Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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Spot Forecast for Devils Creek Piles...USFS
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
432 AM MST Thu Nov 14 2024

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Look for mostly sunny skies today with mimimum humidity
around 25 percent.  Winds will be west at 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
22 mph until 1500. After 1500 winds will be southwest 6 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal will be poor until 1200, then fair until 1400. After 1400
it will drop back to poor.

Friday will see partly cloudy skies with minimum humidity around 25 percent.
Winds will be south at 6 to 12 mph with gusts up to 20 mph by 1200.
Smoke dispersal will be poor most of the day but there could be a few hours
of fair dispersal between 1300 and 1500.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 48.
Min humidity........25 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 20 mph until 1500,
                    then southwest 6 to 12 mph until 1700, then around 8
                    mph.
Mixing height.......Below 1000 FT AGL until 0900, then 2500 ft AGL
                    until 1700, then Below 1000 FT AGL.
Transport winds.....West 18 to 24 mph until 1400, then southwest 8
                    to 14 mph until 1700, then south around 8 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1200, then fair until 1400, then
                    poor.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (MST)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........23  13  11  9   7   6   5   4   9   13  18
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............35  37  41  43  45  46  46  47  44  42  39
RH..............35  34  30  28  26  25  26  26  29  32  32
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..18  18  18  17  18  15  14  13  10  8   8
20 FT wind gust.22  22  21  18  20  16  15  14  12      9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.7 1.1 1.6 2.2 2.6 2.8 2.2 1.6 1.3 0.4
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  S
Transp wind spd.24  21  18  18  18  18  18  14  12  8   8
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..9   12  17  26  34  41  44  26  16  9   2
SmokeDispersion.P   P   P   P   P   F   F   P   P   P   P

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 28.
Max humidity........42 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 13 mph until 0200, then
                    south 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......Below 1000 FT AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 11 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........15  13  9   14  16  17  25  32  40  44  49  47
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............34  33  32  32  32  32  32  32  32  32  33  34
RH..............40  41  41  39  39  36  34  34  33  33  31  35
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..8   8   8   8   8   8   7   7   6   6   6   5
20 FT wind gust.9           9   10  10  10  9   8   8   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.3
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.8   8   8   8   9   8   9   9   9   9   9   9
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..1   2   2   2   3   2   3   3   3   3   3   3
SmokeDispersion.P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 0700, then
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 1000, then
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 1400, then
                    mostly sunny (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 52.
Min humidity........24 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
                    by 1200.
Mixing height.......Below 1000 FT AGL until 1200, then 2800 ft AGL
                    until 1700, then Below 1000 FT AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1300, then fair until 1500, then
                    poor.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........50  52  55  52  50  47  37  27  17  14  10  7
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............29  30  32  37  42  47  51  52  51  48  44  41
RH..............42  42  41  35  32  28  24  24  26  29  35  39
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..5   6   6   6   7   7   8   9   9   8   6   5
20 FT wind gust.8   9   10  13  14  16  18  20  20  17  15  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.8 2.4 2.8 3.3 2.3 1.3 0.2
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S
Transp wind spd.8   9   8   9   9   10  13  15  17  15  12  9
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..2   3   2   2   3   7   26  37  50  29  13  2
SmokeDispersion.P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   F   P   P   P

$$
Forecaster...RPK
Requested by...Daniel Cobos
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2426491.0/BOU
.DELDT 11/13/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Daniel.Cobos@usda.gov