Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT

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577
FNUS51 KBTV 150901
FWFBTV

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central/Northern Vermont and
Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
401 AM EST Fri Nov 15 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM EST
THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...Gusty winds and low relative humidities will create
impactful fire weather today, with the most impacted area being
southern Vermont where a Red Flag Warning has been issued. The
most critical time period will be from mid morning through mid
afternoon when there will be an overlap of gusty northerly winds
and low relative humidities. Winds will generally gust in the 15
to 25 mph range, though localized gusts up to 30 mph are possible.
The strongest winds will be in eastern Vermont. Relative
humidities will drop to between 20 to 35 percent, with the lowest
values in southern and eastern Vermont. Additionally, another
period of relative humidity values below 30 percent in the western
Champlain Valley will pose fire elevated weather concerns. Winds
will not be as strong as in Vermont, so fire weather concerns
there are a little less.

Fire weather concerns remain elevated for tomorrow, though not
to the level of today. While winds are expected to gust
slightly higher, relative humidities will be a bit higher.
Minimum relative humidity values will generally be in the 30 to
40 percent range, though localized areas of southern Vermont
should see values fall into the upper 20s. Northerly winds will
gust between 15 to 30 mph. Dry weather continues through Sunday
though winds will lighten.


VTZ030-152130-
Champlain Valley of Vermont-
Including the cities of Burlington, Shelburne, Middlebury,
Vergennes, St. Albans, Swanton, Enosburg Falls, and Bristol
401 AM EST Fri Nov 15 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
Max/Min Temp          44           29           48
20ftWnd AM(mph)       N  6 G18                  NW  5 G24
20ftWnd PM(mph)       N  8 G20     NW  6 G18    NW  7 G26
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Humidity (%)          36           81           38
Haines Index          4            4            4
LAL                   1            1            1
Mixing hgt            2410                      2810
Transport wnd (mph)   N 14                      NW 14
Ventilation rate      33740                     39340
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ035-152130-
Lower Connecticut Valley North-
Including the cities of Springfield, White River Junction,
and Woodstock
401 AM EST Fri Nov 15 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM EST
THIS EVENING...

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
Max/Min Temp          49           30           49
20ftWnd AM(mph)       NW  7 G24                 NW  9 G25
20ftWnd PM(mph)       NW 10 G24    NW  8 G23    NW 10 G26
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Humidity (%)          24           64           32
Haines Index          4            5            5
LAL                   1            1            1
Mixing hgt            3170                      3250
Transport wnd (mph)   N 20                      NW 24
Ventilation rate      63400                     78000
KBDI                  201-300      201-300      201-300

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ033-152130-
Northern Taconics-
Including the cities of Fair Haven, Rutland, and Danby
401 AM EST Fri Nov 15 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
Max/Min Temp          45           25           48
20ftWnd AM(mph)       N  6 G19                  W  5 G17
20ftWnd PM(mph)       N  8 G21     NW  5 G18    NW  6 G19
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Humidity (%)          31           82           34
Haines Index          4            5            5
LAL                   1            1            1
Mixing hgt            2650                      3280
Transport wnd (mph)   N 15                      NW 14
Ventilation rate      39750                     45920
KBDI                  201-300      201-300      201-300

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ034-152130-
South Central Greens-
Including the cities of Ripton, East Wallingford, Killington,
Bethel, and Ludlow
401 AM EST Fri Nov 15 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM EST
THIS EVENING...

