Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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FNUS75 KBOU 181102
FWSBOU

Spot Forecast for Selleck Pile Burn...FFFD
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
502 AM MDT Fri Apr 18 2025

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...A storm will bring widespread light to moderate snow
along with colder temperatures to the burn area today and tonight.
Snow accumulations of 3 to 6 inches are possible through sunset
today with another 1 to 3 inches tonight.  Smoke dispersal looks
to be poor throughout today.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Snow showers.
CWR.................63 percent increasing to 90 percent in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......100 percent.
Chance of thunder...8 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 28.
Min humidity........76 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 13 mph until 1300, then
                    east 7 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......3100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 8 to 11 mph until 0900, then east 9
                    to 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........99  99  99  99  99  99  99  99  99  99  99  99
Weather cov.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............60  60  60  60  60  60  90  90  90  90  90  90
Chc of pcpn (%).80  80  80  80  80  90  90  90  90  100 100 100
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............17  17  17  18  20  22  23  24  24  27  26  25
RH..............99  99  100 100 98  88  88  85  83  78  78  81
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..5   6   6   7   8   9   10  10  10  10  9   8
20 FT wind gust.7   9   9   12  13  15  16  16  16  16  15  13
Mix hgt (kft)...1.3 1.4 2.4 2.3 2.7 2.8 3.2 3.1 2.9 2.8 2.6 2.4
Transp wind dir.N   NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.9   8   9   9   12  12  13  12  12  13  14  13
Vrate kt-ft/1K..10  10  19  19  27  28  35  31  29  31  31  27
SmokeDispersion.P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Snow showers until
                    2200, then snow showers likely until 2400, then
                    chance of snow showers.
CWR.................71 percent decreasing to 12 percent.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Chance of thunder...6 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 17.
Max humidity........91 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph until 2100, then
                    variable up to 5 mph.
Mixing height.......1100 ft AGL until 0100, then Below 1000 FT AGL.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 13 mph until 2300, then southeast
                    until 0100, then south until 0300, then
                    southwest 8 to 10 mph until 0500, then light.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........99  99  99  99  99  99  99  96  93  89  85  82
Weather cov.....DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............70  70  70  70  60  50  10  10  10  10  10  10
Chc of pcpn (%).90  90  90  90  70  60  50  40  40  30  40  40
Chc of thdr (%).10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............25  24  24  23  23  23  22  22  22  22  20  20
RH..............81  80  76  76  76  76  79  75  75  72  77  74
20 FT wind dir..E   E   NE  NE  E   E   E   SE  SE  S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..7   6   5   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.12  9   7   6   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Mix hgt (kft)...2.3 1.8 1.6 1.6 1.4 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.6
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   NE  SE  S   S   S   SW  S   S
Transp wind spd.12  9   8   8   8   5   5   5   6   7   7   7
Vrate kt-ft/1K..23  15  11  11  10  4   4   4   4   5   4   4
SmokeDispersion.P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of snow
                    showers.
CWR.................11 percent.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Chance of thunder...8 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 33.
Min humidity........70 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph until 0800, then
                    variable up to 5 mph until 0900, then southeast
                    5 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......Below 1000 FT AGL until 0800, then 2700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........78  78  82  83  84  83  82  79  76  74  73  74
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Chc of pcpn (%).40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............20  18  21  22  26  28  28  29  30  31  31  32
RH..............81  91  85  87  79  76  76  74  75  76  74  72
20 FT wind dir..SW  S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   5   6   8   9   8   8   7   7   6
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   7   9   13  15  13  13  12  12  9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 1.4 2.1 2.3 2.5 2.5 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.5 2.3
Transp wind dir.S   SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.8   8   8   10  10  10  10  9   10  10  10  10
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4   4   10  19  21  23  23  22  23  24  22  20
SmokeDispersion.P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P

$$
Forecaster...RJK
Requested by...Greg Gilbert
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2510918.1/BOU
.DELDT 04/18/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL greg.gilbert@emberalliance.org,kristin@emberalliance.org