Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL
304 FXUS64 KBMX 050525 AFDBMX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Birmingham AL 1225 AM CDT Fri Sep 5 2025 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Saturday) Issued at 1223 AM CDT FRI SEP 5 2025 Friday should be a hot one across Central Alabama, with highs in the low to mid 90s. Several of the CAMs have indicated isolated showers across much of the area during the afternoon hours, so opted for a 20% chance of rain across most of the area. A front will begin approaching the region tomorrow evening, with rain and storm chances increasing across areas north of I-20 Friday night into Saturday morning. By Saturday afternoon, as the front advances further into the area, rain and storm chances (30-40%) will extend down to around the I-85 corridor. Some activity may linger into Saturday evening before clearing out overnight. 12 && .LONG TERM... (Saturday night through next Thursday) Issued at 1223 AM CDT FRI SEP 5 2025 The extended will be mostly warm and dry across Central Alabama during the afternoons, with highs in the mid to upper 80s through Thursday. Lows will be a refreshing upper 50s to mid 60s, depending on location. Some rain and storms appear to be possible across the far southeast, south of I-85, at least a couple days during the week. However, confidence on the northward extent of this is currently low, as most activity will be closer to the Gulf Coast. For now, no rain chances are mentioned in the forecast for any of Central Alabama from Sunday through Thursday. 12 && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1223 AM CDT FRI SEP 5 2025 Light fog is possible at TCL early this morning, with a TEMPO for 5SM being maintained from 09-13z for this issuance. Other sites will remain VFR through the period. There is a slight chance for showers affecting TCL, BHM, EET, and ASN tomorrow afternoon, but confidence is too low to include in the TAF.12 && .FIRE WEATHER... Min RH values will range from 35-45% this afternoon and 40-55% Saturday afternoon across Central Alabama, with chances for isolated to scattered showers across the area through this afternoon. Chances for wetting rains increase tonight through Saturday afternoon, especially across northern and central counties. Behind the front, min RHs Sunday and Monday afternoons will be as low as 30%, with a drier airmass working in. 20ft winds will be variable up to 5-7 mph through Saturday, increasing to northerly at 10-12 mph by Sunday. While no critical thresholds will be met, the area will be dry from Sunday through Thursday, potentially increasing fire concerns in that aspect, especially in areas that receive little to no rain this weekend. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Gadsden 93 69 87 61 / 20 30 40 20 Anniston 92 70 88 64 / 20 20 40 20 Birmingham 94 72 88 64 / 20 20 40 10 Tuscaloosa 95 72 89 65 / 20 20 30 10 Calera 94 72 90 65 / 20 20 30 10 Auburn 92 71 91 68 / 20 20 20 10 Montgomery 94 72 92 69 / 20 10 20 10 Troy 93 70 92 68 / 10 10 10 10 && .BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...12 LONG TERM....12 AVIATION...12