099
FNUS74 KBMX 221108
FWSBMX

Spot Forecast for Holland Assist...USFS
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
508 AM CST Fri Nov 22 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 CST on November 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Rain-free weather is expected to continue. Afternoon minimum RHs
are forecast to remain above critical thresholds, bottoming out in
the lower 40s in the vicinity of the wildfire today and Saturday.
Overnight recovery should involve RHs at or near 100% for several
hours. 20-foot winds will be from northwest today and Saturday.
Winds will become breezy after sunrise today with gusts upwards
of 25 mph before easing near sundown. Winds on Saturday will be
relatively light.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 53.
Min humidity........44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 9 mph. Gusts up to 22 mph
                    in the morning.
Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 23 mph decreasing to around 12
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....3.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........6   5   3   3   3   2   3   3   3   2   1   6
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............36  36  38  42  45  47  49  51  51  52  50  47
RH..............69  75  70  62  55  51  48  46  44  44  48  56
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind dir..310 320 320 330 330 330 320 320 320 310 310 310
20 FT wind spd..7   8   8   8   9   8   8   8   8   7   7   5
20 FT wind gust.17  18  18  18  18  16  16  14  14  14  13  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.9 2.0 2.5 2.7 2.8 3.0 3.1 3.3 3.3 2.8 0.7
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.15  16  21  23  22  18  18  18  18  20  17  12
Dispersion idx..2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   3   5   6
LVORI...........3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Areas of frost
                    late in the evening. Patchy frost after 3 am,
                    then areas of frost early in the morning.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 33.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 8 to 12 mph.
Dispersion index....6.
LVORI...............7.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........8   9   8   8   8   11  12  12  15  20  25  28
Weather cov.....                    ARS ARS ARS ARS PTY PTY ARS
Weather type....                    FST FST FST FST FST FST FST
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............45  41  39  39  38  37  37  36  36  35  34  34
RH..............65  76  85  85  85  89  89  91  94  100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind dir..320 320 320 320 320 320 320 320 320 320 320 330
20 FT wind spd..3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.11  11  11  11  10  10  10  8   8   8   8   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.12  10  12  12  12  12  10  10  9   9   8   9
Dispersion idx..8   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   4   4   4   4
LVORI...........4   4   4   5   5   5   6   6   6   9   9   9

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Areas of frost early in
                    the morning, then patchy frost early in the
                    morning.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 57.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph
                    late in the morning, then becoming light late
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 6 to 12 mph.
Dispersion index....5 increasing to 22 late in the morning, then
                    decreasing to 8 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........26  23  18  15  6   5   4   4   5   5   8   11
Weather cov.....ARS PTY
Weather type....FST FST
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............33  36  40  44  48  52  55  56  56  57  53  49
RH..............100 96  89  73  63  54  47  45  47  45  54  68
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind dir..330 330 330 330 330 320 320 320 310 310 310 310
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   3   3   5   5   5   5   3   2   1
20 FT wind gust.6   7   8   10  10  10  10  10  10  8   7   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 1.0 1.4 1.5 1.7 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.3 0.8
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.9   10  12  12  12  12  10  9   8   7   6   6
Dispersion idx..4   5   5   5   5   26  26  23  20  17  10  6
LVORI...........7   7   7   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

$$
Forecaster...Satterwhite
Requested by...Sam Faure
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2427195.1/BMX
.DELDT 11/22/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0