537
FXUS61 KBTV 060005
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
805 PM EDT Tue Aug 5 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
Surface high pressure remains the dominant feature this week.
Isolated terrain driven showers may deliver brief downpours near
mountain ridges over the next few days, but much of the area
will continue to see dry weather. Hazy conditions will continue
with only gradual improvement over the next few days. Somewhat
above normal temperatures in the 80s during the day are
expected, but near normal temperatures at night in the 50s to
lower 60s will continue due to comfortable humidity levels.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
As of 216 PM EDT Tuesday...The dry and hazy conditions will
continue to persist across the region for next few days as high
pressure remains overhead. Smoke from the Canadian wildfires
will continue to linger, with light northerly flow pushing the
worst of it a bit to the south, although it should become less
concentrated than yesterday. Air Quality Alerts remain in effect
for the remainder of today across Vermont and northern New
York. In addition to the haziness, a few isolated showers may be
possible this afternoon, especially across the southern Greens
where there may be some slightly better forcing from the weak
boundary that passed through. Shower activity is expected to
wane with the loss of diurnal heating, with overnight lows
expected to drop into 50s to low 60s. Like last night, some fog
development may be possible in some of the more favored valley
locations, especially with the high overhead and light to calm
winds expected.

Tomorrow will be remarkably similar to today, with some
lingering haziness and isolated showers possible. High
temperatures will climb into the upper 70s to mid 80s. Limited
instability and lack of any significant forcing will hinder most
shower development, with the higher terrain likely driving any
showers and most locations remaining dry otherwise. Overnight
lows Wednesday look to drop into the mid 50s to mid 60s
areawide.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
As of 216 PM EDT Tuesday...No significant change in the weather
pattern is expected for Thursday, with isolated chances for
showers and some lingering haze possible. Showers will continue
to be diurnally and terrain driven, with limited instability and
forcing available for more widespread shower activity. High
temperatures will generally be in the upper 70s to mid 80s, with
comfortable overnight lows in the 50s to mid 60s.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 216 PM EDT Tuesday...Strong upper level ridging is
expected to build across the region later this week, which will
continue to bring a period of dry weather through the weekend. A
warming temperature trend can be expected, with highs generally
in the 80s on Friday, climbing into the upper 80s to lower 90s
by Sunday into early next week. Overnight lows will be on the
milder side, with some locations struggling to drop below 70
over the weekend. High pressure will continue to be the main
weather feature as we head into next week, gradually shifting
eastward over the Atlantic, with southerly flow ushering in
increased moisture and higher humidity compared to the weekend.
Precipitation chances will increase towards mid-week ahead of an
approaching frontal boundary, but there is still plenty of
uncertainty with this feature and how it will interact with the
ridge aloft.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Through 18Z Wednesday...VFR conditions currently prevail across
all terminals this evening. Isolated showers will continue to
decrease in coverage following sunset. VFR conditions are
expected to prevail throughout most of the period, with the
exception being any fog development overnight. Both model
guidance and persistence forecast show another favorable night
for fog development, especially in the more favorable locations,
such as SLK/MPV/EFK where fog and mist developed last night.
The most likely period of IFR conditions looks to be after 06Z
towards until about 12Z or so. Winds northerly, becoming light
and variable or calm overnight. Will have some afternoon
thunderstorms develop over the higher terrain Wed.

Outlook...

Wednesday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.
Thursday: VFR. Chance SHRA, Slight chance TSRA.
Thursday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Friday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Friday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Saturday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Saturday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday: VFR. NO SIG WX.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Kremer
NEAR TERM...Kremer
SHORT TERM...Kremer
LONG TERM...Kremer
AVIATION...Neiles