


Soaring Guidance
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO
956 UXUS97 KBOU 040118 SRGBOU Soaring Forecast National Weather Service Denver/Boulder, Colorado 1917 MDT Thursday, July 3, 2025 This forecast is for Friday, July 4, 2025: If the trigger temperature of 75.9 F/24.4 C is reached...then Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent Maximum rate of lift........................ 892 ft/min (4.5 m/s) Maximum height of thermals.................. 16178 ft MSL (10869 ft AGL) Forecast maximum temperature................... 89.0 F/32.1 C Time of trigger temperature.................... 0945 MDT Time of overdevelopment........................ None Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... Broken/overcast thin middle Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less Height of the -3 thermal index................. 13396 ft MSL (8087 ft AGL) Thermal soaring outlook for Saturday 07/05..... Excellent Wave Soaring Index............................. Poor Wave Soaring Index trend (to 1800 MDT)......... No change Height of stable layer (12-18K ft MSL)......... None Weak PVA/NVA (through 1800 MDT)................ Weak PVA Potential height of wave....................... 19598 ft MSL (14289 ft AGL) Wave soaring outlook for Saturday 07/05........ Poor Remarks... Sunrise/Sunset.................... 05:37:05 / 20:30:58 MDT Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 53 min 53 sec (893 min 53 sec) Altitude of sun at 13:04:02 MDT... 73.01 degrees Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 07/04/2025 at 0600 MDT Freezing level.................. 15593 ft MSL (10284 ft AGL) Convective condensation level... 12843 ft MSL (7534 ft AGL) Lifted condensation level....... 14442 ft MSL (9132 ft AGL) Lifted index.................... -3.7 K index......................... +29.2 Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 50000 -62.5 -80.5 225 25 13 3.1 1.7 M M M M M 45000 -56.6 -69.9 225 34 18 5.6 3.1 M M M M M 40000 -48.1 -54.6 225 42 22 5.3 2.9 M M M M M 38000 -44.9 -48.8 220 42 22 5.3 2.9 M M M M M 36000 -41.8 -43.2 220 43 22 5.2 2.9 M M M M M 34000 -37.5 -35.5 215 35 18 6.5 3.6 M M M M M 32000 -33.5 -28.3 205 28 14 6.2 3.4 M M M M M 30000 -29.0 -20.2 195 27 14 7.8 4.3 47.2 117.0 11.8 M M 29000 -26.7 -16.1 190 27 14 7.8 4.3 46.5 115.7 11.3 M M 28000 -24.3 -11.7 185 27 14 7.5 4.1 45.9 114.6 11.0 M M 27000 -22.2 -8.0 190 26 13 7.4 4.1 44.8 112.7 10.2 M M 26000 -20.0 -4.0 190 25 13 7.5 4.1 44.0 111.1 9.6 M M 25000 -17.8 -0.0 195 23 12 7.5 4.1 43.2 109.8 9.0 M M 24000 -15.7 3.7 200 23 12 6.9 3.8 42.1 107.9 8.2 M M 23000 -13.7 7.3 205 22 11 6.9 3.8 41.1 106.0 7.4 M M 22000 -11.7 10.9 210 22 11 7.0 3.8 40.2 104.3 6.6 M M 21000 -9.9 14.2 215 21 11 5.8 3.2 38.8 101.8 5.5 M M 20000 -8.2 17.2 215 20 10 5.9 3.2 37.4 99.3 4.3 M M 19500 -7.4 18.7 215 