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
Max/Min Temp          44           29           45
20ftWnd AM(mph)       NW  8 G24                 NW 11 G32
20ftWnd PM(mph)       NW 11 G28    NW 11 G32    NW 12 G29
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Humidity (%)          28           70           36
Haines Index          4            5            5
LAL                   1            1            1
Mixing hgt            2790                      3170
Transport wnd (mph)   N 17                      NW 22
Ventilation rate      47430                     69740
KBDI                  201-300      201-300      201-300

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ032-152130-
Central Vermont-
Including the cities of Richmond, Underhill, Johnson, Stowe,
Montpelier, Waitsfield, Starksboro, Bradford, Randolph,
and St. Johnsbury
401 AM EST Fri Nov 15 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
Max/Min Temp          44           29           45
20ftWnd AM(mph)       N  6 G23                  NW  8 G25
20ftWnd PM(mph)       NW  9 G24    NW  8 G24    NW  9 G26
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Humidity (%)          29           77           40
Haines Index          4            4            4
LAL                   1            1            1
Mixing hgt            3040                      3170
Transport wnd (mph)   N 16                      NW 20
Ventilation rate      48640                     63400
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ031-152130-
Northeast Kingdom-
Including the cities of Derby, Newport, Island Pond, Lunenburg,
and Hardwick
401 AM EST Fri Nov 15 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
Max/Min Temp          42           28           41
20ftWnd AM(mph)       N  6 G24                  NW  8 G21
20ftWnd PM(mph)       NW  9 G23    NW  7 G21    NW  9 G23
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Humidity (%)          33           77           46
Haines Index          4            3            3
LAL                   1            1            1
Mixing hgt            2600                      3060
Transport wnd (mph)   N 16                      NW 18
Ventilation rate      41600                     55080
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ205-152130-
Champlain Valley of New York-
Including the cities of Champlain, Plattsburgh, Port Henry,
Ticonderoga, and Schroon Lake
401 AM EST Fri Nov 15 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
Max/Min Temp          45           30           49
20ftWnd AM(mph)       N  6 G17                  W  9 G29
20ftWnd PM(mph)       NW  8 G20    NW  9 G20    NW 10 G31
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Humidity (%)          29           70           32
Haines Index          4            4            5
LAL                   1            1            1
Mixing hgt            2790                      3040
Transport wnd (mph)   N 13                      NW 18
Ventilation rate      36270                     54720
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ204-152130-
Adirondack High Peaks-
Including the cities of Lake Placid, Keene, Mount Van Hoevenberg,
Newcomb, and Wilmington
401 AM EST Fri Nov 15 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
Max/Min Temp          46           28           45
20ftWnd AM(mph)       N  5 G18                  NW 14 G34
20ftWnd PM(mph)       NW  8 G23    NW 11 G28    NW 13 G32
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Humidity (%)          24           73           33
Haines Index          4            5            5
LAL                   1            1            1
Mixing hgt            2880                      3090
Transport wnd (mph)   N 13                      NW 22
Ventilation rate      37440                     67980
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ203-152130-
Northern Adirondacks-
Including the cities of Star Lake, Tupper Lake, Pauls Smiths,
and Wanakena
401 AM EST Fri Nov 15 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
Max/Min Temp          44           25           44
20ftWnd AM(mph)       Lgt/Var                   W  8 G24
20ftWnd PM(mph)       NW  5        W  5         W  9 G24
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Humidity (%)          28           85           38
Haines Index          4            5            5
LAL                   1            1            1
Mixing hgt            2510                      2410
Transport wnd (mph)   N  9                      NW 20
Ventilation rate      22590                     48200
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ202-152130-
St. Lawrence-
Including the cities of Massena, Norfolk, Fort Covington, Malone,
Ogdensburg, Potsdam, Brasher Falls, and Gouverneur
401 AM EST Fri Nov 15 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
Max/Min Temp          44           28           48
20ftWnd AM(mph)       Lgt/Var                   W  7 G24
20ftWnd PM(mph)       NW  5        W  5         W  8 G24
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Humidity (%)          37           82           37
Haines Index          4            4            4
LAL                   1            1            1
Mixing hgt            1990                      2360
Transport wnd (mph)   N  8                      W 16
Ventilation rate      15920                     37760
KBDI                  201-300      201-300      201-300

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 30. North winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Lows
in the mid 30s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely. Highs in the
lower 50s. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely. Lows in
the upper 30s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 40s. Northwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Northwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. East winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Highs in
the upper 40s. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$