Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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258
FNUS75 KBOU 240626
FWSBOU

Spot Forecast for Hurd Creek...CONCC
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
1226 AM MDT Sun Aug 24 2025

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...An unsettled weather pattern is expected to continue
over the next few days. There should be scattered showers and a
few thunderstorms in the area later this afternoon, but the better
chance of wetting rainfall will be east of the Continental Divide.
Winds during the day should remain out of the west or southwest.
Light winds are expected Sunday night into Monday morning. At
least a few showers should continue through the overnight hours.

Better moisture is expected to arrive by Monday, with occasional
showers and storms through most of the day. Wetting rainfall
chances will also increase, and there should be cooler
temperatures and higher daytime RH.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 0900, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers and thunderstorms until 1200, then
                    rain showers and thunderstorms likely.
CWR.................14 percent.
Chance of thunder...61 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 66.
Min humidity........34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Variable up to 5 mph until 1100, then west 5 to
                    12 mph until 1600, then 5 to 8 mph. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms after
                    1100.
Mixing height.......Below 1000 FT AGL until 0900. 6800 ft AGL after
                    1100.
Transport winds.....West 8 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1100, then good until 1300, then
                    very good until 1500, then good until 1700,
                    then fair.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........48  52  48  51  60  66  73  79  85  83  82  80
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                    SCH CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   20  20  20  30  40  60  60  60  60
Temp............48  50  53  57  61  62  64  66  65  65  64  63
RH..............65  61  57  51  44  43  37  34  35  35  38  41
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW
20 FT wind spd..3   2   2   3   3   6   7   8   8   8   7   6
20 FT wind gust.6   3   3   6   6   9   12  13  13  13  12  9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.7 0.7 1.5 2.8 5.7 6.6 7.0 7.2 7.6 6.4 5.2
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.3   5   3   3   7   15  17  17  16  15  15  12
Vrate kt-ft/1K..2   3   2   5   17  75  99  105 101 99  83  52
SmokeDispersion.P   P   P   P   P   G   G   VG  VG  G   G   F

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2100, then slight chance of
thunderstorms until 2400. Rain showers likely.
CWR.................18 percent increasing to 36 percent overnight.
Chance of thunder...37 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 47.
Max humidity........80 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South around 5 mph until 2300, then variable up
to 5 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms until 2400.
Mixing height.......4800 ft AGL until 1900, then 1200 ft AGL until
                    2000, then Below 1000 FT AGL until 0100, then
                    1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 12 mph until 1900, then light until
                    2200, then southwest 8 to 10 mph until 0200,
                    then west around 8 mph until 0400, then light.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair until 1900, then poor.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........79  79  79  79  79  79  79  76  74  71  75  78
Weather cov.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............20  20  20  20  20  20  40  40  40  40  40  40
Chc of thdr (%).40  40  40  20  20  20  10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............61  58  53  50  51  51  51  50  49  48  47  47
RH..............48  57  71  77  77  74  71  71  74  77  79  79
20 FT wind dir..SW  S   S   S   SE  S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  W
20 FT wind spd..6   6   5   5   5   3   2   2   2   2   2   1
20 FT wind gust.9   9   9   9   9   7   6   5   5   5   5   3
Mix hgt (kft)...4.8 1.2 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.2 1.0
Transp wind dir.W   W   E   SE  SW  S   S   SW  W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.12  7   6   6   7   7   6   6   5   5   5   3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..48  7   3   4   5   4   4   4   5   6   4   3
SmokeDispersion.F   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers likely
                    until 1200. Slight chance of thunderstorms
                    after 1000 until 1200, then rain showers with
                    thunderstorms likely.
CWR.................30 percent increasing to 81 percent in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of thunder...73 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 60.
Min humidity........53 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Variable up to 5 mph until 1100, then northwest
                    5 to 7 mph until 1300, then north until 1500,
then east. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms after 1000.
Mixing height.......Below 1000 FT AGL until 0700. 4200 ft AGL after
                    1100.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 8 mph until 1400, then east 8
                    to 12 mph until 1700, then around 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........82  82  82  82  87  91  96  96  96  96  96  96
Weather cov.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
CWR.............30  30  30  30  30  30  80  80  80  80  80  80
Chc of thdr (%).10  10  10  20  20  20  70  70  70  70  70  70
Temp............47  48  51  53  56  58  59  58  57  55  54  53
RH..............79  80  71  69  62  55  53  55  57  61  64  64
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  N   NE  E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   2   3   5   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.3   3   3   5   7   10  13  14  15  15  15  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 1.2 1.5 1.9 3.2 4.5 5.9 5.1 4.3 3.5 3.2 2.8
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   NE  E   E   E
Transp wind spd.3   3   3   3   5   6   7   8   9   10  9   9
Vrate kt-ft/1K..3   4   5   6   13  23  35  36  35  32  26  21
SmokeDispersion.P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P

$$
Forecaster...Hiris
Requested by...Benjamin Timock
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2520553.0/BOU
.DELDT 08/23/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Benjamin.timock@usda.gov,concc@firenet.gov