20 10 5.9 3.2 36.7 98.1 3.7 M M 19000 -6.6 20.1 215 19 10 6.4 3.3 36.1 97.0 3.2 M M 18500 -5.7 21.7 220 19 10 6.0 3.3 35.4 95.8 2.6 M M 18000 -4.8 23.4 220 19 10 6.0 3.3 34.8 94.7 2.0 M M 17500 -3.4 25.9 220 17 9 6.7 3.7 34.0 93.2 1.2 M M 17000 -2.4 27.7 220 16 8 6.7 3.7 33.5 92.3 0.8 M M 16500 -1.5 29.3 220 15 8 6.3 3.5 32.9 91.3 0.2 M M 16000 -0.6 30.9 220 14 7 6.4 3.5 32.4 90.2 -0.3 868 4.4 15500 0.3 32.5 225 14 7 6.2 3.4 31.8 89.2 -0.8 826 4.2 15000 1.2 34.2 230 13 7 6.2 3.4 31.2 88.1 -1.4 785 4.0 14500 2.1 35.8 240 12 6 6.6 3.6 30.6 87.1 -2.0 744 3.8 14000 3.1 37.6 245 12 6 6.9 3.8 30.1 86.2 -2.5 699 3.6 13500 4.1 39.4 255 12 6 6.9 3.8 29.7 85.4 -3.0 654 3.3 13000 5.1 41.2 265 11 6 6.9 3.8 29.2 84.6 -3.4 610 3.1 12500 6.1 43.0 275 10 5 7.0 3.8 28.8 83.8 -3.9 565 2.9 12000 7.2 45.0 285 10 5 7.7 4.2 28.4 83.1 -4.3 518 2.6 11500 8.3 46.9 295 9 5 7.7 4.2 28.1 82.5 -4.7 469 2.4 11000 9.3 48.7 300 9 5 6.5 3.6 27.6 81.7 -5.1 424 2.2 10500 10.3 50.5 305 9 4 5.5 3.0 27.2 80.9 -5.6 380 1.9 10250 10.6 51.1 305 9 4 4.5 2.4 26.7 80.1 -6.0 362 1.8 10000 11.0 51.8 310 9 4 6.9 3.8 26.4 79.5 -6.4 343 1.7 9750 11.6 52.9 310 8 4 7.9 4.3 26.2 79.2 -6.6 319 1.6 9500 12.1 53.8 315 8 4 7.6 4.2 26.1 79.0 -6.8 296 1.5 9250 12.6 54.7 320 8 4 4.8 2.6 25.9 78.5 -7.1 274 1.4 9000 12.8 55.0 325 8 4 5.1 2.8 25.4 77.7 -7.6 259 1.3 8750 13.3 55.9 335 7 4 7.6 4.2 25.2 77.3 -7.8 237 1.2 8500 13.8 56.8 340 7 4 6.5 3.6 25.0 77.0 -8.1 215 1.1 8250 14.2 57.6 350 7 3 4.6 2.5 24.7 76.4 -8.4 195 1.0 8000 14.5 58.1 350 6 3 4.2 2.3 24.2 75.6 -8.9 179 0.9 7750 14.9 58.8 350 6 3 5.7 3.1 23.9 75.0 -9.3 161 0.8 7500 15.3 59.5 355 5 3 5.2 2.9 23.6 74.4 -9.6 141 0.7 7250 15.6 60.1 345 5 3 4.2 2.3 23.2 73.7 -10.0 124 0.6 7000 15.9 60.6 340 5 2 4.4 2.4 22.7 72.9 -10.5 107 0.5 6750 16.3 61.3 330 5 2 6.5 3.6 22.4 72.3 -10.8 88 0.4 6500 16.9 62.4 335 4 2 7.8 4.3 22.2 72.0 -11.0 64 0.3 6250 17.4 63.3 335 4 2 7.4 4.1 22.1 71.7 -11.2 40 0.2 6000 18.0 64.4 340 4 2 7.6 4.2 21.9 71.4 -11.4 16 0.1 5750 18.6 65.5 345 4 2 8.0 4.4 21.7 71.1 -11.6 M M 5500 19.1 66.4 340 3 2 7.7 4.2 21.6 70.9 -11.8 M M * * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * * 07/04/2025 at 0900 MDT | 07/04/2025 at 1200 MDT | CAPE... +205.5 LI... -1.2 | CAPE... +281.4 LI... -2.0 CINH... -55.5 K Index... +27.8 | CINH... -7.4 K Index... +28.0 | Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 50000 -62.3 -80.1 220 21 11 3.3 1.8 | -62.6 -80.7 225 23 12 3.2 1.7 45000 -56.3 -69.3 225 29 15 5.4 3.0 | -56.4 -69.5 230 32 17 5.8 3.2 40000 -48.0 -54.4 225 40 21 6.1 3.3 | -47.7 -53.9 230 40 21 5.7 3.1 38000 -44.4 -47.9 225 41 21 6.1 3.3 | -44.3 -47.7 235 41 21 5.7 3.1 36000 -40.7 -41.3 230 43 22 6.1 3.3 | -40.9 -41.6 240 43 22 5.7 3.1 34000 -36.5 -33.7 230 39 20 6.3 3.4 | -36.6 -33.9 235 41 21 6.4 3.5 32000 -32.7 -26.9 225 35 18 6.2 3.4 | -32.8 -27.0 235 39 20 6.3 