448
FXUS64 KBMX 271206
AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
606 AM CST Thu Nov 27 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 558 AM CST THU NOV 27 2025

 - Clear and colder conditions expected on Thanksgiving Day.

 - A rainy pattern should take hold for Saturday night through
   Tuesday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(Overnight through next Wednesday)
Issued at 1101 PM CST WED NOV 26 2025

Cold advection and dry conditions will continue through Friday
with morning lows ranging from the mid 20s to lower 30s. An
extended period of enhanced rain chances should begin Saturday
night and continue through Tuesday as west-southwesterly flow
becomes established at 500 mb across the southern CONUS. A frontal
passage will bring a return to cool and dry conditions for
Wednesday.

87/Grantham

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 558 AM CST THU NOV 27 2025

A VFR forecast is expected through the 24 hour forecast with
surface ridging building into AL. N-NW winds are expected today
with mixing ~6-12 kts with a few higher gusts during the day.

08

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

A very dry airmass will overspread the region on Thursday with
afternoon RH values falling to 25-30 percent. Wind speeds should
fall just short of Reg Flag criteria. Lighter winds are expected
for Friday and Saturday, and RH values may drop as low as 20
percent in the afternoon in our southeastern counties.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     51  25  49  25 /   0   0   0   0
Anniston    51  26  49  28 /   0   0   0   0
Birmingham  52  28  50  30 /   0   0   0   0
Tuscaloosa  55  29  53  31 /   0   0   0   0
Calera      54  28  52  30 /   0   0   0   0
Auburn      53  31  51  32 /   0   0   0   0
Montgomery  56  30  54  31 /   0   0   0   0
Troy        57  31  54  30 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...87/Grantham
AVIATION...08