441
FNUS74 KBMX 212136
FWSBMX

Spot Forecast for Lower Shoal A...USFS Shoal Creek
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
336 PM CST Tue Jan 21 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1630 CST on January 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

A few snow flurries are possible in the higher elevations of northern
Cleburne before 7 PM, but accumulation is not expected. Temps will
drop into the low teens overnight, with northerly 20-ft winds
around 5 mph. Mixing heights this afternoon are around 3300 ft,
falling to 400 ft overnight and reaching 2700 ft tomorrow
afternoon. 20 ft and transport winds northerly tomorrow morning
will become light and southeasterly during the afternoon.
Dispersion index tomorrow will be around 19.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 26.
Min humidity........33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 5 mph.
Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 14 to 15 mph.
Dispersion index....35.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (CST)      4 PM
Sky (%).........93
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10
LAL.............1
Temp............25
RH..............36
20 FT wind......NW 5
20 FT wind gust.11
20 FT wind dir..330
Mix hgt (ft)....3300
Transport wind..N 14
Dispersion idx..34
LVORI...........1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming
                    mostly clear (15-25 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 11.
Max humidity........63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 5 mph in the evening and
                    overnight becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 9 to 18 mph decreasing to around 8 mph
                    after 3 am.
Dispersion index....50 decreasing to 9.
LVORI...............2.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........92     73     37     12     6      3
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............23     22     20     17     15     13
RH..............43     47     51     58     58     61
20 FT wind......NW 5   N 5    N 5    N 5    N 5    N 3
20 FT wind gust.12     13     13     13     12     12
20 FT wind dir..330    350    350    350    350    000
Mix hgt (ft)....3000   2200   700    400    600    600
Transport wind..N 15   N 18   N 15   N 13   N 12   N 8
Dispersion idx..48     48     13     6      5      4
LVORI...........1      1      2      3      3      3

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 38.
Min humidity........22 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......2700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 8 to 9 mph shifting to the south 5 to
                    6 mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....4 increasing to 16 late in the morning, then
                    decreasing to 2 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........4      0      3      2      2      4
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............12     14     24     33     36     35
RH..............59     53     33     23     23     26
20 FT wind......N 3    NE 3   NE 3   SE 2   S 2    S 2
20 FT wind gust.10     10     8      6      6      6
20 FT wind dir..020    030    060    130    160    160
Mix hgt (ft)....700    900    1500   2300   2700   2400
Transport wind..N 9    N 9    E 7    SE 5   S 6    S 6
Dispersion idx..4      4      3      14     19     17
LVORI...........3      3      2      2      2      2

$$
Forecaster...Robinson
Requested by...Aaron Radford
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2500947.1/BMX
.DELDT 01/21/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0