3.5 30000 -28.7 -19.7 220 31 16 6.8 3.7 | -28.6 -19.5 240 35 18 7.0 3.9 29000 -26.7 -16.1 220 29 15 6.8 3.7 | -26.5 -15.7 245 33 17 7.1 3.9 28000 -24.6 -12.3 215 27 14 6.5 3.6 | -24.4 -11.9 245 31 16 6.7 3.7 27000 -22.8 -9.0 210 26 13 6.2 3.4 | -22.5 -8.5 245 29 15 6.5 3.6 26000 -20.9 -5.6 210 25 13 6.2 3.4 | -20.5 -4.9 250 26 13 6.6 3.6 25000 -19.0 -2.2 205 25 13 6.3 3.4 | -18.6 -1.5 250 24 12 6.7 3.7 24000 -17.2 1.0 205 24 12 6.4 3.5 | -16.9 1.6 250 23 12 5.5 3.0 23000 -15.3 4.5 210 24 12 6.4 3.5 | -15.3 4.5 250 22 11 5.6 3.0 22000 -13.4 7.9 210 23 12 6.5 3.6 | -13.6 7.5 250 22 11 5.6 3.1 21000 -11.3 11.7 220 22 11 7.4 4.1 | -11.7 10.9 255 21 11 6.8 3.8 20000 -9.2 15.4 230 21 11 7.4 4.1 | -9.7 14.5 255 21 11 6.9 3.8 19500 -8.1 17.4 235 21 11 7.5 4.1 | -8.7 16.3 260 20 10 6.9 3.8 19000 -7.0 19.4 240 20 10 7.1 3.9 | -7.7 18.1 260 20 10 6.6 3.6 18500 -6.0 21.2 245 19 10 7.0 3.8 | -6.8 19.8 265 20 10 6.6 3.6 18000 -5.1 22.8 250 18 10 7.0 3.8 | -5.4 22.3 265 19 10 6.1 3.4 17500 -3.8 25.2 255 17 9 5.7 3.1 | -4.6 23.7 270 19 10 6.0 3.3 17000 -3.0 26.6 260 16 8 5.7 3.1 | -3.7 25.3 270 19 10 6.3 3.4 16500 -2.2 28.0 265 15 8 5.7 3.1 | -2.7 27.1 275 19 10 7.1 3.9 16000 -1.4 29.5 270 15 8 5.7 3.1 | -1.7 28.9 280 19 10 7.1 3.9 15500 -0.5 31.1 275 14 7 6.2 3.4 | -0.7 30.7 285 18 9 7.2 4.0 15000 0.4 32.7 280 14 7 6.3 3.4 | 0.4 32.7 290 18 9 7.2 4.0 14500 1.3 34.3 285 14 7 6.7 3.7 | 1.4 34.5 295 17 9 7.5 4.1 14000 2.3 36.1 290 14 7 7.1 3.9 | 2.5 36.5 295 16 8 7.6 4.2 13500 3.3 37.9 295 14 7 7.2 4.0 | 3.6 38.5 300 16 8 7.8 4.3 13000 4.4 39.9 295 14 7 7.5 4.1 | 4.8 40.6 305 15 8 8.0 4.4 12500 5.5 41.9 300 14 7 7.5 4.1 | 5.9 42.6 310 14 7 8.1 4.4 12000 6.6 43.9 300 14 7 7.4 4.1 | 7.1 44.8 310 13 7 8.5 4.6 11500 7.7 45.9 300 15 7 7.4 4.1 | 8.4 47.1 315 12 6 8.5 4.7 11000 8.8 47.8 300 14 7 7.4 4.1 | 9.7 49.5 315 12 6 8.7 4.8 10500 9.9 49.8 300 14 7 4.8 2.6 | 11.0 51.8 315 11 6 4.3 2.4 10250 10.1 50.2 300 14 7 3.8 2.1 | 11.2 52.2 315 11 6 5.4 2.9 10000 10.6 51.1 295 13 7 8.3 4.6 | 11.9 53.4 315 10 5 11.9 6.5 9750 11.2 52.2 295 13 7 9.0 5.0 | 12.7 54.9 310 9 5 10.6 5.8 9500 11.9 53.4 295 12 6 8.3 4.5 | 13.4 56.1 310 8 4 9.4 5.2 9250 12.4 54.3 295 12 6 5.5 3.0 | 14.0 57.2 310 7 4 6.6 3.6 9000 12.7 54.9 295 11 6 6.2 3.4 | 14.5 58.1 310 6 3 9.1 5.0 8750 13.3 55.9 290 10 5 8.3 4.6 | 15.3 59.5 310 6 3 11.7 6.4 8500 13.8 56.8 290 9 5 7.2 3.9 | 16.1 61.0 315 5 3 9.9 5.4 8250 14.3 57.7 290 9 4 5.7 3.1 | 16.7 62.1 315 5 2 7.2 4.0 8000 14.7 58.5 290 8 4 6.1 3.3 | 17.3 63.1 320 4 2 9.0 4.9 7750 15.2 59.4 295 7 4 8.1 4.4 | 18.1 64.6 320 4 2 12.6 6.9 7500 15.7 60.3 300 6 3 6.7 3.7 | 19.0 66.2 325 3 2 10.1 5.6 7250 16.1 61.0 305 5 3 4.8 2.6 | 19.6 67.3 330 3 2 7.4 4.1 7000 16.4 61.5 310 4 2 5.7 3.1 | 20.2 68.4 335 3 1 9.1 5.0 6750 17.0 62.6 320 3 2 9.9 5.4 | 21.0 69.8 335 3 1 12.9 7.1 6500 17.7 63.9 335 2 1 10.2 