Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT
490
FNUS71 KBTV 020557
FWSBTV
Spot Forecast for Barks Dad Fire...NYS Department of Environmental Conservation
National Weather Service Burlington VT
157 AM EDT Tue Sep 2 2025
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 EDT on September
02. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National
Weather Service.
Please contact our office at (802) 658-0207, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
Mostly dry conditions will prevail through Wednesday. A few
scattered showers are possible today and tomorrow. Showers will
likely develop on the terrain of the high peaks and move off of
them to the north, so the chance of this location seeing something
is higher than most areas, though still low around 30 percent.
The heaviest showers could bring a wetting rain, but the
likelihood that this exact location receives one is low. Winds
will be light and terrain driven today, likely mostly upslope
during the late morning and afternoon and downslope at night.
Winds become southerly to southwesterly during the day on
Wednesday but should stay under 10 mph. Southerly winds become
strong late Wednesday night and Thursday, with gusts to 30 mph
possible. It will be mostly sunny this morning and Wednesday
morning, with scattered clouds developing each afternoon. Minimum
relative humidities will be in the 40 to 50 percent range both
days, with good recovery tonight but poorer recovery tomorrow
night.
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers early in the afternoon. Chance of
rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Chance of thunder...19 percent.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......6000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 3 to 7 mph shifting to the south 5 to
6 mph late in the morning.
LAL.................
TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........56 48 40 33 20 37 33 43 43 43 53
Weather cov..... SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 10 20 20 30 30 30 30
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 10 10 10 20 20 20 20
LAL.............M M M M M M M M M M M
Temp............53 58 63 66 67 68 69 69 69 68 68
RH..............83 67 62 54 52 51 47 45 47 51 51
20 FT wind dir..SW W SW SE SE SE SE SE SE S S
20 FT wind spd..2 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT wind gust.6 6 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 7 6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.2 0.4 1.7 3.8 4.8 5.5 6.0 5.7 5.8 5.5 5.0
Transp wind dir.SW W W S S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.7 3 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 5 6
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Chance of rain
showers early in the evening. Slight chance of
thunderstorms early in the evening. Slight
chance of rain showers early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Chance of thunder...19 percent.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Min temperature.....Around 49.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms early in the evening.
Mixing height.......200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 3 to 6 mph shifting to the west 6 to
7 mph late in the evening.
LAL.................
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........53 38 37 38 24 29 26 29 30 19 17 22
Weather cov.....CHC SCH SCH
Weather type....RW RW RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).30 20 20 10 0 0 0 10 10 10 0 0
Chc of thdr (%).20 20 10 10 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 0
LAL.............M M M M M M M M M M M M
Temp............66 64 61 59 58 57 56 55 53 52 51 51
RH..............54 58 67 75 77 77 77 80 83 83 89 86
20 FT wind dir..S S W W W W W W W W W W
20 FT wind spd..2 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT wind gust.6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 6 6 6
Mix hgt (kft)...3.3 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.SW SW SW W W W W W W W W W
Transp wind spd.5 3 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 6
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance of
thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Slight
chance of rain showers late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Chance of thunder...20 percent.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 6 to 7 mph shifting to the southwest 7 to
8 mph late in the morning.
LAL.................
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........25 17 6 7 13 18 25 33 40 39 39 38
Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 20 20 20 10
LAL.............M M M M M M M M M M M M
Temp............50 49 52 63 66 67 68 68 68 68 68 67
RH..............89 93 83 58 52 49 45 45 45 45 47 49
20 FT wind dir..W W W W SW S S S S S SW SW
20 FT wind spd..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3
20 FT wind gust.6 6 6 6 6 7 8 9 9 9 8 8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.2 0.2 0.1 2.3 4.2 5.5 5.5 4.8 3.9 3.7 3.5 3.2
Transp wind dir.W W W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
Transp wind spd.6 6 6 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8
$$
Forecaster...Myskowski
Requested by...Andrew Flynn
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2521095.0/BTV
.DELDT 09/02/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL andrew.flynn@dec.ny.gov,RayBrook.Dispatch@dec.ny.gov