Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL
955 FXUS64 KBMX 110457 AFDBMX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Birmingham AL 1157 PM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Sunday) Issued at 1157 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025 Over the weekend, our forecast area will remain on the dry, western side of a coastal low pressure system centered just off the South Carolina coast. Tranquil weather conditions are expected with persistent north to northeasterly flow. 87/Grantham && .LONG TERM... (Sunday night through next Friday) Issued at 1157 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025 As the trough over the eastern CONUS gradually moves eastward during the upcoming work week, a very prominent 500 mb ridge is expected to develop across the southern CONUS. A warming trend will accompany the expanding ridge, and afternoon temperatures by midweek may be just a few degrees shy of record values. There is no relief in sight from the worsening drought conditions. 87/Grantham && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1157 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025 VFR conditions are expected through the TAF period with north to northeast winds. 87/Grantham && .FIRE WEATHER... Warm and dry conditions are expected to continue over the next week. MinRHs will likely fall into the 30-40 percent range each afternoon. 20 foot winds may approach 10 mph this afternoon, but RH values should remain just shy of Red Flag criteria. Winds should become lighter for Sunday and Monday. Outdoor burning remains highly discouraged due to ongoing drought conditions. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Gadsden 51 78 48 79 / 0 0 0 0 Anniston 53 78 50 79 / 0 0 0 0 Birmingham 55 79 53 80 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 54 82 52 83 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 54 80 52 81 / 0 0 0 0 Auburn 58 78 55 80 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 59 82 53 83 / 0 0 0 0 Troy 58 80 51 81 / 0 0 0 0 && .BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...87/Grantham LONG TERM....87/Grantham AVIATION...87/Grantham