Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL
818
FNUS74 KBMX 291001
FWSBMX
Spot Forecast for Wolf Creek...NPS
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
501 AM CDT Sat Jun 29 2024
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 CDT on June 29.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
A humid air mass will remain in place over the weekend with
scattered to numerous showers and storms. Best chances will be in
the afternoons. RH today will only fall to 65 percent before
the rain moves in and 55 on Sunday. A drier air mass temporarily
moves in on Monday with RH values in the 35 to 45 percent range
across the northern half of Central Alabama. Winds generally
remain light throughout the period.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
showers early in the morning, then chance of
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms late
in the morning. Showers and thunderstorms
likely in the afternoon.
CWR.................20 percent increasing to 60 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1000, then 2 until 1300, then 4.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........65 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph
late in the morning, then becoming light late
in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms in the late morning
and afternoon.
Mixing height.......2700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 7 to 9 mph.
Dispersion index....5 increasing to 24 late in the morning.
LVORI...............6.
TIME (CDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky (%).........78 70 65 80 77
Weather cov.....S CHC CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........ S CHC S CHC LIKELY LIKELY
CWR.............20 40 40 60 60
LAL.............1 2 2 4 4
Temp............74 80 84 86 86
RH..............97 85 72 65 68
20 FT wind......S 2 SW 3 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5
20 FT wind gust.8 10 8 8 7
20 FT wind dir..200 210 230 220 230
Mix hgt (ft)....1200 2600 2400 2400 2700
Transport wind..SW 7 SW 9 SW 8 SW 8 W 8
Dispersion idx..3 6 23 23 24
LVORI...........8 3 3 3 3
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Showers and
thunderstorms likely early in the evening, then
chance of showers and thunderstorms early in
the evening.
CWR.................60 percent decreasing to 10 percent.
LAL.................4 until 1900, then 3 until 2200, then 1.
Min temperature.....Around 70.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms early in the evening.
Mixing height.......200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 8 mph.
Dispersion index....9 decreasing to 2 early in the evening.
LVORI...............7.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky (%).........77 56 50 48 47 61
Weather cov.....LIKELY CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........LIKELY CHANCE
CWR.............60 30 10 10 10 10
LAL.............4 3 1 1 1 1
Temp............84 78 75 74 73 72
RH..............72 88 100 100 100 100
20 FT wind......SW 3 SW 2 SW 2 W 2 W 2 W 2
20 FT wind gust.6 6 6 6 6 6
20 FT wind dir..220 220 230 250 270 280
Mix hgt (ft)....1300 400 200 200 200 200
Transport wind..SW 8 SW 7 SW 5 W 5 W 6 W 7
Dispersion idx..13 3 1 2 3 3
LVORI...........3 6 10 10 9 9
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of
showers early in the morning. Chance of showers
and thunderstorms late in the morning, then
showers and thunderstorms likely in the
afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 70 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1000, then 3 until 1300, then 4.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest 5 to 7 mph in
the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and
erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in
the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 7 to 13 mph.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 47 late in the morning, then
decreasing to 32 late in the afternoon
decreasing to 25 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky (%).........80 62 58 70 81 91
Weather cov..... S CHC CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
Weather type....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........ CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
CWR.............10 20 30 30 70 70
LAL.............1 1 3 3 4 4
Temp............71 77 84 88 91 89
RH..............100 94 72 61 56 56
20 FT wind......W 2 W 3 NW 5 NW 6 NW 6 NW 7
20 FT wind gust.6 6 7 10 10 8
20 FT wind dir..280 280 300 320 330 330
Mix hgt (ft)....400 1200 2500 3600 4000 3900
Transport wind..W 7 NW 9 NW 13 N 10 N 8 N 8
Dispersion idx..3 4 8 45 30 29
LVORI...........9 6 3 3 1 2
$$
Forecaster...Aaron
Requested by...Robert Vick
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416696.5/BMX
.DELDT 06/29/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0