100
FNUS74 KBMX 132330
FWSBMX

Spot Forecast for Section 33 Wildfire...USFS
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
530 PM CST Wed Nov 13 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1700 CST on November 13.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.


.DISCUSSION...

Light to moderate rainfall will overspread the area overnight, clearing
by mid-morning tomorrow. 20 ft winds will be southeasterly up to 12 mph,
with higher gusts, becoming northwesterly with gusts 12-15 mph tomorrow
afternoon. Mixing heights should be near 3500 ft tomorrow afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Chance of showers.
CWR.................30 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 67.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 8 mph.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 23 mph.
Dispersion index....47.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (CST)      5PM
Sky (%).........94
Weather cov.....CHC
Weather type....RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............30
LAL.............1
Temp............61
RH..............65
20 FT wind dir..SE
20 FT wind dir..120
20 FT wind spd..8
20 FT wind gust.14
Mix hgt (kft)...2.3
Transp wind dir.SE
Transp wind spd.23
Dispersion idx..47
LVORI...........1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain showers through
                    the night. Slight chance of thunderstorms in
                    the late evening and overnight.
CWR.................90 percent decreasing to 80 percent late in the
                    evening, then increasing to 90 percent
                    overnight.
LAL.................1 until 2100, then 2.
Min temperature.....Around 51.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 30
                    mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the late evening and
                    overnight.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 21 to 26 mph decreasing to around 15
                    mph early in the morning.
Dispersion index....50 decreasing to 10.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........95  95  95  99  99  99  99  99  99  98  98  98
Weather cov.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........            SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............90  90  90  80  80  80  90  90  90  90  90  90
LAL.............1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Temp............59  57  56  54  53  52  52  52  52  53  53  54
RH..............69  75  74  80  83  86  86  89  93  93  93  93
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind dir..120 120 120 120 120 120 120 120 130 130 130 130
20 FT wind spd..9   10  12  10  12  12  12  12  12  10  9   6
20 FT wind gust.19  22  23  23  23  23  23  23  24  23  22  13
Mix hgt (kft)...2.3 1.8 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.7 0.8
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.26  25  21  21  22  25  25  25  25  23  22  15
Dispersion idx..54  46  28  25  18  27  23  23  23  21  20  10
LVORI...........3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent) then becoming partly
                    sunny (55-65 percent). Rain showers likely
                    early in the morning, then slight chance of
                    rain showers late in the morning.
CWR.................70 percent decreasing to 0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 67.
Min humidity........65 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph
                    early in the morning, then becoming light late
                    in the morning becoming northwest 5 to 7 mph
                    late in the morning.
Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 12 mph shifting to the west 9 to 16
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon, then
                    shifting to the northwest late in the
                    afternoon.
Dispersion index....7 increasing to 23 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 47 early in the afternoon
                    increasing to 57 early in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 44 decreasing to 30 late in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........97  97  97  92  92  92  69  69  69  46  46  46
Weather cov.....LKY LKY LKY SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............70  70  70  20  20  20  0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............54  54  56  57  60  62  64  67  64  62  59  57
RH..............93  96  93  93  87  81  75  65  67  70  75  77
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SW  SW  W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind dir..130 120 140 210 230 270 280 290 300 300 310 310
20 FT wind spd..3   3   5   3   3   5   5   6   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.13  12  11  11  10  10  8   10  12  13  13  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.4 2.2 2.9 3.4 3.4 3.1 2.3 1.7
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   SW  W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.12  12  12  9   9   12  14  15  16  15  15  14
Dispersion idx..8   8   8   6   6   23  43  51  55  58  44  30
LVORI...........6   6   6   5   5   5   1   1   1   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...Robinson
Requested by...Troy McFarland
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2426521.0/BMX
.DELDT 11/13/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0