079
FNUS74 KBMX 071732
FWSBMX

Spot Forecast for Tuscaloosa Oil Fire...NWS
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1232 PM CDT Wed May 7 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1300 CDT on May 07.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.


.DISCUSSION...

Increasing rain through the afternoon. Southerly winds 6-8mph with transport
winds out of the southwest.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers early in the afternoon. Chance of
                    thunderstorms through the day. Showers likely
                    late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........66 percent.
Surface winds (mph).South winds 6 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 10 mph.
Dispersion index....25 increasing to 33 late in the afternoon, then
                    decreasing to 25 late in the afternoon.
Dispersion..........MISSING.

TIME (CDT)      1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........78     84     86
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).50     50     60
Temp............74     76     76
RH..............69     69     69
Surface wind....S 8    S 8    S 6
Surface wnd gst.13     12     12
Mix hgt (ft)....2900   3200   2400
Transport wind..SW 8   SW 9   S 9
Dispersion......M      M      M
Dispersion idx..25     31     25

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Showers likely
                    early in the evening. Chance of thunderstorms
                    early in the evening. Chance of showers early
                    in the evening. Patchy fog after 3 am.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 63.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Surface winds (mph).South winds around 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 3 to 8 mph.
Dispersion index....19 decreasing to 5.
Dispersion..........MISSING.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........85     72     48     45     49     58
Weather cov.....LIKELY CHANCE                      PATCHY
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   FOG
Tstm cov........CHANCE CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).60     30     10     10     10     10
Temp............77     72     68     65     66     65
RH..............67     81     93     100    100    100
Surface wind....S 6    S 3    S 3    SW 1   S 1    S 1
Surface wnd gst.10     9      8      7      6      5
Mix hgt (ft)....1900   900    500    500    500    500
Transport wind..S 8    S 6    SW 5   S 5    S 3    S 6
Dispersion......M      M      M      M      M      M
Dispersion idx..19     6      3      2      2      3

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Patchy fog early
                    in the morning. Slight chance of showers in the
                    morning. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in
                    the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........54 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds becoming southwest around 6 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 12 mph.
Dispersion index....3 increasing to 26 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 48 early in the afternoon
                    increasing to 62 late in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 46.
Dispersion..........MISSING.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........69     66     60     30     30     29
Weather cov.....PATCHY S CHC                CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....FOG    RNSHWR NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                            S CHC  CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).10     20     10     10     40     50
Temp............65     66     71     76     80     80
RH..............100    100    87     71     60     56
Surface wind....N 0    SW 1   SW 3   SW 4   SW 6   SW 6
Surface wnd gst.5      6      7      8      9      10
Mix hgt (ft)....500    1200   1800   3200   4000   4200
Transport wind..SW 6   SW 6   SW 6   SW 7   SW 10  SW 9
Dispersion......M      M      M      M      M      M
Dispersion idx..3      3      3      28     52     49

$$
Forecaster...Owen
Requested by...Nathan Owen
Type of request...HAZMAT
.TAG 2513392.0/BMX
.DELDT 05/07/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0