Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL
780
FNUS74 KBMX 060003
FWSBMX
Spot Forecast for Taylor Creek...USFS
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
703 PM CDT Sat Oct 5 2024
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1900 CDT on October 05.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Updated for different Lat/Lon.
Dispersion levels really begin to drop off over the next hour, but
will remain at or above 3 as mixing heights drop to around 300 feet.
There will be a few clouds around at the burn site on Sunday afternoon,
but the rain should remain south and east of the burn site.
.REST OF TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 65.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 6 to 9 mph.
Dispersion index....4.
LVORI...............7.
TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM
Sky (%).........39 42 34 19 21 17
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............77 71 70 68 67 66
RH..............69 87 90 97 97 97
20 FT wind......E 2 E 2 E 2 NE 2 NE 2 NE 2
20 FT wind gust.8 8 7 6 7 8
20 FT wind dir..100 090 100 060 050 050
Mix hgt (ft)....300 300 300 300 300 300
Transport wind..E 9 E 8 E 7 E 6 E 6 E 6
Dispersion idx..4 4 3 3 3 3
LVORI...........4 4 6 8 8 9
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........53 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 7 mph in the
late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 7 to 14 mph.
Dispersion index....5 increasing to 66 late in the morning, then
increasing to 73 early in the afternoon
decreasing to 63 early in the afternoon
decreasing to 49 decreasing to 27 late in the
afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky (%).........15 9 10 24 34 30
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 10 10
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............66 67 77 82 83 84
RH..............97 97 71 58 55 53
20 FT wind......NE 2 NE 2 E 5 E 7 E 7 NE 7
20 FT wind gust.8 8 10 10 10 10
20 FT wind dir..050 060 070 070 070 050
Mix hgt (ft)....300 1100 2700 4700 5300 4600
Transport wind..E 7 E 10 E 14 E 13 E 10 E 8
Dispersion idx..3 5 6 69 63 44
LVORI...........9 6 1 1 1 2
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 62.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 5 mph early in the
evening becoming light.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 3 to 7 mph shifting to the northeast 3 to
5 mph after 3 am.
Dispersion index....16 decreasing to 3.
LVORI...............6.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky (%).........30 31 31 31 6 6
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10 10 10 10 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............80 72 69 67 66 64
RH..............62 91 100 100 100 100
20 FT wind......NE 5 N 2 E 1 NE 1 NE 1 N 1
20 FT wind gust.7 6 6 5 5 5
20 FT wind dir..060 020 070 060 040 020
Mix hgt (ft)....1800 300 300 300 300 300
Transport wind..E 7 E 6 SE 5 E 3 E 3 N 3
Dispersion idx..16 3 2 2 2 2
LVORI...........2 6 10 10 10 10
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming north 5 to 7 mph in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......6100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 12 mph.
Dispersion index....3 increasing to 38 late in the morning, then
increasing to 51 early in the afternoon
increasing to 74 late in the afternoon
decreasing to 58.
LVORI...............6.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky (%).........7 6 2 3 5 6
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............63 67 76 81 84 83
RH..............100 89 67 52 45 45
20 FT wind......N 2 N 2 N 3 N 5 N 6 N 7
20 FT wind gust.6 7 8 10 10 12
20 FT wind dir..010 010 010 000 000 000
Mix hgt (ft)....300 900 2100 4700 6000 6100
Transport wind..N 5 N 7 N 8 N 9 N 10 N 12
Dispersion idx..2 3 4 51 69 78
LVORI...........10 6 1 1 1 1
$$
Forecaster...Aaron
Requested by...Emmanuel Walker
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2423682.0/BMX
.DELDT 10/05/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0