Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO
668
FNUS75 KBOU 061147
FWSBOU
Spot Forecast for Fair Piles...USFS
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
447 AM MST Wed Nov 6 2024
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION... There will be light snow that falls throughout the
day today. Generally 1-3" is forecast but there could be higher
amounts across the higher terrain of the burn. Winds will gust up
to 16 mph this afternoon which may create just enough mixing for
fair smoke dispersal to develop.
The chance for snow becomes minimal tonight and into Thursday. The
majority of the hours should be dry but up to an additional inch
cannot be ruled out for tomorrow. Lighter winds tomorrow should
keep smoke dispersal poor.
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Snow until 0700,
then snow likely until 1700, then chance of
snow.
CWR.................11 percent.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 18.
Min humidity........69 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph until 1100, then 7
to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......Below 1000 FT AGL until 0800, then 2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 12 to 18 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1000, then fair until 1600, then
poor.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (MST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........94 94 92 88 86 88 86 88 88 84 81 64
Weather cov.....DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC
Weather type....SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
Chc of pcpn (%).80 70 70 70 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 30
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............11 11 13 15 16 16 17 17 16 16 15 12
RH..............87 85 81 73 69 70 71 69 72 69 71 76
20 FT wind dir..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E E NE
20 FT wind spd..5 5 6 7 8 9 10 10 10 9 9 8
20 FT wind gust.7 7 9 12 13 15 16 16 16 15 15 13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 0.6 1.3 2.3 2.7 3.2 3.2 3.0 2.9 2.7 1.9 1.0
Transp wind dir.NE NE NE E NE E E E E E E E
Transp wind spd.12 13 14 16 17 17 17 18 18 18 16 14
Haines index....2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
Vrate kt-ft/1K..9 6 15 32 41 48 47 48 46 43 27 12
SmokeDispersion.P P P P F F F F F F P P
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2300, then
partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of snow
until 2300, then slight chance of snow.
CWR.................7 percent.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 5 above.
Max humidity........83 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 8 mph until 0100, then around 5
mph until 0300, then east around 5 mph until
0500, then variable up to 5 mph.
Mixing height.......Below 1000 FT AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (MST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........61 65 56 53 53 45 45 45 45 45 45 44
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
Chc of pcpn (%).30 30 30 30 30 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............10 10 9 9 8 7 7 7 7 7 6 6
RH..............80 80 80 76 79 83 79 79 77 77 80 73
20 FT wind dir..E E E E E E E E E E E E
20 FT wind spd..7 7 7 6 6 5 5 3 3 3 3 3
20 FT wind gust.12 12 12 9 9 7 7 6 6 6 6 6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.E E E E E E E E E E E E
Transp wind spd.14 15 13 14 13 13 12 12 10 10 10 12
Haines index....2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
Vrate kt-ft/1K..6 7 6 6 5 5 4 5 4 4 4 5
SmokeDispersion.P P P P P P P P P P P P
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
snow until 1700.
CWR.................6 percent.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 27.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 mph until 0800, then
variable up to 5 mph until 0900, then east 5 to
8 mph.
Mixing height.......Below 1000 FT AGL until 1000, then 2300 ft AGL
until 1700, then Below 1000 FT AGL.
Transport winds.....East 9 to 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (MST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........43 50 40 39 38 37 37 38 39 40 41 42
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 0
Chc of pcpn (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 10
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............7 8 11 18 21 23 26 27 27 26 24 22
RH..............72 73 66 53 54 53 50 51 51 53 55 72
20 FT wind dir..E E E E E E E E E E E E
20 FT wind spd..3 3 3 5 5 6 7 8 8 8 7 7
20 FT wind gust.6 6 6 7 7 9 12 13 13 13 12 12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.9 1.6 2.0 2.3 2.4 2.5 1.8 1.1 0.4
Transp wind dir.E E E E E E E E E E E E
Transp wind spd.9 10 13 14 17 17 17 17 17 15 14 12
Haines index....2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4 5 6 11 24 31 35 36 37 24 14 5
SmokeDispersion.P P P P P P P P P P P P
$$
Forecaster...Danielson
Requested by...Ben Timock
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2425860.0/BOU
.DELDT 11/06/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL benjamin.timock@usda.gov