Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT
999
FNUS71 KBTV 241403
FWSBTV
Spot Forecast for Beaver Meadows/Tarbellville...USFS
National Weather Service Burlington VT
1003 AM EDT Thu Apr 24 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 EDT on April 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office at (802) 658-0207, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
With high pressure overhead this morning, dry weather is expected
to continue at least through the early afternoon. Dry air will
remain in place today with relative humidities 33-60%. Light
upslope winds this morning will increase becoming southwest 5-10
mph with gusts 10-20 mph. Winds shift westerly overnight.
Isolated to scattered light shower activity is possible beginning
by 2 PM through this evening. Most likely rainfall amounts will
only be a few hundreths of an inch with chances of wetting rains
around 40% at the burn site. Should a thunderstorm occur, rain
totals could exceed 0.25 inches. Strong RH recovery expected
overnight with RH exceeding 90%. Better chances for a wetting
rain will arrive Friday evening into Saturday with precipitation
amounts between half an inch to three-quarters of an inch
possible by Saturday night areawide.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers late in the afternoon. Chance of
rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Chance of thunder...20 percent.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Max temperature.....Around 68-70.
Min humidity........33-38 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 17 mph increasing to 20 to 21 mph late
in the afternoon.
TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........44 45 49 54 59 63 66
Weather cov..... SCH CHC
Weather type.... RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).0 10 10 10 10 20 30
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 20
Temp............57 62 64 65 67 68 67
RH..............39 36 37 37 37 39 43
20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW W W W
20 FT wind spd..5 6 7 8 8 9 9
20 FT wind gust.9 13 15 17 18 20 20
Mix hgt (kft)...3.2 4.0 4.7 4.9 5.2 4.9 4.2
Transp wind dir.SW W W W W W W
Transp wind spd.10 14 16 17 20 21 21
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mixed with periods of Mostly Mostly cloudy
(55-65 percent) partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
a slight chance of a thunderstorm. Rain chances
decrease late in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent before 10 PM, 15 percent through
midnight, then less than 10 percent.
Chance of thunder...20 percent before 11 PM.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Min temperature.....Around 48.
Max humidity........90-95 percent by early Friday.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms in the evening.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 9 to 18 mph.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........66 61 56 52 46 55 39 38 49 56 58 58
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).30 30 30 20 20 20 20 10 10 10 10 10
Chc of thdr (%).20 20 20 20 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............66 63 61 59 57 56 54 53 52 52 51 50
RH..............45 54 60 67 72 74 80 83 86 86 89 93
20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W W W
20 FT wind spd..8 8 8 7 7 7 7 6 6 6 5 5
20 FT wind gust.18 16 14 10 8 8 7 6
Mix hgt (kft)...3.0 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7
Transp wind dir.SW SW SW SW W W W W W W W W
Transp wind spd.18 12 14 10 12 12 12 13 13 12 12 9
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms late in the
afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Chance of thunder...20 percent.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 mph early in the morning
becoming light, then becoming south 5 to 6 mph
late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms late in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 6 to 9 mph shifting to the southwest 9 to
13 mph late in the afternoon.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........63 67 72 70 66 63 60 60 61 64 67 69
Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).10 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 20 20 20 20
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 20 20 20
Temp............50 51 53 56 59 62 64 66 68 69 70 69
RH..............93 89 89 77 69 62 58 54 51 49 45 49
20 FT wind dir..W W W W W W SW S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..5 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 3 5 6 6
20 FT wind gust. 5 5 5 5 6 6 7 8 9 10 12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.8 1.3 1.5 1.9 2.4 3.2 3.7 4.3 3.8 3.4 2.9
Transp wind dir.W W NW NW W W W W SW SW S S
Transp wind spd.8 7 8 7 6 6 8 9 9 10 12 13
$$
Forecaster...Boyd
Requested by...Robert Goulding
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2511473.0/BTV
.DELDT 04/23/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL lindsay.r.silvia@usda.gov,keith.sargent@usda.gov,robert.a.goulding@usda.go,casey.howard@usda.gov,eric.hughes@usda.gov