571
FXUS64 KBRO 241756
AFDBRO

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Brownsville TX
1256 PM CDT Sun Aug 24 2025

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1221 PM CDT Sun Aug 24 2025

A weak upper level disturbance will continue to support daily
30-50% rain chances through Wednesday. Upper level ridging looks
to strengthen across Texas through the later half of the work
week, leading to increased subsidence and lower rain chances. Rain
chances look to increase again next weekend as another weak
disturbance approaches the area.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1221 PM CDT Sun Aug 24 2025

Predominantly VFR conditions are expected through the forecast.
Another round of isolated to scattered convection is expected
this afternoon, though the reduced spatial coverage today will
likely lower the probability of any impacts at TAF sites. MVFR to
IFR visibility reductions could develop if any showers or
thunderstorms does move over an airfield.

Rain chances are expected to diminish overnight, with VFR
conditions likely persisting through mid morning. By late morning
or early afternoon Monday, another round of showers and
thunderstorm will be possible.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1221 PM CDT Sun Aug 24 2025

Generally favorable marine conditions are expected to prevail
through the forecast. High pressure across the western Gulf will
support light to moderate winds and slight seas through the
period. Daily 40-50% chances of showers and thunderstorms are
expected through Wednesday, which may locally enhance winds and
seas.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BROWNSVILLE             92  78  93  79 /  70  50  50  20
HARLINGEN               92  73  94  75 /  60  40  60  20
MCALLEN                 95  78  96  79 /  60  30  60  20
RIO GRANDE CITY         96  76  97  76 /  50  20  50  20
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND      88  80  89  82 /  60  50  40  30
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL     90  76  91  78 /  60  50  50  20

&&

.BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...60-BE
LONG TERM....60-BE
AVIATION...60-BE