Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT

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FNUS51 KBTV 161845
FWFBTV

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central/Northern Vermont and
Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
245 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025

...Scattered Showers and Thunderstorms...

.DISCUSSION...

There are no appreciable fire weather concerns given higher RH
will lead to increased shower and thunderstorm chances.
Thunderstorms will tend toward the wetter variety, so any
lightning starts will likely be put out by associated rainfall.

VTZ030-170815-
Champlain Valley of Vermont-
Including the cities of Burlington, Shelburne, Middlebury,
Vergennes, St. Albans, Swanton, Enosburg Falls, and Bristol
245 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     50           100          80           90
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Showers
Max/Min Temp          59           77           54           63
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    S  7                      SW  6
20ftWnd PM(mph)       S  6         S  9 G19     S  6         W  6 G17
Precip amount         0.08         0.46         0.23         0.11
Precip duration       1            7            5            10
Precip begin          6 PM         6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            1 AM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Humidity (%)          97           64           91           71
Chance thunder (%)    40           20           20           0
Mixing hgt                         4000                      2860
Transport wnd (mph)                S 17                      SW 13
Ventilation rate                   68000                     37180
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ033-035-170815-
Northern Taconics-Lower Connecticut Valley North-
Including the cities of Fair Haven, Rutland, Danby, Springfield,
White River Junction, and Woodstock
245 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     40           90           90           80
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Showers
Max/Min Temp          60           76           51           64
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    SE  5                     W  7 G18
20ftWnd PM(mph)       Lgt/Var      S  7 G18     SW  6        W  7 G19
Precip amount         0.07         0.47         0.19         0.08
Precip duration       2            7            5            9
Precip begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Humidity (%)          100          67           94           66
Chance thunder (%)    40           40           40           0
Mixing hgt                         3940                      4100
Transport wnd (mph)                S 16                      W 16
Ventilation rate                   63040                     65600
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ034-170815-
South Central Greens-
Including the cities of Ripton, East Wallingford, Killington,
Bethel, and Ludlow
245 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     50           90           90           80
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Showers
Max/Min Temp          59           73           49           60
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    SE  6 G18                 W  8 G23
20ftWnd PM(mph)       S  5         S  9 G21     SW  7 G19    W  8 G20
Precip amount         0.08         0.57         0.23         0.11
Precip duration       2            7            5            9
Precip begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Humidity (%)          99           71           94           75
Chance thunder (%)    40           40           40           0
Mixing hgt                         3530                      3200
Transport wnd (mph)                S 17                      W 16
Ventilation rate                   60010                     51200
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ032-170815-
Central Vermont-
Including the cities of Richmond, Underhill, Johnson, Stowe,
Montpelier, Waitsfield, Starksboro, Bradford, Randolph,
and St. Johnsbury
245 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     50           90           80           90
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Showers
Max/Min Temp          59           73           50           62
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    SE  6 G18                 Lgt/Var
20ftWnd PM(mph)       Lgt/Var      S  8 G20     S  5         W  5 G18
Precip amount         0.10         0.47         0.25         0.09
Precip duration       2            5            6            9
Precip begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Humidity (%)          100          69           97           69
Chance thunder (%)    40           20           20           0
Mixing hgt                         2790                      3890
Transport wnd (mph)                S 16                      W 13
Ventilation rate                   44640                     50570
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ031-170815-
Northeast Kingdom-
Including the cities of Derby, Newport, Island Pond, Lunenburg,
and Hardwick
245 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     60           90           90           90
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Showers
Max/Min Temp          58           73           51           61
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    SE  6 G17                 Lgt/Var
20ftWnd PM(mph)       Lgt/Var      SE  8 G20    S  6 G17     Lgt/Var
Precip amount         0.15         0.33         0.28         0.12
Precip duration       2            4            8            9
Precip begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Humidity (%)          98           64           97           70
Chance thunder (%)    40           20           20           0
Mixing hgt                         2690                      3940
Transport wnd (mph)                S 17                      W 14
Ventilation rate                   45730                     55160
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ205-170815-
Champlain Valley of New York-
Including the cities of Champlain, Plattsburgh, Port Henry,
Ticonderoga, and Schroon Lake
245 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     60           100          70           90
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Showers
Max/Min Temp          56           76           49           64
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    S  6 G17                  SW  6 G19
20ftWnd PM(mph)       S  5         S  8 G19     SW  7 G19    W  8 G24
Precip amount         0.11         0.38         0.16         0.11
Precip duration       1            7            4            10
Precip begin          6 PM         6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            12 AM        Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Humidity (%)          99           65           90           69
Chance thunder (%)    40           30           20           0
Mixing hgt                         3740                      3240
Transport wnd (mph)                S 16                      W 14
Ventilation rate                   59840                     45360
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ204-170815-
Adirondack High Peaks-
Including the cities of Lake Placid, Keene, Mount Van Hoevenberg,
Newcomb, and Wilmington
245 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     50           100          80           90
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Showers
Max/Min Temp          54           72           46           57
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    S  5 G24                  W  8 G26
20ftWnd PM(mph)       SW  5        S  8 G24     SW  9 G26    W  8 G27
Precip amount         0.08         0.43         0.15         0.14
Precip duration       1            8            4            10
Precip begin          6 PM         6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            11 PM        Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Humidity (%)          100          69           96           77
Chance thunder (%)    40           20           20           0
Mixing hgt                         3540                      2840
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 17                     W 15
Ventilation rate                   60180                     42600
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ203-170815-
Northern Adirondacks-
Including the cities of Star Lake, Tupper Lake, Pauls Smiths,
and Wanakena
245 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Cloudy
Chance precip (%)     40           100          60           90
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Showers      Showers
Max/Min Temp          55           72           47           55
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    S  5 G17                  SW  8 G19
20ftWnd PM(mph)       SW  5        S  8 G20     SW  9 G19    W  9 G24
Precip amount         0.07         0.40         0.13         0.18
Precip duration       1            9            4            12
Precip begin          6 PM         7 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            11 PM        Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Humidity (%)          99           67           97           81
Chance thunder (%)    40           20           20           0
Mixing hgt                         3430                      2100
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 18                     W 15
Ventilation rate                   61740                     31500
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ202-170815-
St. Lawrence-
Including the cities of Massena, Norfolk, Fort Covington, Malone,
Ogdensburg, Potsdam, Brasher Falls, and Gouverneur
245 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     30           90           70           90
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Showers      Showers
Max/Min Temp          57           74           49           58
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    S  5                      SW  9 G19
20ftWnd PM(mph)       SW  6        SW  9 G19    SW 10 G19    W 11 G24
Precip amount         0.06         0.35         0.10         0.14
Precip duration       1            9            3            11
Precip begin          6 PM         6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            12 AM        Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Humidity (%)          96           62           92           71
Chance thunder (%)    40           20           20           0
Mixing hgt                         3710                      2370
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 22                     NW 20
Ventilation rate                   81620                     47400
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the mid 40s.
West winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 50s. West winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Northwest winds
15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 50s. North winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. North winds
10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs around
60. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
in the mid 40s. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the upper
50s. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
mid 40s. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the upper
50s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$