5.6 | 22.0 71.6 340 2 1 11.8 6.5 6250 18.4 65.1 350 2 1 8.3 4.6 | 22.7 72.9 350 2 1 9.9 5.4 6000 19.0 66.2 010 2 1 8.2 4.5 | 23.5 74.3 355 2 1 9.2 5.0 5750 19.7 67.5 025 2 1 13.0 7.1 | 24.3 75.7 360 2 1 15.5 8.5 5500 21.0 69.8 025 2 1 23.4 12.8 | 26.0 78.8 005 2 1 31.5 17.3 07/04/2025 at 1500 MDT | 07/04/2025 at 1800 MDT | CAPE... +204.1 LI... -1.7 | CAPE... +302.8 LI... -1.7 CINH... -15.4 K Index... +27.6 | CINH... -33.2 K Index... +31.8 | Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 50000 -62.6 -80.7 225 26 13 2.8 1.6 | -62.9 -81.2 215 23 12 2.7 1.5 45000 -56.8 -70.2 230 37 19 5.9 3.2 | -57.0 -70.6 230 35 18 6.4 3.5 40000 -47.5 -53.5 230 44 23 5.9 3.3 | -47.1 -52.8 230 46 24 5.8 3.2 38000 -44.0 -47.2 235 44 23 5.9 3.3 | -43.7 -46.7 235 47 24 5.8 3.2 36000 -40.4 -40.7 235 44 23 5.9 3.2 | -40.2 -40.4 240 48 25 5.8 3.2 34000 -37.0 -34.6 235 40 20 5.7 3.1 | -37.0 -34.6 235 43 22 5.2 2.9 32000 -33.6 -28.5 235 35 18 5.5 3.0 | -33.9 -29.0 230 38 20 5.0 2.8 30000 -29.3 -20.7 235 32 17 7.6 4.1 | -29.7 -21.5 235 37 19 7.3 4.0 29000 -27.0 -16.6 235 31 16 7.6 4.1 | -27.5 -17.5 235 37 19 7.3 4.0 28000 -24.8 -12.6 240 30 16 7.3 4.0 | -24.8 -12.6 240 36 19 6.8 3.7 27000 -22.2 -8.0 240 28 14 7.0 3.8 | -22.8 -9.0 245 34 18 6.8 3.7 26000 -20.1 -4.2 245 26 14 7.0 3.9 | -20.8 -5.4 250 32 17 6.8 3.8 25000 -18.0 -0.4 250 25 13 6.8 3.7 | -18.7 -1.7 260 31 16 6.8 3.7 24000 -16.1 3.0 255 24 13 6.3 3.5 | -16.7 1.9 265 29 15 6.9 3.8 23000 -14.3 6.3 260 24 13 6.3 3.5 | -14.7 5.5 270 27 14 6.9 3.8 22000 -12.4 9.7 265 24 13 6.4 3.5 | -12.7 9.1 275 26 13 7.0 3.8 21000 -10.6 12.9 265 24 12 6.4 3.5 | -10.7 12.7 280 26 13 7.0 3.9 20000 -8.7 16.3 265 23 12 6.5 3.5 | -8.6 16.5 280 26 14 7.1 3.9 19500 -7.8 18.0 265 23 12 6.4 3.5 | -7.6 18.3 280 27 14 7.2 4.0 19000 -6.8 19.8 265 22 11 7.5 4.1 | -6.7 19.9 280 26 14 6.5 3.6 18500 -5.8 21.6 270 22 11 7.4 4.1 | -5.7 21.7 285 26 13 6.6 3.6 18000 -4.7 23.5 275 21 11 7.2 4.0 | -4.8 23.4 285 26 13 6.7 3.7 17500 -3.7 25.3 275 21 11 7.0 3.8 | -3.9 25.0 285 25 13 6.7 3.7 17000 -2.7 27.1 280 22 11 7.0 3.8 | -2.9 26.8 290 24 13 6.6 3.6 16500 -1.7 28.9 285 22 11 6.5 3.6 | -1.9 28.6 290 24 12 7.7 4.2 16000 -0.7 30.7 285 22 11 6.6 3.6 | -0.9 30.4 295 23 12 7.6 4.2 15500 0.2 32.4 290 22 11 7.0 3.8 | 0.2 32.4 295 23 12 8.0 4.4 15000 1.3 34.3 295 21 11 7.2 4.0 | 1.4 34.5 295 22 11 8.3 4.5 14500 2.3 36.1 295 21 11 7.4 4.0 | 3.2 37.8 300 20 10 8.7 4.8 14000 4.0 39.2 300 18 9 7.9 4.3 | 4.5 40.1 300 19 10 8.8 4.8 13500 5.1 41.2 300 17 9 8.2 4.5 | 5.8 42.4 300 18 9 9.2 5.0 13000 6.3 43.3 300 15 8 8.4 4.6 | 7.2 45.0 300 16 8 9.4 5.2 12500 7.5 45.5 300 14 7 8.5 4.6 | 8.6 47.5 300 15 8 9.3 5.1 12000 8.7 47.7 300 11 6 8.6 4.7 | 10.0 50.0 300 13 7 9.1 5.0 11500 9.9 49.8 305 8 4 8.8 4.8 | 11.3 52.3 295 11 6 8.9 4.9 11000 11.3 52.3 300 7 3 9.1 5.0 | 12.6 54.7 295 10 5 8.5 4.7 10500 12.7 