Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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898
FNUS51 KBUF 281804
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
104 PM EST Fri Nov 28 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Cold air flowing across the open waters of the lower Great Lakes
will continue to support localized heavy lake effect snow east and
southeast of Lakes Erie and Ontario through tonight, along with
brisk winds that will produce areas of blowing and drifting snow.
Lake snows will weaken later tonight into Saturday morning as
transient high pressure crosses the area bringing a brief period of
mainly dry weather on Saturday, before another area of low pressure
brings a round of light rain and snow later Saturday night and
Sunday.

NYZ201-282100-
Lake Ontario Plains-
104 PM EST Fri Nov 28 2025

                                Today      Tonight          Sat
Cloud Cover                    Cloudy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type              Snow Showers Snow Showers         None
Chance Precip (%)                  70           40            0
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0            0
Max/Min Temp                       35           21           36
Min/Max Humidity (%)               57          100           51
AM Wind (mph)                W 13 G29                      W  7
PM Wind (mph)                W 14 G30     W 11 G28         W  5
Precip Amount                    0.18         0.08         0.00
Precip Duration                     9            4
Precip Begin                     7 AM   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing         6 AM
Mixing Height (ft-agl)           5160                      4330
Transport Wind (kts)             W 29        NW 21         W 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)              149640            0        60620
Dispersion Index                  150            0           61
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-282100-
Southern Tier-
104 PM EST Fri Nov 28 2025

                                Today      Tonight          Sat
Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type                  Frz Rain Snow Showers         None
Chance Precip (%)                  80           60            0
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0            0
Max/Min Temp                       34           21           35
Min/Max Humidity (%)               52           97           44
AM Wind (mph)                W 14 G30                      W  6
PM Wind (mph)                W 14 G30     W 11 G27      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount                    0.14         0.07         0.00
Precip Duration                     9            4
Precip Begin                     7 AM   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing         6 AM
Mixing Height (ft-agl)           5590                      5090
Transport Wind (kts)             W 32         W 19         W 11
Vent Rate (kt-ft)              178880            0        55990
Dispersion Index                  179            0           56
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Snow showers. Lows in the upper 20s.
.SUNDAY...Snow and rain showers. Highs in the upper 30s.
.MONDAY...A chance of snow and rain showers. Colder. Lows in the
lower 20s. Highs in the upper 20s.
.TUESDAY...Cloudy with snow likely. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs
in the lower 30s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the
lower 30s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Lows in
the lower 20s. Highs in the lower 30s.

WIND SATURDAY NIGHT...Southeast around 5 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...Southeast around 15 mph.
WIND MONDAY...West 5 to 15 mph.
WIND TUESDAY...Light winds.
WIND WEDNESDAY...Southwest around 5 mph.
WIND THURSDAY...Southwest 5 to 10 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$