


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Brownsville, TX
Issued by NWS Brownsville, TX
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678 FXUS64 KBRO 061127 AAA AFDBRO Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Brownsville TX 627 AM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Monday) Issued at 346 AM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025 The most recent surface analysis indicated a cold front over the western Gulf of America and completely through the BRO CWFA. Dry weather will occur across Deep South Texas and the Rio Grande Valley in the wake of the front and its parent 500 mb low moving in tandem farther east, which will produce a nearly zonal mid- level flow overhead. Temperature-wise, refreshing well below normal daytime highs and overnight lows are forecast, which will be a nice break from the recent Summer-like temperatures despite the recent beginning of Spring. Finally, a High Surf Advisory remains in effect for the local beaches today due to elevated seas along the Lower Texas Coast, with a High Risk of rip currents also in effect until around sunset Monday. && .LONG TERM... (Monday night through Saturday) Issued at 346 AM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025 Mostly clear skies and light winds are expected Monday night as surface high pressure settles across the Deep South Texas. Good radiational cooling should allow low temperatures to fall into the 40s across much of the region Monday night, except for the 50s near the coast. Tuesday will be warm with highs in the low to mid 80s, except for the 70 near the coast. Overnight lows are expected to remain near to slightly below normal through the week. Daytime high temperatures will gradually warm each day. Dry weather is also anticipated with no chance of rain. Breezy looks to be breezy as the pressure gradient increases. Another cold front or surge of high pressure arrives Friday. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 626 AM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025 VFR will generally be the rule at the aerodromes through the next 24 hours, with gradually diminishing winds and clearing skies. && .MARINE... Issued at 346 AM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025 Today through Monday: Buoy 42020 reported north winds around 23 knots gusting to around 27 knots with seas of 11.5 feet with a period of 7 seconds at 2:20 CDT/7:20 UTC. Small Craft Advisory conditions will exist along the Lower Texas Coast until midday Monday due to the recent passage of a cold front. Winds and seas will then begin to improve Monday afternoon as high pressure becomes more of an influence. Monday night through Saturday...Small Craft Should Exercise Caution conditions will be possible over the Gulf Waters Monday evening due to lingering elevated seas. Otherwise, favorable conditions will prevail along the Lower Texas Coast through much of the period. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... BROWNSVILLE 70 56 74 51 / 0 10 0 0 HARLINGEN 70 51 75 48 / 0 10 0 0 MCALLEN 72 54 78 51 / 0 10 0 0 RIO GRANDE CITY 69 50 77 48 / 0 0 0 0 SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 68 60 69 61 / 0 10 0 0 BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 70 55 72 54 / 0 10 0 0 && .BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...High Rip Current Risk through Monday evening for TXZ451-454-455. High Surf Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for TXZ451-454- 455. GM...Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM CDT this evening for GMZ130-132- 135. Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM CDT Monday for GMZ150-155-170- 175. && $$