999
FNUS74 KBMX 300146
FWSBMX

Spot Forecast for Taylor Creek...USFS
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
846 PM CDT Sun Sep 29 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 CDT on September 30.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Spotty rain at most is expected over the next 24 hours, with under a
tenth of an inch of rain (if any at all). Low level and transport level
winds will be light overnight. Patchy fog is also possible, especially
around the gullies north and south of the fire site. A slight increase
in westerly winds expected on Monday, shifting to more northerly by
Tuesday.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Patchy fog early
                    in the morning.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 3 to 9 mph.
Dispersion index....3 increasing to 21 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 42 early in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 32 late in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 20.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........70  75  76  70  70  72  73  74  72  73  72  70
Weather cov.....PTY PTY PTY
Weather type....FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............63  65  68  71  74  76  78  80  82  81  79  78
RH..............100 97  90  84  74  69  64  62  56  58  62  67
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW
20 FT wind dir..310 310 300 290 280 280 280 280 280 290 300 310
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.4   4   2   4   5   5   6   6   7   7   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.9 1.5 2.1 2.7 3.4 4.0 3.8 3.5 3.3 2.3
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW
Transp wind spd.3   3   3   5   6   7   8   9   9   9   8   7
Dispersion idx..2   2   2   2   3   21  20  44  42  39  32  20
LVORI...........10  7   7   7   3   3   3   1   1   1   3   3

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 65.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 3 to 6 mph.
Dispersion index....6.
LVORI...............7.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........62  54  53  53  52  55  57  59  55  51  47  48
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............77  73  70  69  68  68  67  67  67  66  66  66
RH..............69  76  87  93  100 97  100 97  97  97  97  99
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind dir..320 330 340 350 350 350 000 000 000 000 000 000
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0
20 FT wind gust.5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   2   2   2
Mix hgt (kft)...1.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.6   5   5   5   5   5   3   3   3   5   5   5
Dispersion idx..10  2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
LVORI...........3   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming north around 5 mph late in
                    the afternoon, then becominVery low rain chances may linger across the north today. Any rain
amounts are expected to be light. Winds continue to decrease
today and will be light to calm by Monday. Min RHs for the next
several days should remain in the 50- 70% with a north to south
gradient (70% across the north to 50% in the south).
g light late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 9 mph.
Dispersion index....3 increasing to 42 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 48 early in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 37 late in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 26.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........48  49  34  19  17  20  22  25  24  22  21  20
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............65  65  69  72  76  78  80  82  83  84  83  81
RH..............100 100 94  85  76  68  60  55  52  53  55  59
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind dir..000 000 000 350 350 350 340 340 340 350 350 350
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   2   2   3   3   5   5   5   5   3
20 FT wind gust.4   5   5   6   6   7   7   8   8   8   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 1.2 2.0 2.9 3.4 4.0 4.5 4.2 3.9 3.6 2.Very low rain chances may linger across the north today. Any rain
amounts are expected to be light. Winds continue to decrease
today and will be light to calm by Monday. Min RHs for the next
several days should remain in the 50- 70% with a north to south
gradient (70% across the north to 50% in the south).
5
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.5   5   6   7   8   9   9   9   9   8   8   8
Dispersion idx..2   2   3   3   4   39  44  49  46  38  36  26
LVORI...........10  6   6   6   3   3   3   1   1   1   2   2

$$
Forecaster...Westland
Requested by...Sairy Neal
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2423253.0/BMX
.DELDT 09/30/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0