297
FNUS51 KBUF 120205
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1004 PM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025

.DISCUSSION...
A slow moving upper level low will spiral across our region through
Monday night, producing rain showers at times for our region.
Surface high pressure will build towards our region Tuesday,
bringing fair weather, though a cold front Tuesday night may produce
a few spotty showers, but more noticeable, cooler temperatures for
Wednesday and Thursday with daytime highs only in the 50s.

NYZ201-120800-
Lake Ontario Plains-
1004 PM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025

                              Tonight          Sun    Sun Night          Mon
Cloud Cover                     Pcldy       Mclear        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type                      None         None      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0           50           50
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0            0            0
Min/Max Temp                       43           68           44           62
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           42          100           59
AM Wind (mph)                                 E  6                      E  5
PM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var         E  8         E  7        NE  6
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.09         0.12
Precip Duration                                               2            2
Precip Begin                                               8 PM   Continuing
Precip End                                           Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Height (ft-agl)                        4870                      3100
Transport Wind (kts)             E  8         E 13         E 11         E 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        63310            0        40300
Dispersion Index                    0           63            0           40
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-120800-
Southern Tier-
1004 PM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025

                              Tonight          Sun    Sun Night          Mon
Cloud Cover                     Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type                   Showers         None      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)                  40            0           40           40
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0            0            0
Min/Max Temp                       44           67           42           62
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           45          100           53
AM Wind (mph)                                 E  6                     NE  5
PM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var         E  8         E  6        NE  6
Precip Amount                    0.14         0.00         0.07         0.10
Precip Duration                     4                         2            2
Precip Begin                     6 PM                     10 PM   Continuing
Precip End                       6 AM                Continuing         6 PM
Mixing Height (ft-agl)                        4720           40         3270
Transport Wind (kts)             E  6         E 14         E 11        NE 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        66080          440        39240
Dispersion Index                    0           66            0           39
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in
the mid 50s.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
lower 50s.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid
50s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the lower 60s.

WIND MONDAY NIGHT...Northeast around 5 mph.
WIND TUESDAY...North around 5 mph.
WIND WEDNESDAY...North 5 to 10 mph.
WIND THURSDAY...Northwest around 5 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...North around 5 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...Southeast around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$