168
FNUS71 KBOX 021949
FWSBOX

Spot Forecast for Ocean House fireworks...WHFD
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
349 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1900 EDT on July 06.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service.

.DISCUSSION...

It will be quite humid Saturday evening. A cold front dropping
south into the region will bring the potential for scattered
showers and thunderstorms sometime late Saturday into Saturday
night. Specific timing and extent of the potential activity
remains highly uncertain at this time. In addition...we will have
to watch for some low clouds working into the region with
potential for ceilings below 1000 feet. But it is still too early
to give further details on this potential.


.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and isolated
                    thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Chance of rain......50 percent.
Chance of thunder...33 percent.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Min temperature.....Around 68.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Max apparent temp...73.
Max apparent temp...73.
Max apparent temp...73.
Eye level winds.....South winds up to 5 mph.
Surface winds (mph).South winds 6 to 9 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
100 FT WIND.........
Wave height.........Less than 1 foot.
Rainfall amount.....0.38 inches.
Pcpn amount.........0.38 inches.
Snowfall amount.....0.0 inches.
CEILING (KFT).......2.0 increasing to 2.5 early, then decreasing to
                    2.0 late in the evening decreasing to 1.5
                    decreasing to 1.0 decreasing to 0.8 after
                    midnight decreasing to 0.3.
Visibility..........9.
Water temperature...
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7300 knot-ft).
LVORI...............MISSING.
ADI.................MISSING.

TIME (EDT)      7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........70  74  74  74  74  71  68  65  66  67  68
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO
Chc of pcpn (%).30  30  30  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  50
Chc of rain (%).30  30  40  40  50  50  50  50  50  50  50
Chc of thdr (%).30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30
Temp............73  72  71  71  71  71  70  70  69  69  69
RH..............96  97  99  100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
Heat index (F)..73  72  71  71  71  71  70  70  69  69  69
Wind chill (F)..73  72  71  71  71  71  70  70  69  69  69
Aparnt tmp (F)..73  72  71  71  71  71  70  70  69  69  69
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..9   8   8   7   7   7   7   7   7   6   6
20 FT wind gust.18  17  17  17  17  16  16  15  15  14  14
Eye lvl wnd dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Eye lvl wnd spd.5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Eye lvl wnd gst.11  10  10  10  10  10  10  9   9   8   8
Surface wnd dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Surface wnd spd.9   8   8   7   7   7   7   7   7   6   6
Surface wnd gst.18  17  17  17  17  16  16  15  15  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.16  16  16  17  17  17  17  17  16  16  15
100 ft wind.....
LVORI...........M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
ADI.............M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Vrate kt-ft/1K..11  8   8   8   8   8   8   9   8   8   7
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR
Wave height (ft)0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Ceiling (kft)...2.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.5 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.3 0.3
Visibility (sm).9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9
Water temp......

$$
Forecaster...Frank
Requested by...Fire Marshal Moore
Type of request...OTHER
.TAG 2417221.0/BOX
.DELDT 07/06/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL cmoore@watchhillfire.com