202
FNUS74 KBMX 081656
FWSBMX

Spot Forecast for GUINN...USFS
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1056 AM CST Fri Nov 8 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1127 CST on November 08.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Weather conditions near the wildfire site just off New Rocky
Mountain Road in Clay County will feature low overcast stratus
clouds over the next few hours that will eventually mix out to
more scattered clouds by the afternoon. Thankfully, 20ft winds
will remain weak today between 5 and 10mph, with transport winds
from the east between 5 and 10mph. Dispersions will remain fairly
low with Min RH values remaining quite high in the mid to upper
60s this afternoon. Looking forward to Saturday, winds will pick
up from the east, with a few gusts over 15mph possible.
Thankfully, Min RH values will remain high during the afternoon
with plenty of low- level moisture in place.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........65 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east around 5 mph late in
                    the morning, then becoming light in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 7 to 10 mph.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 33 late in the morning, then
                    decreasing to 23 late in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 6 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (CST)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........51  49  48  50  54  52  45  54
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............75  77  78  79  80  79  78  76
RH..............79  75  71  69  65  68  69  77
20 FT wind dir..NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind dir..060 080 080 080 080 080 080 080
20 FT wind spd..3   5   3   3   3   3   3   2
20 FT wind gust.8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...2.4 2.9 3.4 3.8 3.9 3.6 3.1 0.8
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.10  9   8   7   7   7   7   7
Dispersion idx..7   33  34  32  19  18  27  6
LVORI...........4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 65.
Max humidity........98 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 6 to 9 mph.
Dispersion index....5.
LVORI...............7.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........57  57  58  54  60  65  66  72  74  74  81  89
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............72  69  69  68  67  67  66  65  66  66  65  66
RH..............88  98  94  97  96  92  95  95  95  91  92  89
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind dir..080 070 070 070 070 070 080 080 090 090 090 090
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.8   8   8   8   7   7   7   7   8   8   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.6   7   8   9   9   8   9   8   8   9   8   8
Dispersion idx..3   4   5   6   6   5   4   4   4   4   4   4
LVORI...........6   6   6   7   7   7   8   8   8   6   6   6

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 20 percent in the
                    afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........76 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 8 mph with gusts
                    to around 17 mph early in the morning.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 9 to 17 mph.
Dispersion index....7 increasing to 31.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........88  89  86  87  82  81  80  80  80  80  83  86
Weather cov.....                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  20  20  20  20  20  20
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............66  66  69  71  73  74  75  75  74  74  72  70
RH..............93  97  94  92  81  79  76  76  76  76  79  84
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind dir..100 100 100 100 100 110 110 110 110 110 110 110
20 FT wind spd..2   3   5   6   6   7   7   7   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.10  10  11  12  14  14  14  14  14  14  16  17
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.7 1.2 1.4 1.7 2.0 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.2 1.8 1.5
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.9   9   14  15  16  17  17  17  16  16  16  16
Dispersion idx..4   6   9   10  18  33  35  35  33  33  30  26
LVORI...........6   6   6   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...GGoggins
Requested by...SAIRY NEAL
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2425710.5/BMX
.DELDT 11/08/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0