329
FXUS64 KBMX 101101
AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
601 AM CDT Thu Oct 10 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Friday)
Issued at 347 AM CDT THU OCT 10 2024

High pressure will continue to build over the area through Friday.
Eventually centered over the Appalachians. Winds will be around 15
mph this afternoon from the northeast, as the gradient remains
strong between Milton and the high pressure. As Milton slides
further east and the high pressure slides south, the winds will
decrease to less than 10 mph on Friday. Skies should be clear for
most of the time.

16

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 347 AM CDT THU OCT 10 2024

High pressure will be centered over the region Friday night and
Saturday with residual dry air in place. Conditions will be
favorable for strong radiational cooling with lows in the mid 40s
to lower 50s Saturday morning. The transition to warmer westerly
winds will bring an uptrend in temperatures with most locations
reaching the low to mid 80s during the afternoon. Even warmer
conditions are expected on Sunday as low-level westerly flow
strengthens ahead of an approaching front. Temperatures in some of
our central and western counties could reach the upper 80s Sunday
afternoon.

Ahead of the cold front on Monday, temperatures could spike into
the mid to upper 80s across our southern counties, with 70s
across the north. This will be a potent frontal passage, and
secondary significant shot of cold air from Canada is expected to
arrive on Tuesday and Wednesday as a full-latitude trough axis
swings across the eastern CONUS. Lows in the upper 30s appear
possible with this airmass in our northern counties.

87/Grantham

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 600 AM CDT THU OCT 10 2024

VFR TAFs are expected through the next 24 hours and beyond.
Light and variable winds are expected for through 15z with NE
winds during the afternoon with mixing at 7-10 kts.

16

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Dry and fair weather conditions will prevail through the weekend.
20 ft winds will be from the northeast at 6 to 10 mph through
Friday as Hurricane Milton passes well to our southeast. Winds
will decrease and become variable on Saturday. Afternoon RH
values will drop into the 25 to 35 percent range each afternoon
through Saturday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     81  47  79  44 /   0   0   0   0
Anniston    80  48  79  48 /   0   0   0   0
Birmingham  82  52  80  51 /   0   0   0   0
Tuscaloosa  84  52  81  50 /   0   0   0   0
Calera      83  51  81  51 /   0   0   0   0
Auburn      80  51  77  51 /   0   0   0   0
Montgomery  83  51  80  50 /   0   0   0   0
Troy        81  50  77  47 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...16
LONG TERM....87
AVIATION...16