           18           33
Max/Min Humidity (%)               98           45          100           63
AM Wind (mph)                                NW  7                   Lgt/Var
PM Wind (mph)               SW 13 G33      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount                    0.07         0.00         0.12         0.14
Precip Duration                     5                         5            8
Precip Begin                     6 PM                     10 PM   Continuing
Precip End                       3 AM                Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Height (ft-agl)                        4920                      3190
Transport Wind (kts)            SW 20        NW 14        SE  5         N 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        68880            0        38280
Dispersion Index                    0           69            0           38
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 30s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with snow showers likely. Lows in the
lower 20s. Highs around 30.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of snow showers. Lows around
10. Highs in the upper 20s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Lows in
the lower 20s. Highs in the lower 30s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow and rain showers.
Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the lower 30s.

WIND TUESDAY NIGHT...North around 5 mph.
WIND WEDNESDAY...Southwest around 10 mph.
WIND THURSDAY...South around 10 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...South around 5 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...Southeast around 5 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...North around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$