653
FNUS51 KBUF 200605
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
204 AM EDT Wed Aug 20 2025

.DISCUSSION...
An area of low pressure, with its inverted trough stretching
northward across Western New York, will track south of the state
line today with morning rain showers and perhaps a few rumbles of
thunder becoming scattered through the afternoon hours. A few
showers of rain tonight with a cool northeast wind before activity
ends and a period of fair weather commences Thursday through the
start of the weekend.

NYZ201-200800-
Lake Ontario Plains-
204 AM EDT Wed Aug 20 2025

                            Overnight          Wed    Wed Night          Thu
Cloud Cover                    Cloudy       Cloudy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms      Showers         None
Chance Precip (%)                  80           70           30            0
Chance of Thunder (%)              20           20            0            0
Min/Max Temp                       55           71           52           76
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           73          100           42
AM Wind (mph)                                SE  7                   Lgt/Var
PM Wind (mph)                             E  8 G21     E  6 G22        NE  5
Precip Amount                    0.36         0.47         0.05         0.00
Precip Duration                     4            5            1
Precip Begin                     2 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing         8 PM
Mixing Height (ft-agl)                        2430                      5880
Transport Wind (kts)            SE 12         E 14         E 12        NE  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        34020            0        52920
Dispersion Index                    0           34            0           53
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-200800-
Southern Tier-
204 AM EDT Wed Aug 20 2025

                            Overnight          Wed    Wed Night          Thu
Cloud Cover                    Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy        Mcldy
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms      Showers         None
Chance Precip (%)                  80           70           40            0
Chance of Thunder (%)              50           20            0            0
Min/Max Temp                       59           73           56           73
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           73          100           61
AM Wind (mph)                                 S  7                   Lgt/Var
PM Wind (mph)                                SE  5      Lgt/Var        NE  5
Precip Amount                    0.24         0.30         0.06         0.00
Precip Duration                     4            5            2
Precip Begin                     2 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing        10 PM
Mixing Height (ft-agl)                        2570           30         3720
Transport Wind (kts)             S 14        SW  7        NE  9        NE 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        17990          270        37200
Dispersion Index                    0           18            0           37
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Lows in the upper 50s.
Highs around 70.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the upper 60s.

WIND THURSDAY NIGHT...Light winds.
WIND FRIDAY...North around 5 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...Southeast around 5 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...South around 5 mph.
WIND MONDAY...South around 5 mph.
WIND TUESDAY...West 5 to 10 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$