54.9 300 5 3 5.2 2.9 | 13.9 57.0 285 9 4 5.5 3.0 10250 12.9 55.2 300 5 3 6.6 3.6 | 14.2 57.6 285 8 4 6.7 3.7 10000 13.8 56.8 300 5 2 12.8 7.0 | 15.0 59.0 285 8 4 11.6 6.4 9750 14.6 58.3 300 4 2 11.7 6.4 | 15.7 60.3 280 7 4 10.8 5.9 9500 15.5 59.9 300 4 2 9.7 5.3 | 16.5 61.7 275 7 4 9.1 5.0 9250 16.1 61.0 300 4 2 7.5 4.1 | 17.1 62.8 270 7 3 7.2 3.9 9000 16.7 62.1 300 4 2 10.4 5.7 | 17.7 63.9 270 7 3 9.5 5.2 8750 17.6 63.7 300 3 2 12.1 6.6 | 18.5 65.3 260 6 3 10.8 5.9 8500 18.4 65.1 300 3 2 10.3 5.6 | 19.2 66.6 255 6 3 9.3 5.1 8250 19.1 66.4 305 3 1 7.6 4.2 | 19.8 67.6 250 6 3 7.2 3.9 8000 19.7 67.5 305 3 1 9.4 5.1 | 20.3 68.5 245 6 3 8.0 4.4 7750 20.5 68.9 305 2 1 12.0 6.6 | 21.0 69.8 230 6 3 9.3 5.1 7500 21.4 70.5 305 2 1 9.7 5.3 | 21.6 70.9 220 6 3 8.5 4.7 7250 22.0 71.6 305 2 1 7.6 4.2 | 22.2 72.0 215 6 3 7.9 4.3 7000 22.6 72.7 305 2 1 9.3 5.1 | 22.8 73.0 210 7 3 8.4 4.6 6750 23.4 74.1 305 2 1 12.0 6.6 | 23.5 74.3 205 7 4 9.4 5.2 6500 24.3 75.7 305 2 1 10.8 5.9 | 24.2 75.6 200 7 4 9.4 5.2 6250 25.0 77.0 305 1 1 9.2 5.1 | 24.9 76.8 200 7 4 9.1 5.0 6000 25.7 78.3 310 1 1 9.1 5.0 | 25.5 77.9 195 7 4 8.9 4.9 5750 26.4 79.5 310 1 1 13.4 7.3 | 26.2 79.2 195 7 4 11.9 6.6 5500 27.8 82.0 310 1 1 23.4 12.9 | 27.3 81.1 195 6 3 18.4 10.1 ________________________________________________________________________________ This product is issued twice per day, once by approximately 0630 MST/0730 MDT (1330 UTC) and again by approximately 1830 MST/1930 MDT (0130 UTC). It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial issuance. The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or numerical weather prediction model data taken near the old Stapleton Airport site in Denver, Colorado at North Latitude: 39 deg 46 min 5.016 sec West Longitude: 104 deg 52 min 9.984 sec Elevation: 5285 feet (1611 meters) and may not be representative of other areas along the Front Range of the Colorado Rocky Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should not be used. The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject to change without prior notice. Comments and suggestions are welcome and should be directed to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page. To expedite a response to comments, be sure to mention your interest in the soaring forecast. DEFINITIONS: CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the energy available for convective development, also known as the positive area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should convective activity develop. CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft, lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.) Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass, if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are produced by surface heating only. Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a "trigger temperature" for that level. Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius. Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain waves. K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158 and is reproduced in the following table: below -10 no or weak thermals -10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals 5 to 15 good soaring conditions 15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers 20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing probability of showers and thunderstorms above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate inversions. Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation. Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same level. The parcel`s initial temperature is the forecast maximum temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with positive values showing stable conditions. Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation. Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index are applied to these calculations. Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature. Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger temperature and the time of overdevelopment. Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus) or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud. Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests that little sunlight is reaching the ground. Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights: 1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists) where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more 2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists) where the wind speed no longer increases with height PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA) on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring. Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached and the time of overdevelopment. Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values are indicative of thermal lift. Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following: Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating >= 800 fpm Excellent >= 400 and < 800 fpm Good >= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair < 200 fpm Poor Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena, which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur: 1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover 2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts 3. initiation of widespread precipitation Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to reach the trigger temperature. Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000 feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic. Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough movements. 042613