Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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Spot Forecast for MBRTB old Park Hand Piles...USFS
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
626 AM MST Thu Nov 7 2024

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...A strong storm system will lift north across
eastern Utah and eastern Colorado today through Saturday. Easterly
flow ahead the storm will bring dry conditions through
tonight. As low level flow turns westerly, snow is expected to
form late Friday and into Saturday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
CWR.................3 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 32.
Min humidity........61 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 7 mph until 1000, then
                    east.
Mixing height.......Below 1000 FT AGL until 1100, then 1500 ft AGL
                    until 1600, then Below 1000 FT AGL.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 10 mph until 0900, then light until
                    1000, then east 10 to 16 mph until 1200, then
                    13 to 20 mph until 1700, then around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MST)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........31  34  34  35  35  35  35  35  35  35  28
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............7   12  20  24  28  30  31  32  31  29  27
RH..............88  81  64  63  61  61  63  67  67  74  69
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   NE
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5
20 FT wind gust.7   7   7   9   9   9   9   9   9   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.0 1.2 1.5 1.4 1.0 0.8 0.1
Transp wind dir.NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.7   7   7   10  16  20  20  17  15  13  10
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Vrate kt-ft/1K..0   0   1   5   14  21  25  22  13  8   0
SmokeDispersion.P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
CWR.................5 percent.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 11.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East 4 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......Below 1000 FT AGL.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 12 mph until 2000, then northeast 8
                    to 11 mph until 2300, then light until 2400,
                    then east 8 to 10 mph until 0200, then
                    northeast 8 to 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........28  29  29  29  29  29  31  33  33  31  28  40
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  20
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............23  20  19  18  17  16  15  14  14  13  13  12
RH..............79  82  81  81  80  83  86  86  88  91  99  100
20 FT wind dir..E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   SE  E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..3   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   3   5   6
20 FT wind gust.6   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   6   7   9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.E   NE  NE  N   N   NE  E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.9   9   9   9   8   7   7   7   6   6   7   6
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Vrate kt-ft/1K..0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
SmokeDispersion.P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P


.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of snow
                    during the afternoon.
CWR.................6 percent increasing to 19 percent late in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 34.
Min humidity........70 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 7 mph until 1500. North
                    around 6 mph after 1700.
Mixing height.......Below 1000 FT AGL until 1100, then 1300 ft AGL
                    until 1500, then Below 1000 FT AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 8 to 9 mph until 0800, then light
                    until 0900, then northeast 8 to 13 mph until
                    1600, then north 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........44  48  52  56  60  64  67  71  75  79  82  86
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  20
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  20  20  20  30  30  30  30  30  30  30
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............12  15  19  26  28  31  33  34  34  33  31  29
RH..............98  100 96  79  73  75  70  70  70  73  77  81
20 FT wind dir..E   E   NE  E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N
20 FT wind spd..6   5   5   5   5   6   5   5   5   5   6   6
20 FT wind gust.9   7   7   7   7   9   7   7   7   7   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.1
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N
Transp wind spd.6   6   6   8   10  12  12  12  10  12  12  13
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Vrate kt-ft/1K..0   0   0   2   6   11  11  12  12  9   5   0
SmokeDispersion.P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P

$$
Forecaster...Meier
Requested by...Chris Green
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2425883.1/BOU
.DELDT 11/07/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL christopher.e.green@usda.gov